brewcrewdue80

Looking at Hiura's AAA, he's approaching the PAs he had at AAA back in 2019 before first callup. Fairly similar aside from slugging being lower. I'm curious on his team control. He's clearly had an additional year added to it. But at this stage where does he sit on Super 2? Started year 3.009 how many days are left this season? I'm counting 80days from just after ASB. That's long past the .110+ you'd think making him a Super 2. What does Winker have going for him that keeps him on the team? Statcast numbers show his decrease in hitting. The expected numbers are nearly identical. How does the front office continue forward keeping him on the roster? He's a .320OB-.572 OPS batter. Is it really important that Hiura remains on AAA team because the hole he'd create when gone being the reason? Winker needs to be gone. A bad year last year is looking great for his numbers if he produced that this season. He's toast stop already with seeing if there's any good left.

You don't see pitcher Carlos Rodriguez as untouchable? Luis Lara? Abner Uribe? I fully get Frelick(8/40 since return in AAA no XBHs)being a headliner as the defense/power potential isn't up there with Wiemer or Mitchell. Now I would trade the untradeables if getting a longer controlled player who fits the needs as a position player for position player or pitcher for pitcher. What clogs this buy at trade deadline is the, Are you trading the guys set to be FAs after 2024 after the season if not 1 or 2 at this trade deadline? Using our top guys in minors with trade value to improve this team doesn't sit right with the impending trade of the future FAs next offseason. Using the guys who aren't top tier in our minors, what are you really improving this team doing so? The players traded for is likely a rental of another version of Anderson, Winker, or Tellez downside/upside. Another version of Matt Bush upside/downside. As we sit right now, we're heading a playoff pitching matchup with Burnes, Miley, then Peralta. Sucks where we are sitting. We need 2 bats with confidence they are good bats to make an impact on offense. 1 better SP than Miley&Peralta. 1 RP that is late inning reliable. Did any of these 50 in OP fill that honestly? Competing with 15+ other bidders potentially. It'd wipe out the entire high tier of prospects acquiring these 4 players.

He's a 19year old in AA. Holiday ahead of him is older 19 just in A+. De La Cruz is 21 nearly 22months older than Chourio. He was at Rok/A ball vs where Chourio is competing at 19. You could do this all the way down the top 100 list. The season isn't over and it doesn't take much of a run to make his numbers eye popping for his age than they already are. Doesn't this statement mean the Brewers should still be seeking a top 20 prospect for Adames? You know, should Milw be swept all 6 games vs the Reds or lose 5 of 6(lost 5 straight to Pittsburgh that one year just saying) Hope Adames has himself a decent July. Alonso has just a few extra HRs on his statline that keeps him from being meh. Savant has his EV down 3 years straight, max HR distance 3 years straight, his XHR lower than all the other MLB stadiums except the 26 in Mets. He's trending down as he ages.

So there's only 4 teams in baseball-Arizona, Milw, Cincy, and maybe Baltimore who could trade for Alonso? Dela Cruz, Chourio, Caroll, and Henderson? Anybody else?

That's foolish and you know it. Anything less is most definitely happening. Chourio is the #1/2 prospect in baseball. De La Cruz will have graduated by the deadline. There is no way Chourio is even on the table in trade literally barring it being for somebody like De La Cruz/Caroll or Henderson. Mets can ask for that type of return, but teams aren't meeting it. Pittsburgh never got what they asked for Reynolds and then finally extended him. Don't believe the Brewers got what they wanted for Hader, but Arnold made a mistake during a rough month for Hader and pulled the trigger on what was clearly below the return I'd have expected for Hader. Alonso is going to be on track for over 20mil pay next season and .214/.307 is looking just a little bit better than Tellez of 2022. 2020 Alonso played 57games worth .2WAR around what he's tracking at right now. Teams aren't lining up to pay his 20+mil salary next season knowing that line is in play and will demand a cheaper prospect cost.

