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sveumrules
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Everything posted by sveumrules
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Cabrera throws right handed. -
As long Wiemer is starting vs LHP (which he has been) he is a platoon guy. His 123 wRC+ vs LHP is 5th on the team. What three guys are you replacing Rowdy, Wiemer and Anderson with that you can guarantee better production from?
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Yeah, replacing three of the black holes in the lineup with Sal SantanCanha has had a pretty noticeable effect… thru 07/31 87 wRC+ | 4.15 R/G 9.5 BB% | 24.4 K% post 08/01 97 wRC+ | 5.53 R/G 10.0 BB% | 20.9 K%
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Welcome to the site.
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Wiemer is the platoon CF vs LHP. He can also be a defensive replacement and pinch run. Tellez can pinch hit vs RHP. Anderson provides flexibility with his ability to cover 3B or RF. The 12th, 13th and 14th players on most teams rosters are of limited usefulness…that’s why they’re the 12th, 13th and 14th players on the roster.
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The gap in analytics has definitely narrowed from 20+ years ago when the A's were the only team "moneyballing". It sure feels inevitable that the "new moneyball" is just going to be good old fashioned money, but at the same the #1 (NYM), #2 (NYY), #3 (SDP), and #6 (LAA) teams by Opening Day payroll are already out of the chase. #7 (TOR), #9 (TEX), #10 (SFG) and #11 (CHC) are only gonna have a couple postseason reps. #12 (BOS), #13 (CHW) and #14 (STL) all flopped relative to spending/market size/history. Meanwhile teams like BAL (#29), TBR (#28), CIN (#26), MIA (#23), ARI (#21), MKE (#20), SEA (#18) and MIN (#17) remain in the hunt to varying extents with bottom half payrolls lagging in most cases $100M+ behind the offseason champions.
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Brewers can't afford to tie up valuable payroll space plus give up some kind of prospect capital for a player that is constantly injured, even only $10M per year. Players like Bryant are the ones who skew the dollar per free agent WAR equations the wrong way, -0.2 WAR for $46M so far.
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2023 Minor League Transaction Thread
sveumrules replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Started off ice cold...102/185/102 (-11 wRC+) over his first 54 PA. Then started figuring out before getting injured...326/426/437 (148 wRC+) over his next 162 PA. Has since hit 250/360/403 (111 wRC+) over 86 PA after coming back from that injury. Putting those last two stretches together and removing the abysmal start comes out to 300/403/425 (135 wRC+) with a 12.5 BB% and 16.5 K%. -
Couldn't agree on compensation, or Stearns just wanted a year off to refresh before jumping into the new gig.
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Need a list of Brewers journalists/influencers
sveumrules replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Al The Thinking Man -
All joking aside, from 2018 to 2022 the Brewers went 395-315, a .557 W%, 6th best in MLB. This year so far they are 80-63, a .559 W%, 6th best in MLB. I think we'll be fine.
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Still kind of confused why Stearns was such a hot commodity to begin with. All he ever did was luck himself into three aces and two elite closers then never assembled an offense to score any runs around them. Couldn't even draft a single hitter as good as Ryan Braun.
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First move will be acquiring (2024 NL Triple Crown Winner) Keston Hiura and installing him as the full time DH.
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Pitching is a lot like real estate. Location, location, location. Out of 268 SP with at least 10 IP this year Wicks has a 74 Stuff+, which ranks 259th. His 105 Location+ puts him in the Top 30 to 40 SPs though. Looks like he mixes it up pretty well to keep hitters off balance too with five different pitches he throws at least 7% of the time and a plus change up (35% usage) as his out pitch.
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The distribution is more important than the raw total. Only one inning over 20 pitches, and next to zero high stress pitches.
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Brandon. Woodruff.
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Brewers are scoring too many runs.
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Are we pouring it on yet?!?!?
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Adbert Alzolay to the 15 day DL with a forearm strain. Cubs will be without their closer for at least the next two weeks.
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I provided objective information to support my position. What objective information supports yours?
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NPDR (No Paragraphs Didn't Read)
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gmLI (game Leverage Index) measures the leverage when a relief pitcher enters the game. Here are Brewers rankings since August 1st, along with their innings pitched... Devin (2.31 gmLI | 12.1 IP) Payamps (1.69 gmLI | 14.2 IP) Peguero (1.48 gmLI | 16.1 IP) Uribe (1.19 gmLI | 17.0 IP) Milner (1.09 gmLI | 14.2 IP) Megill (0.74 gmLI | 11.2 IP) Wilson (0.73 gmLI | 17.1 IP) Chafin (0.73 gmLI | 10.1 IP) Chafin is 8th in gmLI and 8th in IP since August 1st, which to me indicates he was likely acquired to be 8th on the bullpen depth chart. If not, he would have been used more often and in higher leverage spots.
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Chafin was acquired to be 8th on the bullpen depth chart, not sure anyone ever thought he was the crown jewel of anything. I do recall many posters thinking SantanCanha were polished turds though.
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PCA looked like a legit CF defender when I saw him in Wisco last summer. Had a 136 wRC+ and 24.0 K% at AA this year, but that scaled back to a 105 wRC+ and 29.7 K% at AAA.
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BA’s last game was Aug 22. Since then Taylor is 9th on the team in PAs at 46. Bench players over that time are Rowdy (26 PA), Caratini (22 PA), Wiemer (12 PA), Miller (4 PA). BA (zero). CC has definitely locked in on a pretty consistent regular lineup since the trade deadline really. In 35 games since August 1st, games started breaks down as… Contreras (34) Turang (34) Adames (33) Monasterio (33) Santana (32) Yelich (32) Canha (31) Frelick (25) Taylor (18) Wiemer (13) Caratini (10) Rowdy (8) BA (5) The biggest factor in Anderson still being on the roster is the 14 position player minimum. From his (and Miller’s non-usage) it seems pretty clear they’d prefer a 15th pitcher.
