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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    On April 7th, Anderson had a 1,593 OPS through his first 27 PA. FanGraphs had that as a 0.7 WAR week. From then until going on the IL, he posted a .620 OPS over 307 PA. That’s a replacement level three months. Upon return he put up a .440 OPS over 21 PA from 0803 to 0822 before his PT completely evaporated. Maybe there was something more going on behind the scenes or whatever, but I think it just boils down to performance and health with a dash of being supplanted by Monasterio in the interim. The Brewers barely use their 13th (or 14th in Sept) position player, so my guess is they were fine with Anderson occupying that last man spot and getting minimal run while other guys (who might be needed later on) got more consistent AAA reps in the interim.
  2. sveumrules
    MLBTR reporting Colin Rea had language in his contract which will allow him to reach free agency this winter, so that will be one more open spot for the offseason.
  3. sveumrules
    Kind of an interesting, random tidbit in Dan Szymborski’s FanGraphs chat today. Someone asked which minor leaguers saw the biggest improvement in their ZiPS projection this year. Tyler Black was one of the five hitters, ok, pretty obvious after the year he put up, but then among the five pitchers was none other than James Meeker.
  4. sveumrules
    I would guess Burnes, Woody and Freddy each start and throw a few innings on their regular turns Thursday, Friday, Saturday with five days rest each. That would line them up on four days rest each for Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday of the Wild Card round.
  5. sveumrules
    They were losing by three runs, so Williams, Payamps and Uribe were likely out of the equation. Milner (the only other lefty) had already pitched, as had Wilson. With Megill on paternity leave and Teheran throwing three innings on Sunday, that left Chafin, Bukauskas or Rea as the options to come in and face the lefty Nootbar in that situation. Chafin allowed a walk and a single, but also recorded two outs and allowed zero runs in his appearance. Craig keeps going to him because he is on the roster and someone has to pitch low leverage innings to save the good relievers for higher leverage situations.
  6. sveumrules
    On the one hand, our outfielders are 10th in WAR and the Brewers are currently 5th in MLB for wins as a team, so I'd say he hasn't really been missed all that much. On the other hand, Mitchell has played in 44 career games with the Brewers going 30-14 in those games. Obviously a small sample, but Mitchell has definitely had some special sauce so far in his career with his +0.97 WPA ranking 6th among Brewers from 2022-23 even though his 130 PA only rank 26th.
  7. sveumrules
    Olson has a little bit of an edge on that next group (especially in BRef WAR) so I think he's a lock for the Top 4 with Betts, Acuna, Freeman. After that it should be between Carroll and Contreras for 5th/6th, but we'll see how closely the voters have been paying attention.
  8. sveumrules
    Yeah, looks like he last pitched 9/13. Probably done for the year.
  9. sveumrules
    BRef has Acuna +6 on base running, then -1 for double plays, which seems to line up with the FanGraphs number. Believe FG accounts for double plays under batting runs.
  10. sveumrules
    Why didn't they win in spite of cheapskate Selig for the last 15 years he owned the team then? 1989-2004: 1155-1369 (.458 W%, 2nd worst among non-expansion teams) 2008-2023: 1292-1192 (.520 W%, 7th of 30 MLB teams) Pretty remarkable to win in spite of ownership across multiple front offices, managers, coaches and players over the course of 15 years. How much do you think Craig is going to make Mark A increase payroll by annually in order to stay on board as skipper? And why did Mark A choose to run a franchise record payroll this year (and last year) if all he cares about is turning a profit?
  11. sveumrules
    They've won the 6th most games in MLB since 2018, and the 5th most games in MLB this year. They are doing alright for a team whose owner apparently doesn't care about anything besides turning a profit.
  12. sveumrules
    Or Escobar, who was traded for Greinke. Or Arcia, who has the 4th most SS innings in franchise history. But again, the past is irrelevant to the future since the whole program was revamped over the last few years and we’ve already started seeing the results at the MLB level.
  13. sveumrules
    Just won their 8th straight. Record is finally catching up to their run differential. FanGraphs had a nice deep dive on their chances.
  14. sveumrules
    No doubt there are factors to consider beyond raw win percentage. The league has expanded, scheduling formats are different, the talent pool has grown exponentially on an international scale, I don’t know what payrolls were like 1978-83 but I’m guessing they were much more tightly grouped and the Brewers weren’t at a hundred plus million deficit behind many of their competitors.
  15. sveumrules
    Hopefully we can finish this year out in the platinum tier.
  16. sveumrules
    Ethan Small stays in for the 9th and picks up the save going K, single, pop out, ground out to secure the 8-5 Nashville victory.
  17. sveumrules
    After tonight Brewers are 483-380 since 2018, a .560 W%. 1978-83 they were 518-400, a .564 W%. 1984-86 they were 215-268, a .445 W%. That’s a pretty serious hangover. 1987-92 they bounced back, 508-464, but that .523 W% is a healthy clip behind the current run or 1978-83.
  18. sveumrules
    Jahmai doubles (98.9 MPH exit velo x 26 degLA = 385 feet) to bring Cam around from first.
  19. sveumrules
    Alex Claudio gives up one in the eighth going K, single, double, ground out, single. Ethan Small then came on and stranded runners on the corners inducing a first pitch ground out. 7-5 Sounds bottom of eighth and Devanney leads off with a walk to turn the lineup over to Jahmai (and Jackson) at the top.
  20. sveumrules
    Lauer comes back out for the 7th and gets four outs via K, reach on Toro error, ground out and K to retire the side. Presumably ends his night at 7 IP | 4 ER | 6 H | 2 BB | 1 HBP | 10 K with 99 pitches (67 strikes).
  21. sveumrules
    Started off 143/333/250 (62 wRC+) over his first 8 G | 36 PA in Nashville. In the 28 G | 124 PA since he has hit 330/435/553 (150 wRC+).
  22. sveumrules
    Lauer struck out the first batter of the sixth on three pitches. Followed it up with a 104 MPH single, walk, HBP, mound visit. Struck out the next guy, but just surrendered a single to (who else) Austin Allen that plated two.
  23. sveumrules
    Darin Ruf singles Black home on a ground ball (97.3 MPH at zero degLA) to the left side. Now 7-1 Sounds heading to top of the sixth.
  24. sveumrules
    Tyler Black leads off the Nashville half pulling a triple to RF. 101.6 MPH exit velo x 21 degLA = 325 feet.
  25. sveumrules
    After sitting in the dugout for the long Sounds barrage, Lauer surrenders a lead off HR to Austin Allen. 91.3 MPH exit velo x 30 degLA = 337 foot wall scraper? Bounces back with a K, ground out, line out. Pitch count at 51 (39 strikes) through five IP.
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