Was curious seeing as we're in a 17games in 17 days stretch how the Reds schedule compared. Think I seen it as 13games in 13days being their longest stretch. We've now had 2 10game road trips with no days off during. 3games before the 1st for 13straight. And this 10game has 7 at home for the 17straight. Cincy has had a 9game road trip thus far as longest with a day off after 6. Their next 10game road trip (1st) after allstar break has a day off after 3games here, and the next 7 begin their 13games in 13days with 6 at home. Then they have their 3games at home-10games on road for 13straight to finish Aug 30. Certainly advantage through their season. And oh yeah we have another 17games in 17days in September vs just 9 as their longest. About that StL. team. They play us 7 times, Cincy 6 times, and Pitt 3 times in Sept. But talk about a gauntlet finish after Aug 16th. No team below 38wins currently.

Does the percentage even care or consider this scenario? The point is when it was 2011 Stl only had to worry about the Braves. They weren't behind 2 or more teams where it's guaranteed 1 will win when facing eachother. It's just how well does Atl play vs how well Stl played. Were there H2H games to play still? This current percentage likely goes off current rosters and not rosters when deadline is over. It's just the number of teams they have to gain on. 4 teams are like 8 or more games ahead of them. Add 5 games behind Milw/Cincy (on division deficit because again somebody has to win these upcoming 9games vs eachother. This is where was it Nate who pointed out the amount of win pct pace they'd have to be on to catch the top teams ahead of them. Each h2h between the teams currently ahead of the Cards is another .5 games the Cards are behind that team. Those 8 at the moment control their destiny finishing ahead of the Cardinals. Now I suppose Cubs/Pirates could have enough games facing the Cards that the Cards control their destiny over them. But that's not happening with all the teams ahead of them.

You are counting on 8 teams to fall apart. Underachieving teams like Mets/Padres to continue to play below expectations while a team 14games below 500 to suddenly make an epic winning streak the final half of the season. 1 team to overcome vs 8. A bunch of these teams will play vs. Eachother where 1 team has to win. Take Brewers vs Pirates now. Brewers vs Cubs next. No matter what they can't gain a game on 1 of the teams in that scenario. Without winning 7 straight games right now they will fall a game further behind that days winning team.

Jeimer Candelario playing mostly 3b for Washington has experience at 1b with Detroit. He'd be a rental but probably coveted by multiple teams. I'd think if we can get Frelick called up and playing CF with Wiemer to RF that may increase the RF situation. Just posted in NL Central discussion how the team is approaching 9 games vs Cincy 6 vs Atl 4 vs Cubs besides Pit/Phi all right before deadline. That 6 vs Cincy before/after deadline should really set the minds if buying or selling. With the 9 games vs Cin/Atl being the dagger which way.

We are about to play 13 straight games vs Pit(3) Chi(4) Cin (6) Will go a long way determining if they'll be buyers or sellers. Not to mention, after that they play Phi/Atl/Cin again/Atl finishing on July 30th. They won't play Cin again to finish the season after those 9 games. 3 or 4 wins I'd assume selling is in order. 5 or more they'd buy.

I'm optimistic Tellez' June OPS will beat Luis Arraez' BA for month of June. 427-424 after today. 😅

Was going to suggest trade for Ty France. But don't have the right mix of giveaways you would part with and they'd want. Probably cost Black+.

Let's chat about Reds here. They beat up on a 3rd game started rookie Atl pitcher that somehow squeaks in top 100mlb rankings with a 60-55-45-45 overall 55? His 2 seasons prior were 5+ERA. Braves brought him up after 7 good starts this year. Surprise 3.2 5R votto hit 2 HRs. De la Cruz a cycle. Most of the rest nada. Votto's 3R HR was after 2 Hit batters. Reds allowed 10runs. Kudos 12game win streak. how many wins/record did Tampa start with? 13. Opened 29-7 and just 23-19 since. They'll revert to their talent and start playing 18-24 ball. They have 27 comeback wins, a RP who's 8-1 with a fip over 5. They can't sustain what they've accomplished. SPs putting them behind and bullpen outperforming Fip with offense coming back to win. They do look like they have a lock down closer. De la Cruz is doing great through 15games. Let's see when pitchers adjust once finding a weakness how well he continues.

