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brewcrewdue80

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Everything posted by brewcrewdue80

  1. Jimenez is a bat only DH. Nelson Cruz would be a similar comp late in his career but he still played dozens of games in the outfield. And Cruz during his 12-14.5Mil salary stretch batted in the 150+ OPS+ while playing nearly full seasons. Jimenez has missed 2+ and 3+months the previous 2 seasons and 1month thus far this season. Being paid 16.8M for next yr with buyout from options. And bringing a 119OPS+ this year career 123 OPS+ as the bat. Yeah he brings a nice bat to the team. But it's at full pay or overpay moving forward without him being not just healthy but better with the batting. Stop staring at the Brewers poor batting lines and putting Jimenez above average bat like it's a Belson Cruz 160+OPS bat we'd be acquiring. Keston Hiura was a 115OPS+ bat last season. Yet he's not stepped on the ML field this season. 16+mil a year is future cost. His value to BWAR is .8 this year. Never reached 2+ yet. Asking for a high prospect value would be akin to expecting a top 75 in return headline when trading Yelich today. It's a bad contract for Yelich, and a bad contract for Jimenez. Unless of course you think Yelich should net the team a top 70 prospect plus if traded at this deadline.
  2. https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eloy-jimenez/17484/stats?position=DH/OF scroll on down to FGs value. Not one season above 14M value. So at best historically, he's worth his salary next season, and not worth picking up the option years. This is why his trade value is negative. You'll pay more than what he's just worth next year to buyout from picking up his option. He's a borderline salary dump move and should see the return reflect that. White Sox would need to kick money Brewers way to increase the return. Because of the value with option years to performance, you can't even think a team would QO him beyond those option years. He really shouldn't cost a lot in trade. He's more lottery ticket return than taking any of the Brewer top 100 prospect that have eclipsed being lotto ticket. Luis Lara makes sense in this regard, but he too may be passing the thought as a lotto ticket.
  3. Which leaves us 11 runs to score over the next 11 days after scoring 18 this series. 😅
  4. To think this team was 3-7 and struggling at the plate before just putting up 29 runs these 3 games. With 11 HRs.
  5. A sinker pitch would mean ball is sinking as it crosses the plate. So above the knees going down. Pitches would have looked a strike alot longer than looking a ball at the very moment it crosses the "umps" zone. I'll never get how these pitches get called low when in the zone. Wasn't outside or inside corner to add that possibility. Over the plate.
  6. GameDay shows in bottom of zone. Should have been an inning ending called strike 3 vs resulting in extra pitches thrown and a 3run HR. How does an ump miss such a close call with 3-2 count and multiple fouled off pitches. Clearly too close to take.absolute game changing blown call.
  7. Chourio's last 30 games is .315/385/543 in AA Last 10 is 395/480/698 What more does he need to do at AA? Same ? Above. What more should he do at AA after that last 30 games/10games to remain through rest of season at AA? Tonight's game he scored from 3rd on a fly out 10-20feet outside the infield caught the fielder off guard about to throw ball in to pitcher. He's approaching his career triple slash line .287/349/497 now at .282/340/475 for the season in AA. Btw Braun's #s for 2006 is 59 games each at A and AA racking up approx 260PAs at each level. AA slash line was 274/346/438. Chourio is approaching 400PAs for the season at AA holding a better AA OPS in a longer sample than Braun at 3years younger age.
  8. Would he be scratched to get called up after the Wilson injury? He doesn't seem but a #4/5 SP ceiling looking off his pitching profile and results.
  9. Offer up Daniel Guilarte with Matthew Wood. Take it or leave it. The money and DH only is a deterrent. The amount of teams that can use a DH that can hit forces you to offer some higher lottery ticket. I'd expect the CWS to need to throw in whatever buyout money it is on the options.
  10. He should be called up to AAA within 10 more days. Something clearly clicked for him in last 2 weeks driving his OPS up over 100pts. Taking more walks then strikeouts while having more multiple hit games than 0 or 1 hit games. He's nearing the amount of PAs total given to him combined for A & A+ ball for time at AA. Black is deserving of a callup to AAA and I don't recommend calling him up but keeping Chourio at AA. Quero seems to be injured recently. Perfect timing to get these 2 called up while holding Quero back understandably til Quero returns and looks okay. Chourio lives up to the hype, he needs to actually get here if this 2 week spell continues straight through the call up to AAA. Then he can be used in this year's September and post season roster if he's holding his own better than Taylor's lack of talent. Black too. He's going to be a player the team gives an extension to. You don't worry about options or when you manipulate service time.
