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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Both are definitely intriguing with some good statistical indicators, but as guys like Edwin Jimenez, Alexander Cornielle and Stiven Cruz have shown this year, it’s a long road from DSL success to even getting good results in Wisco. Should have a better idea once they come over stateside and we can get a better read on their stuff with more consistent video and reports.
  2. sveumrules
    They've also given 1,268 plate appearances to first year players Wiemer, Turang, Monasterio, Perkins and Frelick, getting a solid 3.5 combined fWAR in return. Sure, their collective offense hasn't been great (-35.5 total batting runs), but they've run the bases (+7.3 BSR) and fielded their positions (+20.5 DEF) well enough to each have provided positive overall value during their rookie seasons. BRef has them contributing even more value at 4.4 combined WAR with a breakdown of -36 BAT | +3 BSR | +35 DEF.
  3. sveumrules
    Chris Roller has presumably got to be some kind of defensive whiz in CF. 30th round pick by the Dodgers back in 2017 out of a community college, has never really hit, yet here we are six years later and dude has made it all the way to AAA playing the overwhelming majority of his innings in CF.
  4. sveumrules
    Bayden Root (1 H | 3 K) and Blake Whiting (2 K) each add another scoreless frame to their ledgers to close out the 7-2 Carolina win. Jose Chavez was credited with the win throwing two scoreless innings (1 BB | 2 K) of his own bringing his Mudcats ERA down to a devilish 6.66 on the season.
  5. sveumrules
    Existence is luck. I’m no astrologomizer or anything, but I’m pretty sure if Earth was a couple two tree light years in either direction we’d either be frozen stiff or burnt to a crisp. You think that sperm that beat all the other sperms to the egg to create each of our individual existences worked out twice a day, or knew a shortcut, or was somehow any different or better from all the other sperms? Of course not, it got lucky. And hey, we’re all still alive. How much luck is involved in that? On a universal level one flying space rock could wipe it all out. On a global level all it takes is one megalomaniac, and lord knows there are plenty. On an individual level, how many times have we each personally dodged death? Did we only escape those precarious circumstances because of our skill and intellect, or did some amount of luck lend a helping hand in those crucial moments? Of course luck similarly pervades baseball, it’s a feature, not a bug. Complaining about it on the internet demonstrates a fundamental misunderstanding as to how the universe (and thus, baseball) naturally unfolds. I’d expect nothing less from a Cubs fan.
  6. sveumrules
    Wait, I’m really confused now. The Badgers were up 31-10? From reading the thread I thought the defense got torched and the only play the offense made all game was an impressive run from Chez?
  7. sveumrules
    Looks like Jace trimmed the K% last year as the season went along too. Splitting each level into rough halves… ACL 1stH 78 PA | 39.7 K% ACL 2ndH 71 PA | 28.2 K% CAR 1stH 61 PA | 41.0 K% CAR 2ndH 58 PA | 29.3 K%
  8. sveumrules
    Lotsa big games in the box for what ended up a 7-1 Wisco win. The aforementioned EBJ went off (4-5, HR, 2B, SB) while Lara (2-5, 3B), Wilken (2-5, 2B), Mendez (3-4, BB) and Wood (3-5) had busy nights themselves. Woessner worked around 6 H | 3 BB over 5 IP to only surrender 1 ER with 7 K before Nick Merkel closed it out with three perfect frames (2 K).
  9. sveumrules
    No better quality for a starting pitcher to possess than the ability to inspire run support.
  10. sveumrules
    Or SantanCanha if you aren’t into the whole brevity thing.
  11. sveumrules
    I mean, obviously it’s a small sample of only 60 PA at AAA, but Winker is hitting 333/500/556 (173 wRC+) with a 25.0 BB% and 10.0 K%. Considering all the consternation over Hiura being robbed of his rightful opportunity with a 136 wRC+ at Nashville, it would seem like passing over the much hotter Winker could be the final nail in the coffin of the 2023 Brewers.
  12. sveumrules
    Yeah, looks like the command has slipped some recently from the progress he made midseason… 0406-0519 38 IP | 25 BB | 14.7 BB% 0525-0716 47 IP | 7 BB | 3.5 BB% 0722-0901 40.1 IP | 14 BB | 8.2 BB% For the season he’s at 8.5 BB% so this most recent version is probably closest to the “real” Robert.