The debate is 2011 playoff teams were 4 from each league. Today it's 6 teams. Looked at 2011 team and they were .500 and better from 9-9 that season. This 2023 team is now 13games Below .500. 73games in to the season. The only reason they have any playoff chance is because the division leader is 3games over .500 on an 84.4win total on the season. Not 90games like 2011. The date you start at they were on pace for 85.76 wins. 2023 Cards now sit at a 66.58 win pace. I'll take 4.25 wins and luck outperform for 1 month vs 17.82 wins in last 89games/3months. They had 7.5games behind Atl and 8.5games Milw. That's it. 5th best record(tied) in the NL on that date. They are 5th in the division needing to jump 4teams. Not just 1 out of 2 collapsing. Atl on that date should have won 96games. They underperformed 7games vs the +5 by Stl.

On Cardinals and 2011-today. More teams can make playoffs then in 2011. So that last seen 12% is putting that in to the equation. Every worry that their team will have a hot stretch ignores a team like Cincy having a 9game and counting win streak. What does it matter when the Brewers or Cubs match that win output a week or 2 earlier or later than the stretch forthcoming by the Cards. A's won 7 straight iirc. Did it get to 8? When will this Brewers team get run scoring production from Winker/his replacement if DFA, Adames and Tellez again? All three are well over 1month of batting below even the lowest of preseason projections. Yet they continue to bat in top half of the lineups. Both Peralta and Burnes have underperformed their pitching expectations while Miley and Teheran exceed. It's sitting right there for this team to have another 18-20win month with the players you expect to produce yet continue to disappoint. Frelick is playing and could be interjected in to the ML lineup here shortly. That may spark the offense him leading off with current bat Yelich 3rd.

I blame Burnes 1st inning yesterday on you. Clearly Burnes is below average SP now.

Pointless. No reason to ask this question until after the trade deadline-Next year. Because at that point you'll know what the returns are(if any) for all the Brewers whose control ends after 2024 season. Which stands at 7-10players. Team could blow it up this year by trading most of those players and say Urias/Williams/Rea controlled through 2025. Tank to 70-ish wins, get a top 8 draft selection and have a stocked aplenty minors system of players you're likely seeing 5 or more play in September.

The counter I'd have on the RBs to shorten the field, is Rodgers had the green light to run, pass option change Lafluer's(whoever) called play at his discretion. He'd pass out wide to a WR when the O-line/RBs were in motion for the play to be a run. If the WR didn't catch the ball or break that first tackle, very little yards gained/none/lost yardarge. Had the running play happened, well Jones has a 5yards per carry avg. Dillon below 4 I believe. Expect it'll be different this season as Love won't be reading defenses anywhere as well Rodgers did to change the play without anyone knowing but him and the WR. Rbs will get the ball fed to them running more clock and more consistent pulling 4yards or more to shorten the field, even gaining 1st downs. Expect this to lead to a bunch of play action utilizing the 2 TEs or over the top deep balls to Watson. He really does have the full array of weapons that Rodgers never had. 2 receiving TEs vs Kuhn plus Finley.

Nice to see 2nd HR had runners on 2nd and 3rd with 2outs. Excited for this guy. He has to be headed to AAA before too long. How the team works him in to the Milwaukee lineup next season with Contreras really leaves me wondering. Which of the 2 puts on a 1b glove and plays there? How much DH time could there be when Yelich you would assume slides there next season.

