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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    What do posters upset with the trade believe would have been a more appropriate return for one year of an inconsistent back of the rotation SP and a 4th OF coming off a career worst year? It may be a salary dump, it may not. All depends on how the rest of the offseason plays out. If they keep Burnes and Adames and reinvest the money, it will pretty clearly not be solely about saving money. If they end up dealing Burnes and/or Adames, payroll was always going to go down in that scenario.
  2. sveumrules
    Yo, Adrian! You better call Tyrone. Adios, to the two longest tenured Brewers. Thanks for everything, fellas.
  3. sveumrules
    Eric Brown Junior.
  4. sveumrules
    Really thoughtful interview with Jed Bradley leads off this week’s Sunday Notes column over at FanGraphs.
  5. sveumrules
    They literally just signed a player for eight guaranteed seasons, plus two team options. Its the second longest contract of the offseason so far after Ohtani.
  6. sveumrules
    It's been reported as both. Initial reporting of $700M for clicks. OMG OHTANI GOT HOW MUCH?!?!?! Subsequent reporting identified the contract as being only worth $460M in present dollars (pretty much right in line with what was expected following his arm injury) due to the massive deferrals. For the purpose of dollar/WAR calculations, the $460M figure seems more relevant to me since that is how much MLB values the contract at.
  7. sveumrules
    Uh-oh, this guy better win a couple two tree Rolaids Reliever of the Year awards to justify trading long time BF.netcom favorite Cam Devanney.
  8. sveumrules
    Had a couple nice seasons from a peripheral perspective in 2021-22, with his 3.41 FIP ranking 43rd among 126 relievers who threw at least 90 IP over those two seasons. Didn't really strike anybody out (97 K%+, 97th of 126), but was decent at preventing HRs (86 HR9+, 76th of 126) and among the very best at limiting walks (65 BB%+, 13th of 126).
  9. sveumrules
    I would guess Wilken spends most of the year in AA, before getting a bump to AAA at some point in the second half. While Chourio got a full season in AA, most of the other recent young Brewers bats like Wiemer (84 G), Black (84 G), Mitchell (79 G), Turang (73 G) and Frelick (52 G) moved through Biloxi more quickly since they were already 21 to 23 instead of 19.
  10. sveumrules
    Hey, he’s getting a cool million more than Ohtani this year
  11. sveumrules
    MLBTR projected 3/42. FanGraphs came in at 3/39. Not too much of a Royals tax.
  12. sveumrules
    From the reporting on the Ohtani contract it sounds like MLB has proposed deferral limits in the past, but the union has rejected them. The easy fix would seem to be to continue to allow deferrals, but ditch the practice of applying the "present day value" towards the CBT. Maybe the owners will present something similar in the next round of negotiations if this kind of thing continues to happen beyond singular talents such as Shohei.
  13. sveumrules
    Because if they weren't allowed to defer the overwhelming majority of the salary, they wouldn't have signed him for $700 million in the first place. If all the money were required to be paid over the life of the contract, it would have come in much closer to the CBT hit of $460 million over ten years than the $700 million it was announced as with all the deferrals included.
  14. sveumrules
    It's all perfectly legal, just dirty and in bad faith, but hey, that's Capitalism in a nutshell.
  15. sveumrules
    Feliciano can't field the position and hasn't hit since A+ in 2019.
  16. sveumrules
    He was an 18th round pick in 2019 and didn't get his pro career underway until 2021 so definitely flew under the radar until he hit the ground raking. FanGraphs did have him #18 on their 2022 Twins list with this capsule summation to close his report... Patient bordering on passive, Julien’s bat is what will carry him to the big leagues. He could end up tracking like Josh Rojas, who was also not a good defender but ended up playing several positions, kind of like a blunt Swiss Army Knife. Julien has played first, second, third, and in left field, and projects as a bat-first platoon role player. They then bumped him to #3 on their Twins list and #82 overall with a 50 FV entering 2023 before graduating. Looks like they were the high outlet on him though as BRef doesn't list him making any other Top 100 lists.
  17. sveumrules
    Kind of funny that Taylor at 2/30 and Muncy at 2/24 are currently the Dodgers 4th/5th largest contracts on the books after Ohtani/Betts/Freeman and their remaining $1.1B in guaranteed cash. Don’t think they’d trade Max though because he just signed another under market extension. Mookie moving to 2B also bumps Taylor up a spot on the OF depth chart with Outman and Heyward their only other proven 40 Man options on the grass. I’d guess their priorities on offense the rest of the offseason will be to acquire an OF better than Taylor (moving him down to the 4th spot) and a SS better than Lux (who only has 500 MLB innings at the six and is coming off an ACL).
  18. sveumrules
    With the looming collapse of the RSN model the haves and have nots of MLB are only going to keep getting farther apart in the short term. Long term it could end up being a good thing though if it leads to more of a centralization of broadcast and associated revenues by MLB along with finally putting an end to the arcane blackout restrictions.
  19. sveumrules
    Yeah, not quite a 50/50 split, but Judge got 9/360 being two years older, so let’s say something like $425M for ten years of Shohei the hitter. Rodon just got 6/162 being one year older, but also not hurt at the time of signing, so maybe something like $175M for pitcher Ohtani. Then it sounds like deferrals will knock at least $100M if not more off the present day value. Believe Soto turned down $440M, and will be hitting FA five years younger than Judge, so gotta think he’ll be shooting for something like 14/600. To hit a billion it would pretty much need to be a perfect storm of a two way kid drafted out of HS or developed from LA as a teenager who hit free agency at like 26 to get an extra three four years tacked on Ohtani’s deal.
  20. sveumrules
    Saw on MLBTR that Roki Sasaki has asked to be posted too. Sounds like it won’t happen this winter, but if he does get posted before turning 25 (just turned 22) he would only be eligible to sign as a minor league FA under the international bonus pool versus signing as an MLB free agent by waiting three years.
  21. sveumrules
    Lotta money for a guy with a .000 batting average in the postseason. Guess that means he has a 0.00 ERA though too.
  22. sveumrules
    Deferrals help from a cash flow perspective, but it’s still a $70M yearly hit towards their CBT number. Dodgers are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games, guess they needed to do something desperate.
  23. sveumrules
    Hopefully Blue Jays or Giants land him but Dodgers feel like an inevitability.
  24. sveumrules
    Pass on Eloy. Too much money plus too many injuries equals too much inconsistency to tie up DH for three years. Plus give up valuable prospect capital to acquire him? No thanks. Just sign one of Hoskins, Garver, Belt, Turner or Santana for less money and no subtraction from the farm. If they’re gonna invest big in DH I’d rather go after JDM (126 wRC+ and 5.9 WAR over 1,709 PAs from 2021-23) than Eloy (116 wRC+ and 2.4 WAR over 1,047 PAs from 2021-23).
  25. sveumrules
    Garver games caught by month in 2023... April (3 games, only played 6 total) May (0 games, hurt) June (5 games) July (6 games) August (12 games) September (1 game) Caratini started 54 games at catcher last year, not sure Garver could be counted on for that kind of workload. Last time he clocked that many games behind the dish was back in 2021. He only started 41 games combined at catcher over 2022/23.
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