Jump to content
Brewer Fanatic

sveumrules

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    10,922

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    213

 Content Type 

Profiles

Forums

Blogs

Events

Milwaukee Brewers News, Rumors & Analysis

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospect Rankings

Milwaukee Brewers Videos

2022 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Milwaukee Brewers Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Milwaukee Brewers Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2024 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Milwaukee Brewers Players Project

2025 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Milwaukee Brewers Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Yeah, think it's just a platoon thing. Omar could get the call to pinch hit once Lester is out then catch a couple two tree innings.
  2. sveumrules
    So he generally loses as a lower seed. Makes sense. Exactly. Pretty much just like any other coach normally would. I guess I was just expecting better results considering his reputation. Outside of the bubble fluke they've essentially been the definition of a treadmill team.
  3. sveumrules
    Should be interesting to keep an eye on for sure. His professional high is 141 back in 2018 & he's currently on pace for about 170 IP this year. Normally that wouldn't be too concerning of a jump, but after only throwing 29 IP last year they'll probably proceed with (& err on the side of) caution as the summer progresses.
  4. sveumrules
    Erik Spoelstra has been the head coach of the Heat for 13 seasons. Four of those seasons he had the LBJ/Wade/Bosh superteams & it looks like last year's bubble performance was probably anomalous. That leaves eight seasons, three of which they missed the playoffs. In the other five seasons his playoff record is #5 seed (lost 3-4), #5 seed (lost 1-4), #3 seed (won 4-3, lost 3-4), #6 seed (lost 1-4) and #6 (lost 0-4). So a 1-5 series record & 12-23 overall record when he isn't coaching with a stacked deck or in the bubble. Don't get me wrong, I think Spo is a very good coach, but reports of his genius seem a little overstated.
  5. sveumrules
    Regarding Cabrera, he's been continuously available seemingly every year, always seems somewhat productive, always signed for relatively cheap, yet Stearns has never gone that way. I've also wondered why Stearns hasn't shown interest in Cabrera over the last 2-3 years? Hell, he signed with Arizona this year for only 1.7 million, pocket change. Asdrubal is 35 years old, pretty meh defensively, is a big negative on the bases & put up a 96 wRC+ over 213 PAs in 2020 after posting a 98 wRC+ over 514 PAs in 2019. If he's still rocking a 139 wRC+ at the trade deadline (I'll take the under), Stearns & company should be able to pick him up for a low level prospect if they're interested.
  6. sveumrules
    Yes they do. I dont know how to paste pictures but here is the link of all the zone charts. You can filter by year. https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/christian-yelich-592885?stats=statcast-r-zones-mlb Thanks for the link, looks like my theory has some degree of teeth... Middle/Middle: Swing % / wOBA 2018: 81 / 649 2019: 81 / 625 2020: 66 / 416 2021: 75 / 524 Middle/In: Swing % / wOBA 2018: 75 / 393 2019: 76 / 439 2020: 66 / 427 2021: 69 / 221 Middle/Down: Swing % / wOBA 2018: 60 / 467 2019: 63 / 532 2020: 57 / 260 2021: 63 / 098 Down/In: Swing % / wOBA 2018: 67 / 500 2019: 64 / 323 2020: 59 / 264 2021: 61 / 000
  7. sveumrules
    Yep that is obviously the caveat here. You kind of have to put an asterisk on the whole 2020 season and Yelich and Hiura definitely haven't had the ABs this season to justify a trend but it is still interesting to see the numbers. Really enjoy digging into the stuff Baseball Savant has. Does Savant have heat maps for swing frequency/wOBA within different sections of the strike zone? My personal, totally unsubstantiated theory is that during his breakout Yelich was doing a lot of damage jumping on pitches inside/down, but post-injury he has been laying off those pitches for fear of drilling another one off of his knee.
  8. sveumrules
    Plate discipline numbers stabilize relatively quickly, but it's also important to note that 2020/21 Yelich is only 317 PAs so far compared to 1231 PAs for 2018/19, so we are still talking about samples that are magnitudes apart in size. Now, there is no doubt that Yelich has been more passive since he busted his knee cap fouling a pitch off of it, but you can already see that he is getting more aggressive this year than he was last year & as he gets more comfortable in the box & with his spine I'd imagine his approach will continue to likewise evolve.
  9. sveumrules
    Anyone still think Jrue is only a marginal upgrade over Bledsoe?
  10. sveumrules
    A major change is certainly incoming starting tomorrow. The teams we played over the first 50 games (MIN x3, CHC x9, STL x6, PIT x3, SD x7, MIA x6, LAD x4, PHI x4, ATL x3, KC x2 & CIN x3) have a winning percentage of about .521 so far. The teams we play over the next 42 games (WAS x3, DET x2, ARI x7, CIN x10, PIT x7, COL x7, CHC x3 & NYM x3) before the All Star Break have a winning percentage of about .420 so far.
  11. sveumrules
    The Brewers were always one of the least active teams in Latin America before Stearns and company got here. I guess I don't see how the organization's previous lack of results doing next to nothing are really relevant now that they have upped their efforts & investment considerably. It's almost like Stearns & company recognized the organization's lack of a presence in Latin America was problematic, so they took steps to address that & we are just now starting to see the earliest buds pop up from what will hopefully someday be the fruits of that labour.
  12. sveumrules
    Expect a lot of points & at least a six game series. Durant/Harden/Irving is a lot of firepower for anyone to contend with, but the Bucks are much better equipped to at least put up a fight against them than the Nets are to deal with Giannis, who should absolutely feast inside.
  13. sveumrules
