Jump to content
Brewers and Tigers, join our game thread! ×
Brewer Fanatic

sveumrules

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,375

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    201

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

News

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects Ranking

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

Milwaukee Brewers Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Pick Tracker

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Looking at raw HR totals is misleading because of his correspondingly low PA totals. Power actually showed up in 2022. Posted a .182 ISO at A+ and a .162 ISO at AA in 2021. That jumped to a .242 ISO at AA in 2022 with 77 PA of 333/439/576 (173 wRC+). Showed it was no small sample fluke with 505 PA of .235 ISO in 2023 on an overall line of 271/396/506 (148 wRC+).
  2. sveumrules
    Encouraging in that it provides additional context with regards to him being old for his level last year. Sure, he was 25 in AA, but he also only got 277 combined PAs at A/A+ spread out over 2019-21 before making the jump.
  3. sveumrules
    FanGraphs article on the trade. Encouraging: Dunn has a lot of late bloomer indicators that make the age relative to level maybe a lil less concerning: 2019 draftee from Utah, missed year in 2020, dealt with injuries in 21/22. Discouraging: sounds like he is a pretty marginal 2B only type of defender.
  4. sveumrules
    Lillard has historically been a slow starter. .571 TS% career in November vs .588, .595, .595 and .589 career marks in December through March. Was even more pronounced last season with a .533 TS% in November followed by .635, .670, .688 and .614 marks for December through March.
  5. sveumrules
    On November 8th 2022, the Diamondbacks claimed Cole Sulser off waivers from the Marlins. I'd imagine some DBacks fan somewhere inevitably proclaimed them World Series bound after the transaction was made. That DBacks fan was right.
  6. sveumrules
    No doubt. Just using Brewers prospects as an example, Burnes would probably require a headliner like Black. Has had success at the higher levels, but has some questions about his glove keeping him in the back half of the Top 100 mix. Could probably get Glasnow for a guy like Lara. Similar, maybe even greater upside than Black, but also more risk being farther away from MLB and without a ton of physical projection. Guy that could be in the Top 100 himself in a year, or could get exposed the higher he climbs the ladder and flame out along the way.
  7. sveumrules
    Burnes is healthier, and like $10M cheaper. Would think any team with enough payroll room to pursue Burnes would be viewing Glasnow as a back up plan.
  8. sveumrules
    Pretty much what I was going to say. Can't see a case putting him any higher than Henderson. Only guy in the 17-20 range I'd maybe consider over Dunn is O'Rae just because I love his skillset so much, but don't think he's ever going to develop any meaningful power whereas Dunn has already flashed some at AA.
  9. sveumrules
    Old for the level, sure, but Dunn just put up a 148 wRC+ at AA. I doubt Moore or Mendez ever come close to that kind production.
  10. sveumrules
    Maybe @Brock Beauchamp has stuff that old archived somewhere? Searched posts with Counsell in the title and looks like the oldest hit was April 2021.
  11. sveumrules
    Yup. Contreras (5.4 WAR), Miley (3.4 rWAR), Payamps (+3.01 WPA), Peguero (+1.42 WPA), Wilson (+1.32 WPA), Rea (1.3 rWAR), Perkins (1.2 WAR), Canha (1.0 WAR) Miller (0.9 WAR), Teheran (0.8 rWAR), Santana (0.7 WAR) and even Anderson (0.5 WAR) all came out in the positive to the tune of about 20 wins versus Winker (-0.8 WAR), Voit (-0.4 WAR), Singleton (-0.4 WAR), Tapia (-0.3 WAR) costing only a couple wins on the negative side. Even stretch run IGT whipping boy Chafin ended up with a dead nuts even zero point zero WPA on the season. What will offseason two yield? I don’t know, but there are many viable possibilities all across the buy sell spectrum and I’m excited to see how it all plays out over the next few months. Jackson Chourio is hitting 391/472/565 in winter league, that means way more than anything happening in this thread.
  12. sveumrules