  11. There's no current optics towards trading Yelich anymore for another season at minimum. He's by far the best hitter on the team currently. On top of that the multitude of player losses that will occur this offseason if traded or next offseason to FA. He's already earned his payday this season according to Fangraphs. If you have to eat any of his pay and don't get any immediate future star then it's not time to trade him. I'm talking like a Quero/Black/Miserioski type helium prospect riser before making a trade for. The way its going without extending anyone with a 2024 FA, the team will have Williams and Yelich and nobody else sniffing 8+Mil in 2025. So we're talking a very young team with the potential as appearing rebuilding/below 70wins with 0 vet leaders. How's that going to look to Brewers fans? No stadium maintenence this is the sign of selling this team good bye franchise. Imagine removing the only Brewer hitter that is being paid to hit and trotting out players that haven't proven they can hit now carrying a 60Mil payroll to start 2025. If even that? Make that make sense to the fans attending games. There needs to have a counter optic to make moving Yelich make sense as in acquiring a star via FA or trade and extending that player.
  12. I'll bite. Profar and Benintendi were top of class pickups that automatically puts them at a top 60 ranking pretty much before playing a professional game(Jed Bradley was top 100 due to this) Profar lost 2 full seasons when he was expected to play his 1st full season to shoulder injury. Pretty rough start to meet the expectations. Moore (HS 8th rd) was off and running and then needed TJ and never returned to his forthcoming #1 prospect self. Injuries plagued and runied his career. (Think Jimmy Nelson) Chourio you hope doesn't suffer the fate of early career severe injury. He was 18th on international signing ranking so he was on the radar unlike our C Quero. What exactly should be the expectation of a #1 prospect? 3+WAR yearly? 5+? 7+?
  13. Nice get early before deadline day. Santana is a well versed vet that battles pitchers. He's definitely been a guy wished had signed in FA like a Nelson Cruz. Switch hitting puts an end to 1b platooning. The lineup will be tougher to go through with Santana in it. 1 more bat DH/infield and we're good. Is there a catcher/DH type out there? Split time with Contreras mixing both.
  14. Very true. Giolito still hasn't brought Strasburg level pitching or must see vibes that came with Strasburg. Gerrit Cole didn't really succeed with Pittsburgh until after traded and must see Ace levels. Arcia 8s showing the example of what his bat projection with that young defense could have been had it occurred within the first 4+ seasons. About to turn 29.
  15. Ah Lucas Giolito. Remember that time he was but the next Stephen Strasburg. Never occurred. Looks like the Angel's believe he can ne still with what they gave up for him. Keep in mind the trade puts Angel's over the luxury tax. Which reduces their QO return when Ohtani signs away to a new team.
  16. Yeah boring outside of what is given to acquire Ohtani. San Diego has the 3rd best run differential in the NL. Sit 6 games back. Having arguably the best closer in Hader. They have very good reasons to be the team to bring in Ohtani. With prospect package to offer. So you mention a few names they could sell, but why not them buying Ohtani? Talk about star studded team moving ahead. I'd be a fan of the move just to see how close they would get to winning the division, much less earning a WC spot. Bieber is out til September 10th at the earliest and tbh elbow inflammation with that kind of push back is likely delaying TJ in hopes someway not to be. Verlander/Scherzer those are big contracts to work around on top I imagine no trade refusal rights? Goldschmidt would be 1 helluva sought after trade I'll give you that. Do the Cardinals know how to sell around the deadline? It feels they'd be breaking one of their unwritten rules. They've only finished 1 season this century below .500. I'd imagine Goldy has refusal rights too. Like MLBTR not giving a big update to this top 50 list yet shows how little the excitement will be in trades.
  17. Ethan Small is going to get you a rental RP at best on his own. Used up 2 option years now already. And based on his stats in the majors and minor league WHIP, a team acquiring him should assume they got 1 season more to use him as a RP. Hiura has no options. Teams already passed on that. Let's keep these 2 names out of any trade proposal. In no world are you looking to acquire the two while trading away say Victor Caratini off this team. That's the best example I got of the level of player the Brewers are realistically adding to this team. If they were going to pull off a significant move, history shows they do it earlier and not last minute. The way this team was built, I feel they expected to sell off Winker/Anderson/&Tellez with possibly Urias/Houser. Only all but Houser, created negative value, and Houser's isn't all too much. All the ML guys thought expendable have been awful, while most of a top 10 team prospects have earned values beyond using in trades. I'd wonder on what #3 SP with 1+yrs control is out there who you pawn off Houser and Robert Gasser to. Woodruff/Miley/Ashby uncertainties along with Peralta's continued below expectation season. Finding Someone's SP who's just not quite ToR material but better than Houser making around similar but bigger next year. I don't know. Just saying I'd think the team uses Gasser in a trade for SP. I looked. This SP doesn't exist among teams with 48wins or less. Obviously above this threshold teams are in the running to be buyers. This will be the worst trade deadline ever across MLB.
