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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Not Logical Comparing a hopeful DH to an everyday SS Black has a 156 wRC+ with superior plate discipline and base running numbers, so Hiura doesn't have the best stats in the system either.
  2. sveumrules
    Brantley was the last player named, but that slot was never for a throw in. The PTBNL was always going to be the 2nd best player in the deal. Believe it was reportedly between Lucroy, Brantley and Taylor Green depending on how certain conditions of the trade played out.
  3. sveumrules
    Toro: can be optioned back to AAA, okay-ish fielder, doesn’t K at a ridiculous rate. Hiura: out of options, can’t field, Ks at ridiculous rate. That’s the logic.
  4. sveumrules
    1B options are pretty uninspiring - Moose Reunion? (102 wRC+), Carlos Santana (98 wRC+), CJ Cron (92 wRC+, day to day due to his back), Dom Smith (91 wRC+). Even though he hasn’t played a ton of 1B (87 innings this year, 97 innings in 2019, 537 innings in 2015) I’d be fine rolling the dice on Canha over the above names. Getting one of Tommy Pham (129 wRC+, but day to day with a groin), Randal Grichuk (117 wRC+) or even Teoscar Hernandez (96 wRC+ but StatCast says there’s a lot of bad luck in there) for DH would be my first focus though. Don’t think Ohtani gets dealt, but if he does and it’s to TOR they have Vlad Jr and Brandon Belt (125 wRC+) at first/DH currently. Could swoop up Belt in that scenario. If LAA sells, Brandon Drury (122 wRC+) would be another good option, though it looks like he is currently rehabbing a shoulder.
  5. sveumrules
    FanGraphs has updated their team lists to include draftees with Pratt (#5), Knoth (#6) and Wilken (#11) all slotting into the 45 FV tier. Bitonti (#19) and Boeve (#29) landed in the 40 FV tier.
  6. sveumrules
    It would be really exciting for fans of intentional walks.
  7. sveumrules
    Devanney’s 136 wRC+ last year was in 56 PA, Jones posted his across 236 PA this year so over 4x the sample size. I agree that Jahmai isn’t long for the roster, but think he will be losing his spot to a deadline acquisition with some kind of MLB track record.
  8. sveumrules
    Brewers 2B have a 67 wRC+ (27th) and 0.3 WAR (22nd) this year. Second base is definitely a need.
  9. sveumrules
    Winker’s $8.25M is the 5th highest salary on the team this year. Cutch’s $8.5M was the 4th highest salary on the team last year. They’ve spent big (by Brewers standards) on DH, it just hasn’t worked.
  10. sveumrules
    Ejected for arguing with the umpire about an HBP.
  11. sveumrules
    137 wRC+ (which is league adjusted) for Jahmai vs 99 wRC+ for Devanney. No doubt Cam has a better glove, but the Brewers are in more need of offense from their backup IF, and Jahmai has been a superior offensive performer this year.
  12. sveumrules
    Jahmai 290/421/543 in AAA this year. Devanney 251/347/452 in AAA this year. Jahmai has hit and hit for power on a whole other level this year than Cam.
  13. sveumrules
    Hiura was injured and didn't play from 5/12 until 6/16. He was hurt two months ago.
  14. sveumrules
    Career WAR is irrelevant to what they are owed moving forward, that production has already been bought and paid for. Trout is getting paid 8/284 and Yelich 5/137 for their production from 2024 onward. Again, there is no doubt that Trout is better and likely to outproduce Yelich, but by almost $150M? That is a big ask. Especially when Trout is at 3.1 WAR this year and hurt again while Yelich is looking resurgent at 3.6 WAR so far. Even if both players waived their NTCs and hit the trade market, only a small handful of teams could afford the money left on Trout's deal, which will also eat into his surplus value relative to Yelich's much more affordable contract which would be palatable to a larger number of clubs.
  15. sveumrules
    Trout has eight years and $284M left on his deal compared to five years and $137M for Yelich after this year. Of course Trout is a better player, but the extra three years and $147M in compensation he is owed eats into his surplus value considerably in comparison to Yelich.
