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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    I disagree about Perez, he is the key to making this work. Perez is a pretty good option against lefties...consistent .780 to .800 OPS against lefties. Moustakas isn't terrible against lefties. Shaw is more likely to get platooned in this configuration. Moustakas has a career OPS of .693 against lefties. Shaw has a career .724. I have no idea why people think Shaw is the one who should be platooned. He has been better than Moustakas in his career against lefties. Last year Shaw struggled against lefties while playing hurt for half the season but in general he doesn't have extreme splits. Moustakas career split against LHP is dragged down by his results from 2011-14. Since they've both been in the league Moose has fared anout 18% better versus LHP than Shaw. Moose 2011-14 vs LHP 211/267/328 (62 wRC+) Moose 2015-18 vs LHP 271/314/461 (107 wRC+) Shaw 2015-18 vs LHP 239/298/426 (89 wRC+)
  2. sveumrules
    Looks like its in the neigborhood of 125 million at this point.
  3. sveumrules
    For as streaky as both Thames & Aguilar have been our 1B have posted the 6th best wRC+ & 8th best WAR in MLB over the last two seasons.
  4. sveumrules
    Chacin just threw the 2nd most innings in his career & topped 180 in consecutive seasons for the first time ever. I see him taking a step back. Neither of Anderson or Davies should go through an order more than twice. Nelson (injury) plus Burnes, Woodruff & Peralta (youth) will all be handled with varying levels of caution. 2/10ths. 847/163 = 5.196
  5. sveumrules
    In 2018, Brewers starting pitchers averaged 5.2 innings per game. I don't have any idea what usage patterns will be, who will be pitching in which roles or what the roles themselves will even be, but I will predict that in 2019 Brewers starting pitchers average less than 5.2 innings per start.
  6. sveumrules
    The sheer stupidity (& selfishness) of the parents literally boggled my mind numerous times & just when you think they couldn't possibly be any dumber they go & do something even more idiotic.
  7. sveumrules
    While I'm happy to see three prospects on the list, I think it's a pretty major oversight not including Zack Brown. From what I could find none of MLB, BA or BPro had Brown in their top 100 either this year with only KLaw putting him that high. Look on the bright side though, Estevan Florial is only #106 on the FG list.
  8. sveumrules
    FanGraphs top 130 prospects out today with Hiura (13), Lutz (97) & Ray (123) checking in. Looks like Isan (104) & Monte (122) are still hanging out around the back end of the list as well for those who like to keep tabs on former Brewers... https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-top-100-prospects/
  9. sveumrules
    I get why people are skeptical of framing metrics, or defensive metrics in general, because there definitely is a lot of noise in there. At the same time we know teams are trying to figure out the same things (hopefully with more accuracy) & the publicly available metrics are the closest approximation that we have. I think the thing to keep in mind with framing is the sheer volume of opportunities. A fielder that plays all year will maybe have a chance to impact about 450 balls in play. Last year Yasmani had 6,851 framing chances according to BPro. Of course the value of an individual pitch is marginal compared to the value of a ball in play, but with the multitude of opportunities I can buy a spread of a couple two tree wins a year between the best & worst framers.
  10. sveumrules
    I have a feeling you might not actually be serious, but any credit for Baez's sublime tagging poetics would go to whoever made the throw in question since the computers aren't able to recognize or capture Javier's true artistry as a tagger outter.
  11. sveumrules
    Appears to be a minors deal, so pretty much zero risk & some chance (albeit slim) of some sort of reward. The talent was always there, if his body & head are right who knows? Still only 29 years young.
  12. sveumrules
    Right, 21 on July 29th, which means he'll be pitching most of the 2019 season as a 20 year old. By the time he's 21 he could already be in AAA when even the most advanced college draftees are still in A/A+ ball. With regards to his secondaries, none of the reports I found paint as dire a portrait as you are... "slider and change up that each project as plus or better." -BA "his breaking balls were crisp, and his changeups were well-located and moving." -FanGraphs "Slider: 45/50 Curveball: 55/60 Changeup: 50/60" -FanGraphs
  13. sveumrules
    Usually at the point he's at guys are freshmen in college.
  14. sveumrules
    The lists do not assume that guys are healthy, Sanchez is already getting knocked for his health concerns & still ranks that highly. If he didn't have injury issues he would be in the untouchable tier. Between ages 18/19 the guy put up 74 innings at A+ with 65 K, 20 BB & only 2 HR. It is extremely rare for pitchers that young to be so successful with such an advanced placement. The last guy I could think of off the top of my head who was that advanced was Jose Fernandez & it looks like he put up 55 innings with 59 K, 17 BB & 0 HR in A+ at age 19.
