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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. It would appear as though they believe in themselves considerably more than a decent sized portion of the fanbase does.
  2. There is no such thing as a can’t miss prospect, that’s the whole reason the Brewers have placed so much emphasis on building and maintaining organizational depth since Stearns/Arnold arrived. But ultimately, yes, it’s too early to tell because the samples are still so small. Even with that said, all three have mostly lived up to their scouting reports in their brief taste of MLB thus far. Mitchell has flashed the excitement with a 119 wRC+ in his 141 PAs, but questions linger about how sustainable that is with a 38.3 K% and .441 BABIP under the hood plus all the injuries. Hopefully we’ll have another two tree hundred PAs to go off by the time the season’s over, but I’m definitely not counting on it. Frelick has 315 PAs now with better than average plate discipline (128 BB%+ | 83 K%+) and an affinity for singles (104 AVG+) but a paucity of pop (49 ISO+). The high likelihood of Sal being an average player was what carried his profile and so far that’s what he’s delivered. Wiemer always was considered the most boom or bust of the three and so far it’s been mostly bust. But even with as bad as the bat has been, he’s still notched 1.0 WAR in his 421 PAs on account of defense and base running so his overall impact is in the red. All told the three of them have totaled 3.1 WAR over their first 877 PA and counting which is pretty cromulent production for guys just getting acclimated to MLB. Meanwhile, our best non-Yelich OF the last two years has been the guy a vocal segment of the internet was up in arms about even being put on the 40 Man two winters ago just because they’d never heard of him.
  3. Murphy managed the Padres for 96 games in 2015. He is a second time manager. The Brewers lack of pitching has produced a 3.37 ERA (7th in MLB) before giving up only two runs tonight.
  4. Yeah, have a feeling YOHO might be grabbing one of the vacated spots on the next BF Top 20.
  5. The Rookie Exception in the CBA allows teams to sign their 1st round picks even if they are over the cap.
  6. Yeah, Fisher has already gone full scorched earth in Oakland. That not even they have signed Bauer to further thumb their nose at the what's left of the fanbase speaks volumes.
  7. Well, I did say "it appears as though". There is no need to talk to all 30 owners, the reality is he that isn't currently employed by an MLB team. He can't pitch in MLB until someone decides to hire him. Even with all the injuries hitting just about every team, no one has as of yet. Don't need a magnifying glass to read between those lines.
  8. It appears as though the owners of the 30 MLB teams have thus far decided he can’t pitch at the game’s highest level,
  9. Best pitcher in the California Penal League since Ricky Vaughn.
  10. Bob Uecker Harry Doyle bobblehead is probably the culprit for higher demand pricing on that one.
  11. What games are you looking at? I'm seeing $69 (sec 215 row 5) or $56 (sec 215 row 9) for Friday against the Yankees. For Monday against the Rays its $54 (sec 215 row 2) or $43 (sec 215 row 10). Thursday May 9 vs Cardinals its $55 (sec 215 row 2) or $45 (sec 215 row 13). Saturday STL game is a little pricier at $65 (sec 215 row 4) or $54 (sec 215 row 8). Tuesday May 14 vs PIT is $54 (sec 215 row 2) or $43 (sec 215 row 10).
  12. Elvis has the most shutdown appearances and the second highest WPA on the team out of the bullpen. Among relievers to this point, only Hudson has had more positive impact on the team’s winning percentage.
  13. Looks like it’s three guys holding them back from the very top currently… Hoskins at 1B (expected), Contreras at C (should hopefully improve based on last year) and Frelick in LF (likely small sample noise).