Well for being 2 years younger and obviously not to the 119games Walker played for his entire age 20 season in 2022, Chourio has some games to build up to the similar stats besides hrs/rbi. Looks like we're at 38games thus far. You'd imagine the callup would happen in late June early July to AAA when a healthy Frelick/Wiemer would have joined the team. Injuries moved Wiemer right away and unfortunately took Frelick less than 3 weeks later. 6-8weeks is what was said Frelick would be down. What are we 3weeks in? Expect a callup around 65-70AA games to AAA. He can add 60+games at AAA to determine a Sept callup. August 1st if the crew trade say Wiemer or Frelick around deadline.

No it's the expectation because he has 2 veteran RBs to shorten down and distance to go. It's the expectation because Gutekunst used 2 draft picks in 2020 to select Love over helping the current team. He's special, that's what that move suggested. Love has had 3 years to prepare for this role. Burrows, Herbert, Tua, and Jalen Hurts had none. Hurts drafted after Love already established top tier QB besides Burrows and Herbert. I expect better from Love than rookie level record. Year 2&3 from the 4-Herbert 9&10 wins. Hurts 8&14 wins. Tua 7&8 wins. Burrows isn't fair to comp considering his sure fire generational QB taken 1-1, but 10&12. Average year 2- 8.5 wins. Year 3- 11 wins. I don't get why it should be comparable to Rodgers' 6wins just because 7 games lost were by 7 pts or less, with 5 being 3pts or less. Expected w/l was 8.9. 8.9wins in a 16game season is where the comp should be. Not the actual w/l. So again 9 at 16games and 10 if 17games. 2007 they faced a schedule for a 1st place 13win team. This season is following a 3rd place 8 win team. Easier schedule. Jennings was Rodgers #1 WR a 3rd year 52nd pick in 2nd rd. And Driver. Nelson and Finley were rookies that season. Ryan Grant and Brandon Jackson RBs with Kuhn FB. Compare Watson-Jennings Doubs-Driver Musgrave/Reed-Nelson Kraft-Finley Jones/Dillon-Grant Jackson. Seems to me Love has more weapons to play with better RBs again. He just doesn't have the veteran Driver but a higher drafted similar size Doubs. I think Gutekunst should be removed from GM if the team doesn't win 7 or more games. With only Love suffering a 10game or more injury saving him from that expectation. He built this roster for Love's emergence, not at all to surround Rodgers the last 3 seasons.

Wave the white flag and trade who's still playing that helps another team for a value prospect

I agree the defense should put more pressure on QBs. More pressure means more QBs making quick and at times poor decisions throwing the ball or bad throws on the run. The secondary will have more opportunities to make interceptions if they can catch the damn ball. That is giving the offense better field position and more chances to have a scoring outcome(if these aren't pick 6s 😁) The worry is how does Love react to pressure himself. Has he learned in 3 years to get rid of the ball and avoid taking hits? Will he run with the ball and slide or take hits? How well does his body respond to the hits, or is he soft and by week 5 his season is over? Can the O-line keep him upright consistently? I'm expecting to see a lot of screens out in the flats to WRs or TEs lined up 3 to a side this season. You've got guys with probably enough wiggle to make the 1st guy miss, and if the blocking is sustained they'll take 6-9yd chunks, where you hope Jones/Dillon turn in to 1st downs if the play didn't get them a 1st to begin with. If Love starts 16 games or all 17 games, I think it's a failure if they don't win 9games this season. 10 of he starts all 17. Obviously that can be adjusted if the defense suffers multiple injuries to key guys like Gary's impact did. And no team plays a full season without losing at least 1 top 8 player on it for numerous games. Think GB's history is filled with these losses before week 4.

To be fair, Varland left with the bases loaded 2 outs and Counsell gave the ball to a position player who promptly gave up a Grand Slam allowing all 3 of Varlands runners to score. Wonder if CC actually used a real pitcher how many of Varland bases loaded runners score. It will take 26.1IP of 0 runs allowed just to take his ERA from his final line to 3 ERA. Somebody needs to make sure he's alright and check in on him daily.

He's shown that the team can handle an Adames injury or trade future with his defense. As a 2b/SS great defense gives you a long leash with bad batting. And thus far Turang is showing better than bad batting.