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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Miller’s 96 wRC+ is 3rd highest among regulars and his 1.3 WAR is 5th on the team. Not sure how DFA-ing one of the five position players we have that’s cracked 1.0 WAR so far would improve the team.
  2. sveumrules
    Alex Jackson has a 1.003 OPS in Nashville. Franchy Cordero has a 1.082 OPS in Scranton (572 OPS in NYY). Bobby Dalbec has a 1.057 OPS in Worcester (452 OPS in BOS). Matt Reynolds has a 1.021 OPS in Louisville (400 OPS in CIN).
  3. sveumrules
    If a player provides no defensive value, the bat has to carry the whole profile. Recent “can’t miss” bat first picks like Alec Bohm (#3 overall in 2018, 1534 PA of 99 OPS+, 0.7 career WAR), Andrew Vaughn (#3 overall in 2019, 1392 PA of 103 OPS+, 0.5 career WAR) or Spencer Torkleson (#1 overall in 2020, 771 PA of 85 OPS+, -1.2 career WAR) are the highest profile recent examples of how big of an ask that is. Hiura was supposed to be the safest bat in his draft class (and hey, his 1.5 WAR is still the highest of any 2017 1st round hitter), but with no position to play and streaky offense it’s hard to stay in the lineup (or MLB) to get consistent playing time.
  4. sveumrules
    The root of the problem with Hiura is it’s hard to set reasonable expectations because his track record is full of wild fluctuations. His main problem this year has been timing with his injury happening a couple two tree weeks before Winker went on the IL and Singleton got the call. He also hasn’t quite regained that mojo he had pre-injury (134 PA of 156 wRC+), with 74 PA of 110 wRC+ since returning. My guess is they give Winker until the deadline before replacing him via trade with Keston remaining more of a break glass in case of emergency option.
  5. sveumrules
    Best approach against Devin is to hunt fastballs up and spit on anything down because it’s hard to land the change up for a strike. Fastball down plays better location wise off the change up to steal called strikes.
  6. sveumrules
    Reds only had 6 LOB tonight.
  7. sveumrules
    Saw Ryne Moore pitched a clean first inning in his first appearance of 2023. He had six nice starts at Carolina last year (35 IP | 2.31 ERA | 38 K | 11 BB), but struggled at Wisco (30 IP | 6.82 ERA | 26 K | 9 BB). Juan Baez (3-4, 2B, SB) having another big day as it’s currently 2-2 bottom of 6th.
  8. sveumrules
    He was non-tendered by the Angels. Brewers signed him to a minor league deal with ST invite.
  9. sveumrules
    Nashville fired up after the ejections. Luis Urias bomb plus a bases clearing Skye Bolt triple have them up 5-0 bottom 5th. Luis Contreras (3 IP) and Darrell Thompson (2 IP) posting the zeroes.
  10. sveumrules
    Lots of early action for Carolina up 5-2 top of 5th. Luis Lara (1-2, BB), Gregory Barrios (2-3, 2B, SB), Jadher Areinamo (2-2, 2B, SB) and Jesus Chirinos (1-1, BB) all busy on the bases so far. Quinton Low with his longest outing of the year at 4 IP | 1 ER | 3 H | 1 BB | 5 K.
  11. sveumrules
    I’m honestly happy for Reds fans. They haven’t been to the playoffs after a full season since 2013, and that was a one & done Wild Card. Their only winning full season since then was going 83-79 for their “all-in” 2019. From 2014-22 only the Tigers and Marlins won fewer games in all of MLB. They’ve been bad for a long time, they should be stocked with young talent and starting to finally come out of it. Brewers fans have been living the high life by comparison, from 2017 through today they have won the 7th most games in MLB. But that 2018 NLCS was a long time ago, and the 2021 NLDS offense has returned for the 2023 regular season. Stearns & Hader are gone, Woody is hurt, Peralta, Burnes & Adames are underperforming to varying degrees, some think Counsell has one foot out the door. It’s definitely looking like twilight for this (still pretty young) old core, but Milwaukee is the kind of town where the fun really starts happening when the sun goes down, so maybe they can still brew up one last batch of Oktoberfest.