  18. So this Chourio guy is white hot as if he seen this post. 7 of last 8 games with multiple hits. HRs, doubles, and Sbs. Shout out to Tyler Black as it's either 2 games in a row or 2 of last 3 leading off the game with a triple. Followed by Chourio driving him in with a single. 1-0 leads just like that.
  19. This. The original trade getting Ruiz and Gasser plus the other 2 was disappointing. The Hader trade Arnold got bailed out by acquiring Contreras, Payamps, and Yeager all from Ruiz. Just found a way to get in between 2 teams heading in 2 very opposite directions to part with 2 ML players and 1 prospect for 1 prospect. Maybe I'll change my tune when Ruiz has a career over 15WAR. Then Oakland and Arnold put the right value towards trading for Ruiz, but Im inclined they sold Hader low. Gasser may start for Milw 1 day, but he's got 0 vibe being anything better than a #4 or 5 SP. If he's a 5 he may actually provide negative value producing like one. See Jason Alexander mixed with Colin Rea. Calling the Hader trade a win when trading him should have felt like a win from the start and it didn't? Trading Ruiz is the massive win feel we should have felt from trading Hader. Ruiz was a why with Mitchell, Wiemer, Frelick all nearing AAA and future callup. Chourio had established he was climbing prospect ranks. The team didn't need Ruiz' future. Trade values update has Ruiz at 13.4. Payamps at 12.2. Contreras at 56.8! Yeager .9. Gasser 4.4. Btw Hader at 3 only right now. Kinda shows Ruiz should have gotten Payamps and Yeager on his own. We're just living off an accidental Contreras inclusion lost in the conversation between Braves and A's
  20. He's definitely back. Attacking 1st pitches hitting it for a HR again today is far different than the Yeli who held the bat til strike 1 called because walks was optimal for him. He's locked in and swinging easy hitting them where he wants to. Predicting another 19HRs for him by end of season as I told my coworkers yesterday saying he's back He's got 20more HRs coming.
  21. Wonder how long Crew stick with Taylor. Now at 5 gidp 13hits 2bbs. 22ks. 403 OPS. And posters crap on Turang and Wiemer.
  22. I get the statement Hiura has no business being called up due to having 0 defensive value. But We are staring at a Sub .600 OPS Winker with the exact same problem. no defensive value. Heck he bats Lefty and has been sitting games now vs LH pitching. Winker is a platoon player now. So, all that said, Replacing his suck for Hiura to bat DH with 0 defensive implications that just may actually provide some RBI/HRs you know scoring runs should be embarked on. I mean people complain about Hiura's misuse and his reverse splits. So him having a career .840 OPS vs RH pitchers isn't worth replacing Winker's current 565 OPS vs RH pitchers when he's used as a platoon bat now? Everything in Winker's statcast numbers are worse than his worst season ever last season. There's not one shining bright spot to put any faith in him turning it around. His k% is up to 25.5% Like I just want both sagas to end. Winker good bye. Hiura called up given every chance to remain in the bigs batting 5 games a week. If he can't hang then good bye to him too.
  23. He's healthy and on the ML field. Frelick is struggling worse than before his injury. And Mitchell hurt for the season who you shouldn't count on being really good til he's proved it. Wiemer is the only OF producing for the Brewers of the big 3. You waste him in a trade, and the other 2 are done due to post injury decline, the lost impact is too much. Lorenzo Cain didn't achieve a consistent 100+ OPS plus til his age 28 season, 4 seasons after his debut. 38.5 career BWar. You only move him if you're getting the 3+years of controlled position player who's producing today vs in the near future. Like a Luis Robert Jr.
  24. Speaking on 40man. If the Brewers added Black to their 40man when calling him up, a trade involving Black would mean that receiving team has to add him to their 40man. I don't think he's rule 5 eligible after this season yet. Those 40man spots protecting those who are are valuable. I just wonder are the Brewers keeping him down there til he sets the SB AA record before promoting him to AAA.
  25. I'm now convinced you figured out who the Brewers will headline in a trade being Black. Just demote the players stopping him from getting reps in AAA to AA. As to the 40man issue I seen argued. We'll Waive Winker bye-bye and you've fixed your 40man problem. Truthfully they're holding on to Winker up til deadline to move him. Use him in trade of contracts so they aren't just stuck paying him his full salary when just waiving him. They'll finally kick him to the curb after the deadline if still holding on to him. The Black Era might begin if the team didn't acquire somebody to replace Winker.
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