  15. sveumrules
    Through his age 19 season Peralta had thrown 113 innings, all in rookie ball, with 158 Ks & 47 BBs. Through his age 19 season Sanchez has thrown 221 innings, most of them in A/A+, with 191 Ks & 43 BBs. Sanchez blows Peralta out of the water in both age relative to level & command (to say nothing of his better scouting reports), which is likely why he has been a top 30 prospect six different times already while Peralta never cracked a single top 100.
  16. sveumrules
    Huge spending teams wouldn't be able to just buy up all the best players because they would no longer have as large of a financial advantage with increased revenue sharing & there would be a set limit as to how much they could spend with a cap.
  17. sveumrules
    Increase revenue sharing. (As rich teams have gotten smarter their financial advantage has become more pronounced, need to level the field somewhat for smaller markets.) Salary cap/floor based on a fixed % of league wide revenues. (Luxury Tax is already essentially acting as a cap, institute a floor to increase spending on the low end of payroll spectrum.) Raise minimum salary. One million year one, two million year two, etc., plus bonuses for awards, All Star nods, etc. (If young players aren't so cheap teams might be more inclined to pay veterans.) Eliminate Arbys, reduce team control to four years at which point players become restricted free agents with their original team able to match any offers. (Allows players to get paid sooner while still giving the original team the option to control the player for a longer period.) & pay the minor leaguers a living wage.
  18. sveumrules
    Really enjoying the new season of True Detective so far. McConaughey/Harrison set the bar pretty high in season one, but Ali/Dorff are really giving them a run for their money.
  19. sveumrules
    The "vs Starter" splits are kind of misleading on BRef... vs Starter batting splits are for the entire game when the starter was LH or RH So if he got 4 PAs in a game, 2 against a lefty starter & 2 against right relievers, all 4 of those PAs count as "vs LH Starter". His actual splits are... vs RHP 248/281/361 vs LHP 273/293/444
  20. sveumrules
    Sure it is close if you actually account for all the massive advantages Rivera had such as 3 rounds of playoffs per year and only pitching 1 inning a game. Plus the guy single handedly blew an entire world series title by throwing a bunt into center field and failing to get 3 outs. That's the only time he ever pitched in a world series game 7 also. If Pedro Martinez or Randy Johnson only pitched 1 inning a game they would have made Rivera's stats look like Jeff Suppan Rivera's 141 postseason innings were pitched over the course of 96 games. He pitched more than one inning 58 times, so more often than not he was pitching more than one inning a game. Sure he blew a WSG7. He gave up a single earned run in nine other postseason games too. His other 86 games & 126.2 postseason innings he gave up 0 ER. Pedro & Randy were better pitchers than Mariano. If you're saying they would have only given up like five or six earned runs instead of the eleven that Rivera gave up I believe that is possible in the theoretical realm.
  21. sveumrules
    If MillerCoors wanted to retain the naming rights, I'd imagine they had ample opportunity to do so. Based on how things have played out, it appears they didn't want to.
  22. sveumrules
    Career splits are pretty even... .674 OPS 1st time thru .677 OPS 2nd time thru .687 OPS 3rd time thru
  23. sveumrules
    What offers did the Marlins have for naming rights that they turned down? There is a decent chance their public stance is posturing because no company wanted their name attached to the stadium due to the machinations required to bring it into existence in the first place. There's also this article which seems to imply the Marlins are looking to put a brand on the building... https://www.sun-sentinel.com/sports/miami-marlins/fl-sp-marlins-derek-jeter-spring-training-20180213-story.html
  24. sveumrules
    Late last year another Wisconsin company, American Family Insurance, proactively pitched the Brewers an incredibly rich offer for the future naming rights to Miller Park, and we’re proud to welcome American Family to the family we’ve been part of for generations. The above quote is from MillerCoors official statement following the AmFam announcement. There's no way to know for certain, but reading between the lines it sounds like AmFam made their offer, the Brewers probably gave MillerCoors an opportunity to meet or exceed AmFam's offer & MillerCoors declined. Again, pure speculation, but it would seem like if MillerCoors wanted to retain the rights they could have ponied up & done so, but ultimately chose not to for whatever reason.
  25. sveumrules
    Have there been any leaks on how much money MillerCoors offered to retain the naming rights at the end of the original agreement?
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