    FanGraphs with a David Hamilton interview today... https://blogs.fangraphs.com/brewers-prospect-david-hamilton-can-really-motor/
  14. sveumrules
    Quintana? Kid can throw.
  15. sveumrules
    For whatever it is or isn't worth ZiPS rest of season projections have Vogelbach down for a 788 OPS, second on the team behind Yelich (894) & just ahead of Omar (761), Avisail (759) and Kolten (756). I would guess the Brewers internal projections are spitting out something similar which is driving Dan's lineup placement.
  16. sveumrules
    Yeah, my preferred order of potential outcomes at this point would be 1) trade for a haul 2) retire & write out a check to the Packers 3) QB in GB.
  17. sveumrules
    Yelich guaranteed day off tomorrow.
  18. sveumrules
    Is this true? I hadn’t heard that. Yeah. I can’t find the video, but it was from the Braves game. He had it between the thumb and webbing on the inside of his glove. I know a lot of pitchers do it, but it will be notable if they actually crack down on it. Isn’t Peralta a big spin rate guy and that is part of why he is much improved these days? Thought this was a pretty interesting look at how Freddy has tweaked his wind up & breaking ball shape/usage in 2021... https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fastball-freddys-fast-new-windup/ According to StatCast the active spin on his slider is the same as 2020 & the active spin on his fastball has increased 2% from 83 to 85.
  19. sveumrules
    The only one of those four that looks like a whiff at this point is Ray. For the rest its still a little early to say. Even with hus struggles, Hiura has made more of an MLB impact (0.9 WAR) than any of the first round position players picked after him in 2017...Jo Adell (-1.5 WAR), Evan White (-0.4 WAR) or Brent Rooker (-0.6 WAR). Turang could end up Escobar/Arcia part III, though he's shown a much better approach with a 15% walk rate so far in the minors compared 5.3% for Alcides & 7.5% for Orlando, that's a pretty notable difference. Small was drafted #28. Anybody projected as a 1/2 starter is typically off the board by then. If Ethan ends up a 3/4 starter that would hardly be a whiff.
  20. sveumrules
    Adames @ Tropicana Field (576 PAs): 219/277/347 (76 wRC+) 31.2 K% Adames @ Everywhere Else (628 PAs): 291/363/495 (130 wRC+) 28.3 K% Hopefully there will be some upside to getting Willy out of the Trop. Saw he's wearing #27 so maybe there'll be some of that GoGo magic still left in there somewhere.
  21. sveumrules
    No position player we could have drafted in the 2020 or 2019 first rounds have played in MLB yet. The only position player we could have drafted in the 2018 first round to play in MLB so far is Nico Hoerner. One guy. The only position players drafted after Hiura in the 2017 first round are Jo Adell (-1.5 WAR), Evan White (-0.4 WAR) & Brent Rooker (-0.6 WAR), all of whom have been worse than Keston (0.9 WAR). That brings us back to 2016, where yes, the Ray & Erceg picks looks like flat out whiffs but we still have Feliciano in the pipeline, ready to maybe make an impact five years later, because that is how long prospects typically take to develop. The idea that we could have a lineup half full of home grown hitters if Stearns & company had only drafted better is demonstrably false. Since 2010 the Brewers have drafted 2 position players total that currently have at least 1 bWAR. Mitch Hanniger and Trent Grisham. It's not all on Stearns obviously since he's only been around for part of that time, but it's demonstrably true that they've gotten pretty much zero help offensively from the last decade of drafts. In 2009 they did draft Khris Davis, but like the other two 1+ bWAR guys he didn't get his WAR in Milwaukee. Edit - I think I missed Garrett Cooper, we traded him for Tyler Webb. Right. Stearns & company have had to augment the Major League roster with veteran hitters because the cupboard was mostly bare when they arrived & there hasn't been enough time for three out of their five draft classes to make an MLB impact as of yet.
  22. sveumrules
    Melvin's post-Prince 1B were ugly posting a 90 wRC+ (29th) & -1.8 WAR (29th) from 2012-15. They've been much improved since Stearns & company arrived posting a 116 wRC+ (11th) & 9.0 WAR (13th) from 2016 through now.
  23. sveumrules
    No position player we could have drafted in the 2020 or 2019 first rounds have played in MLB yet. The only position player we could have drafted in the 2018 first round to play in MLB so far is Nico Hoerner. One guy. The only position players drafted after Hiura in the 2017 first round are Jo Adell (-1.5 WAR), Evan White (-0.4 WAR) & Brent Rooker (-0.6 WAR), all of whom have been worse than Keston (0.9 WAR). That brings us back to 2016, where yes, the Ray & Erceg picks looks like flat out whiffs but we still have Feliciano in the pipeline, ready to maybe make an impact five years later, because that is how long prospects typically take to develop. The idea that we could have a lineup half full of home grown hitters if Stearns & company had only drafted better is demonstrably false.
  24. sveumrules
    Narvaez career wRC+: 112 Narvaez ZiPS wRC+: 114 Avisail career wRC+: 102 Avisail ZiPS wRC+: 106 JBJ career wRC+: 91 JBJ ZiPS wRC+: 91 Vogelbach career wRC+: 101 Vogelbach ZiPS wRC+: 118 ZiPS rest of season projections believe the four players you listed who are still with the team are capable of hitting at or above their career norms over the remainder of the season.
  25. sveumrules
    Perhaps, but it seems the most logical explanation here. Either you can believe that our front office, who prior to last year had proven exceptionally good at their jobs, suddenly started bringing in only talent that was on the precipice of cliffing in their careers on a wide-spread level across multiple players and positions, or the coaches working with those guys aren't helping them. Or worse, perhaps hurting them. One of those explanations seems logical, the other far less so. Or you could believe that the 100-ish games that have been played so far between 2020/21 are still too small of a sample to draw any definitive conclusions from.
×
×
  • Create New...