  16. sveumrules
    No thanks on McMahon, he just doesn’t hit enough for this team’s needs, a career high 98 wRC+ so far this year and a 90 wRC+ over 2,550 career PAs.
  17. sveumrules
    26 BB vs 17 K over 127 PA this year is a good sign too.
  18. sveumrules
    Only 17 in the ACL and throwing 5.2 IP? Would appear the org has some degree of confidence in Manuel.. 21 K vs 6 BB over 28.2 IP is pretty solid for what, a high school junior essentially? BRef says he’s 4.4 years younger than the average player in the ACL.
  19. sveumrules
    Anthony Flores gave up 2 ER over his 4.2 IP for DSL1, but also registered 8 of those 14 outs via K. Now at 39 K | 15 BB over 28.2 IP this year vs 30 K | 22 BB over 34.2 IP last year. Among lower bonus guys, Brian Sanchez now at 333/462/478 with 18 K | 17 BB in 91 PA for DSL1. And in his second DSL go round Demetrio Nadal is putting up a ridiculous 379/494/606 with 12 BB | 6 K and 20 SB | 3 CS over 85 PA.
  20. sveumrules
    It was a minuscule, unsustainable sample. 13 HR out 31 fly balls in those 173 PA. He struck out 74 times, walked 17 more and got plunked six times, so he only had 76 total batted balls to begin with. Aaron Judge has a 32.5 career HR/FB%, anybody who posts anything over that for a stretch should be counted on to regress heavily, just as Keston did to close out 2022. Hiura’s career HR/FB% is 23.1. Seriously, all this internet ink spilled over a couple wall scrapers in a 31 fly ball sample.
  21. sveumrules
    Mejia & Megill are the only up/down relievers on the roster right now and Justin Wilson will be taking one of those spots once his rehab assignment is up in a couple days. Somebody(s) from the rotation will have to go back to the bullpen when Woodruff and Miley are back. Sounds like Ashby is on track to return at some point in a relief role too. Would hope any relief addition is for a smaller price than Gasser or Rodriguez, especially after Reese Olson for Daniel Norris last deadline.
  22. sveumrules
    With Winker at a 66 wRC+ and Rowdy at 79, even a couple league average bats would be game changers for this offense. My guess is they try to acquire a couple of those kinda guys at the deadline and then use Hiura, Urias, Toro (if they aren’t part of those trades) or maybe even Black/Chourio (if they remain ridiculously hot) to possibly supplement the offense over the last two months.
  23. sveumrules
    Doubt Moreno would sign off on anything less than a Chourio headlined package.
  24. sveumrules
    One weeks worth of PAs until the deadline won’t tell us anything we don’t already know. It’s not a large enough sample to draw any meaningful conclusions from. Which is essentially Hiura’s whole issue in a nutshell. Since he strikes out so often, and doesn’t walk, and doesn’t play defense, he has to get top tier batted ball results to have any value at all. .355 BABIP and 29.8 HR/FB%, you get a 115 wRC+ like last year. .269 BABIP and 10.0 HR/FB%, you get a 53 wRC+ like 2021. Last year itself is a tidy encapsulation of the phenomena… Through Aug 22: 173 PA | .381 BABIP | 41.9 HR/FB% | 143 wRC+ After Aug 22: 93 PA | .319 BABIP | 6.3 HR/FB% | 63 wRC+
  25. sveumrules
    There is no madness, just baseball happening. Hiura is out of options, call him up now and he has to stay on the roster all year or risk losing him to another org. The new DH is very likely to be acquired via deadline deal, at which point Winker should be DFA’d in turn. Now that the deadline is a hard deadline and there isn’t a month afterward to make waiver pickups, organizational depth is more important to cover for potential injury. If some other organization wants to give Hiura a spot on their 26 man, I can’t imagine the Brewers will stand in their way. If he’s still in Nashville on August 2nd that essentially means Milwaukee isn’t the only team who doesn’t view him as an MLB player currently.
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