  12. sveumrules
    With the next six against the Reds, thought it might be interesting to see how the projections move around before & after. So here are current NL Central division odds… FanGraphs MIL: 48.8% CIN: 36.5% Five Thirty Eight MIL: 49% CIN: 20% Baseball Prospectus MIL: 59.4% CIN: 28.0%
  13. sveumrules
    But why wouldn't the Reds have to take a long look in the mirror for drafting OF Austin Hendrick #12 overall in 2020 (currently OPS of 602 in A+) instead of OF Garrett Mitchell (#20 overall, 1.5 MLB WAR) or OF Mac Wainwright #113 overall in 2020 (never played, sexual assault conviction) instead of OF Joey Wiemer (#120 overall, 1.0 MLB WAR)?
  14. sveumrules
    Adam Frazier maybe? Or maybe he's just the first short lefty that comes to mind.
  15. sveumrules
    Which one?
  16. sveumrules
    Gain experience. 6 IP in AAA so far this year, 18 career IP in AA.
  17. sveumrules
    pre-injury: 134 PA | 331/396/678 (156 wRC+) post-injury: 61 PA | 283/377/377 (97 wRC+) Hiura hasn't quite regained his pre-injury mojo since returning to the lineup.
  18. sveumrules
    Man, James Meeker just keeps putting up numbers. Since giving up 5 ER on June 3rd, he has made six appearances (the last three of them starts) throwing 19 IP with 22 K vs 2 BB and a 1.42 ERA. Gotta think he's Nashville bound sooner than later.
  19. sveumrules
    Last pitched 7/2 and believe he is pitching in the Futures Game.
  20. sveumrules
    Tapia’s first game was 6/14, Hiura’s first game back from injury was 6/16. Raimel is also a much better defensive OF than Keston. Jones & especially Turang (called up for Urias) are also better defenders than Hiura, with Jahmai also hitting better than Keston in AAA this year while not being in the process of recovering from injury. Jahmai also has an option so it was an opportunity to add a player to the org. The Brewers pretty much see Keston as 1B/DH only, none of Tapia, Jones or Turang are filling that role so I don’t see them being on the team as any dismissal of Hiura as a possible future contributor.
  21. sveumrules
    Yeah, by BaseRuns the Cubs should have our record and we should have theirs. Obviously there is a lot playing into each team over/under performing their indicators, but the biggest difference appears to be between the Brewers bullpen (+5.21 WPA, 1st) and the Cubs relievers (-2.21 WPA, 23rd).
  22. sveumrules
    With Woodruff, Ashby, Lauer, Uribe?, Gasser?, there is some intriguing depth of arms in house that could help post-deadline. Would definitely prefer to focus whatever resources on upgrade(s) to the offense.
  23. sveumrules
    Man, going from the good time vibes of the American Graffitis into American History X is a pretty stark contrast. Ed Norton is one of my favorite actors and that role is up there among his best. Also love Armageddon even though I’m not normally a huge action summer blockbuster fan. Just a stacked cast top to bottom. If you have Deep Impact you could break the alphabetical system and go for the “Asteroid Hurtling Towards Earth” double feature.
  24. sveumrules
    Yeah right now there are the Marlins (49 W), Phillies (44 W) and Dodgers, Giants, Reds & Brewers (all at 46 W) pretty bunched up together three four games apart in the standings. Automatic playoff teams like the Mets & Padres floundering, plus the various uncertainties of those six teams above definitely help the odds of the NL Central loser grabbing a Wild Card spot.
  25. sveumrules
    Caleb Boushley dealing so far at 7 IP | 1 ER | 4 H | 0 BB | 7 K. Sounds currently up 6-1 after seven with Urias (2-4), VanMeter (0-2, 2xBB), Bolt (3-4, 2x2B), Jackson (2-4, 2B), Devanney (1-4, 2B) and Reed (1-2, BB, SB) all reaching twice or extra base hitting.
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