    Nobody quit anything. Neither Stearns nor Counsell were beholden to Milwaukee. Did Sabathia or Fielder quit when they signed elsewhere as highly regarded free agents?
  13. sveumrules
    Just like Mendoza with the Mets, Espada with the Astros, Vogt with Cleveland. For all his altruism, Counsell’s record deal doesn’t seem to have had much impact on the managerial market yet.
  14. sveumrules
    Would have preferred a young unknown first timer from outside the organization, but still better than a Shildt, Mattingly or Ross type so shrug emoji. The organization obviously has a better idea about Murphy’s capabilities than I do, so guess I’ll hope they got it right. The player moves they end up making the rest of the winter are going to have a way bigger impact on how 2024 plays out than this hire (whoever it was) anyway.
  15. sveumrules
    Ouch. Hopefully means more minutes for Andre Jackson Jr,
  16. sveumrules
    That’s Sveumer’s senior picture stolen from the internet. My earliest Brewers specific memory is pulling an Earnie Riles from my first ever pack of 1986 Topps baseball cards.
  17. sveumrules
    I’m not old enough to remember those teams first hand, but it’s pretty tight by raw winning percentage. 1978-83: 518-400 (.564 W%) 2018-23: 487-384 (.559 W%) 1978-83 played the same 12 teams for all 918 of those games with a much tighter payroll spread league wide. Didn’t the whole collusion scandal go on during this time? 2018-23 played much more varied competition while facing a greater payroll disparity. They definitely got to those very similar winning percentages in drastically different ways. 1978-83 pitchers posted a 101 ERA- (14th) and 104 FIP- (21st) compared to a 91 ERA- (5th) and 95 FIP- (5th) for 2018-23. On the position player side 1978-83 came in at 114 wRC+ (1st) and -57.7 DEF (16th) compared to a 99 wRC+ (16th) and +107.5 DEF (1st) for 2018-23.
  18. sveumrules
    So last played 3B at AA in 2019 with zero innings anywhere other than 2B since. Some adventurous team might be willing to try India at 3B after a five year, two level layoff at the position but I highly doubt it would be the Brewers giving up assets to roll those dice.
  19. sveumrules
    No thanks on India. Among 27 second basemen with at least 1,500 innings since 2021 he is 26th in DRS (-21) and 27th in OAA (-23). That puts him in the bucket where he pretty much has to hit for a 120 wRC+ to have any value. He’s at 960 PA of 98 wRC+ shaking out to 1.7 WAR since his ROY campaign.
  20. sveumrules
    He had 34.2% and 26.9% K rates over just under 60 IP each at A+/AA with TBR in 2021. For whatever reason (injury, wasn’t ready for AAA yet) that bottomed out to 14.1% over 60 IP at AAA with CLE in 2022. This year he bounced back to a 28.7% K rate over 137 IP at AA.
  21. sveumrules
    That was my first thought, but we only got four guys for Hader, not six…so a 1/3 dozed nobodies?
  22. sveumrules
    Nice comeback after an ugly first quarter, but just ran out of steam there at the end. Gotta think they hold on if Dame was closing it out instead of gassed Giannis turning it over twice in a row down the stretch.
  23. sveumrules
    Got a good chuckle out of this in Ben Clemens chat at FanGraphs today… Sanford: Where would you have ranked Craig Counsell’s managerial services in the top 50? Ben Clemens: Haha hmmmmmmm Ben Clemens: I think I’d rather add Counsell to my team than Wacha, so at least in the top 25
  24. sveumrules
    Yeah, last two years Baez is at 75 wRC+ and 2.7 WAR over 1137 PAs. Adames is at 101 wRC+ and 8.1 WAR over 1255 PAs last two years. Willy in Tampa put up a 103 wRC+ and 5.7 WAR over 1254 PAs. Kind of uncanny how close those PAs and wRC+ are with improved defense accounting for the WAR difference. Outside of the 135 wRC+ he posted over 413 PA when we first acquired him he has been a little above average in aggregate over his other 2,500 career PAs.
  25. sveumrules
    Royals had a couple middling seasons after their WS runs, but have won 338 games since 2018, fewest in MLB. Tigers at 355 are second worst. Until they turn out more than Bobby Witt, I'd have them down there with the Rockies and A's among the bottom three or four run franchises in the game currently. Brewers player development is on the entire other end of the spectrum.
×
×
  • Create New...