  13. sveumrules
    Looks like last night’s outing set a new career high in IP for Freddy at 145 after logging 144.1 in 2022. He had 120 IP back in 2017 and followed that up with 144.2 IP in 2018 (including minors/postseason), so he’s been in this range a few times as a professional. Also has a pretty solid case for best pitcher in MLB post ASB… 2.1 fWAR (1st) | +1.50 WPA (1st) | 178 K%+ (1st) | 64 WHIP+ (1st) | 65 AVG+ (1st) | 57 xFIP- (1st) | 54 FIP- (2nd) | 54 ERA- (2nd) | 64 LD%+ (2nd) | 2.1 rWAR (4th)
  14. sveumrules
    Man, starting pitchers really showed out tonight in four out of the five games up and down the system… Gasser: 6 IP | 1 ER | 3 H | 3 BB | 8 K CarRod: 6 IP | 2 ER | 5 H | 1 BB | 8 K Cornielle: 6 IP | 2 ER | 6 H | 1 BB | 9 K Aquino: 6 IP | 0 ER | 5 H | 2 BB | 5 K
  15. sveumrules
    Tyrone’s best asset thus far has been his glove. Among 93 OF with at least 1,500 innings in the 2020s he comes in at +16 DRS (20th), +11.9 UZR (15th) and +13 OAA (20th). Assuming none of Frelick, Wiemer or Mitchell are moved in a bigger deal my best guess would be Taylor is traded with Perkins as the 5th OF.
  16. sveumrules
    That 38-38 record against teams over .500 is also 7th best in MLB. Phillies are just ahead of us at 39-37.
  17. sveumrules
    Runs Scored per Game Started… Peralta (5.2) Houser (5.1) Rea (4.7) MLB Average (4.7) Burnes (4.5) Woodruff (4.5) Miley (4.0) Teheran (2.8)
  18. sveumrules
    @Joseph Zarr clearly spent the late season off day with the white coats in the Brewers Posting Lab further fine tuning his already considerable skillz. Impressive effort, mon frere.
  19. sveumrules
    @patrickgpe came up with acute title for this thread. I don’t think I’m being obtuse when I say that’s just not right.
  20. sveumrules
    There are 293 players with at least 250 PAs this year. Bader’s 1.4 WAR puts him in a twelve way tie for 142nd place (on the high end) or 153rd place (on the low end), literally smack dab in the middle of the sample. Below average offense plus above average CF defense = an average-ish player. Players that have actually sucked badly this year would be guys like Jurickson Profar (-1.9 WAR), Enrique Hernandez (-1.5 WAR), Jean Segura (-1.3 WAR), Harold Castro (-1.2 WAR), Eric Haase (-1.2 WAR), Nick Maton (-1.1 WAR), Jose Abreu (-1.0 WAR), Winker (-0.8 WAR), etc
  21. sveumrules
    The odds I saw were Cubs (-130) Brewers (+110). Chicago has considerably more bettors, so I’d imagine the casinos’ takes were quite good tonight.
  22. sveumrules
    The Brewers won a game against the Braves in 2021. The Dodgers only beat them twice in the NLCS, and lost three games where they scored two runs each. The Astros also only beat them twice in the WS and scored four runs total in their four losses, getting shut out twice just like we did in the NLDS. The Braves made two of the best offenses in baseball that year look pretty listless in short postseason series. I guess the Brewers were swept 2-0 by the Dodgers in 2020, but that was kind of a listless year in general.
  23. sveumrules
    At the very least his combo of defense, speed and a 136 wRC+ vs LHP gives him a really nice floor as a 4th OF. At the same time, the power potential gives him a higher ceiling than either of Mitchell or Frelick for me. Just going to be a matter of figuring out how to get there with more consistency. Obvious fix to this internet commenter would be to just take a deep breath…simplify the set up/load…just kinda calm things down in general…provide the natural power a solid consistent base to explode from.
  24. sveumrules
    Here’s how things have shifted for the non ATL/LAD teams over the last couple weeks as we head into the Cubs series, same format as post above… PHI (93.9% | 87.9%) MIL (97.0% | 75.5%) CHI (65.4% | 61.8%) SFG (46.0% | 58.1%) ARI (56.2% | 27.4%) MIA (17.5% | 35.0%) CIN (21.0% | 17.4%) SDP (2.7% | 36.0%) Interesting to see the divergence on some of the teams even with only five weeks left to go. As a whole the FanGraphs percentages in column one feel a little more on the nose to me, especially with regards to the Brewers, DBacks, Marlins and Padres odds. As it pertains to NLC division odds specifically they have it… MIL (83.6% | 54.6%) CHI (15.4% | 39.6%) CIN (1.0% | 5.7%) Feel like the FG odds are closer here too. Cubs essentially need to go 5-1 head to head in order to close the gap and that seems a lot closer to a 15.4% chance than a 39.6% one.
  25. sveumrules
    He had a 94 wRC+ before going 2-5 today with 2 RBI and a run scored. He’s also been pretty clutch with his +0.75 WPA ranking 4th on the team entering the game. Either way, with bottom three in MLB production from DH (80 wRC+) and RF (69 wRC+) this year, mediocrity is a significant upgrade.
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