  14. Peguero (+0.53 WPA | 6 shutdowns) has been one of our best relievers along with Hudson (+0.77 WPA | 4 shutdowns) in the early going. Elvis’s 3.27 ERA is a little inflated by that BABIP you mentioned, but his 2.48 FIP is bettered only by Payamps (2.28) among RP that have gotten regular work so far. As far as the sustainability goes the bullpen is likely due for some regression as a group with a 3.09 ERA vs a 3.94 FIP, but the good news is Brewers bullpens have a recent history of beating their FIPs… 2023 (-0.62 | 1st) 3.40 ERA vs 4.02 FIP 2022 (-0.11 | 15th) 3.94 ERA vs 4.05 FIP 2021 (-0.32 | 6th) 4.02 ERA vs 4.34 FIP 2021-23 (-0.35 | 4th) 3.79 ERA vs 4.14 FIP
  15. Good summation. Obviously 20 games is still a tiny sample, but there are already some Brewers hallmarks showing up on the stat sheet... Defense. Brewers are currently 5th in the DEF column on FanGraphs. DRS (+2) has them closer to middle of the pack, but they are tops by OAA (+9). Framing is still in the red (-1.2), so should likely see positive regression there. Speed. 27 SB is 3rd in MLB while only 4 CS gives them a nice 87% success rate vs a 78.5% league average. Currently 5th in the BSR column on FanGraphs which also includes extra bases taken and outs on the bases with balls in play. Bullpen. Not quite on last years historic level, but currently at +1.79 WPA and 1.6 rWAR, which are both 3rd in MLB. They haven’t shown overwhelming stuff (98 FIP- | 13th), but have kept runs off the board (74 ERA- | 4th). Rotation. Similar story to the bullpen where they haven’t had the best stuff (103 FIP- | 16th), but are still keeping runs off the board (93 ERA- | 7th). A scooch ahead of the 2018 (97 ERA- | 107 FIP-) and 2019 (99 ERA- | 103 FIP-) rotations on a rate basis to this point. Lineup. Here’s where the Brewers have broken character. Currently sporting a 120 wRC+ and 5.7 R/G, both 3rd in MLB. I don’t think anyone honestly believes they are as good as the 82 Brew Crew (who also sported a 120 wRC+ at the plate) but barring major injury they should be much improved over last year (92 wRC+) and even with regression incoming have a shot at topping 2018 (105 wRC+) for the best hitting group of the Stearns/Arnold era.
  16. Nine days and one sweep of the Cardinals later, here is how FG sees the NLC shaking out… APRIL 22nd MIL (14-6) 84.9 Wins | 34.3% WinDiv CHI (13-9) 84.6 Wins | 31.7% WinDiv STL (9-13) 81.0 Wins | 13.6% WinDiv CIN (12-9) 80.9 Wins | 13.0% WinDiv PIT (11-11) 78.7 Wins | 7.3% WinDiv
  17. TRats go final with the 2-0 win. Jimenez finished with 5 IP | 2 H | 1 BB | 4 K before Chase Costello (2 K), Stiven Cruz (1 H | 1 BB), Aaron Rund (2 K) and Craig Yoho (2 K) finished it up with a scoreless frame each.
  18. Meeker induces a fly out to RF before striking out some guy named Cam Devanney to squash the Omaha rally.
  19. Nashville up 3-1 early via Chavez Young and Tyler Black solo shots plus a Vinny Capra sac fly. Brewer Hicklen has also walked twice and stolen a base. Nick Bennett stepping up admirably so far with 1 ER over 3.1 IP as James Meeker comes on to try and bail him out of a runners on first and second, one out jam.
  20. Wisco scored two bottom of first with a Dylan O’Rae walk, Jadher Areinamo double, Luis Lara fly out (Jadher to 3rd) and Matthew Wood sac fly. Edwin Jimenez has gone three scoreless with 1 H | 1 BB | 2 K.
  21. Denominator for K% is plate appearances (same as OBP) so “only” a 34:4 K% for Yophery so far. It would be nice if it were lower for sure, but given his production and age relative to league I think it’s live with-able for now. Chourio K’d 28% of the time when he was with Carolina so I’d hope Yophery’s K rate will creep down as he gets more exposure to A ball pitching.
  22. They were five games over before losing five of their last six. Offense has been fine, 112 wRC+ is 6th, 4.2 WAR is 5th, +0.68 WPA is 5th. Starting pitchers are throwing even fewer IP/GS than the Brewers by a fraction, but are still middle of the pack by WAR, WPA, ERA- and FIP- so they’re at least pitching decent in aggregate when they’re out there. Bullpen has been the drag so far with -0.4 rWAR (22nd) and -0.32 WPA (23rd) on account of a 107 ERA- and even less encouraging 114 FIP-.
  23. I know of thousands of people who think the Bucks will win this series. Their conviction is so strong they’ve bet money on it and everything.
  24. There are a lot of guys pitching well in Nashville, but they are mostly relievers, like Rob Z.
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