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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. adam everett | age 22 at aa | 263/343/434jack wilson | age 21 at a/a+ | 319/362/431 ALCIDES | age 21 at aa | 328/363/434 adam everrett never had any noteworthy offensive seasons in the minors, so while the defensive comp makes sense i don't necessarily see the correlation offensively. jack wilson is a pretty interesting comparison for alcides as he had a pretty succesful minor league career, but he was pretty much a year older than alcides has been at every level so far. if alcides could consistently put up numbers like jack wilson's two "good" mlb seasons i wouldn't be too upset, but given his developement so far at a young age i see no reason why he couldn't consistenly post seasons slightly better than wilson's two lucky seasons. in 2009? probably not, but starting around 2010/11 i could see him really putting up some years.
  2. looks like catching is no longer quite so WOAH SOLVD, eh? i like the morlan pickup.
  3. seems like green's flying under the radar a little bit. probably because he was drafted late and hasn't done anything above a+. when he has a gamelesque season at huntsville next year i think some of the "experts" will be all over him.
  4. no doubt a poor season would lower his value, but lucky for us he's only gonna be 22 next week so he's got plenty of time to develop. or we could just start him at 2b this year.
  5. you forgot to mention that we're gonna be forced to sign jon garland, too.
  6. it looks like the dbacks didn't offer arby to dunn. if fielder or hart are traded to fill rotation holes i wouldn't be too upset with a 3/45ish deal for him to fill either lf (with braun sliding to rf) or 1b, even though it would only serve to magnify the number of people complaining about meaningless strikeouts.
  7. i'd go with blyleven, rice, henderson and ROCK RAINES. the "best" brewer of all time has a 342/430 career line. granted that is brought down by the teen/early twenties years spent in the bigs, but those hits all counted so the penalty on the rate stats comes along with the increase in counting stats. raines has a 385/425 career line. but i guess that doesn't really hold a candle to that 401/419 that henderson put up. wow, 10 whole ops points. not to mention a better stolen base % than henderson too. (cleaned up grammar)
  8. anyone have powells WARPBPD (wins above replacement play by play dude) handy for the past few seasons?
  9. hart ops'ed 759. fukudome 738. with hart being 5 years younger i don't see how fuku had a better year last year or is a better bet going forward.
  10. i don't want to see it again either. lets hope macha has a little more sense than yost did in that regard...
  11. i like skelton a lot. he's lefty, tiny and has put up good walk rates all throughout his minor league career. plus if kendall starts 145+ games again it kind of cuts down on the importance of the backup catcher.
  12. just saw this note over at fangraphs.com about corey... For instance, did you know that Corey Hart of the Brewers had a 68.9% F-Strike this year? Yeah, over two-thirds of his plate appearances began with him down in the count 0-1, or ended after just one pitch.
  13. I used the mlb.com historical stats feature and highlighted 2001-2007 (as 2008 is not yet in the queue) and then manually added 2008 totals. what i didn't realize is that players totals are not cumulative, but broken down based on the teams played for within those years. thus suppan is broken up into two entries for the cardinals and brewers. maddux between the cubs and braves. and so on... faulty methodology and all, dropping from the top 10 to top 25 is hardly a monumental fall down the list.
  14. mark buerhle | 1796.1 CC sabathia | 1659.1 roy oswalt | 1622 roy halliday | 1576.2 jon garland | 1555.2 mike mussina | 1553 barry zito | 1517.2 tim wakefield | 1458 johan santana | 1457 ben sheets | 1428 those are the leaders in innings pitched from 2001 though 2008, the entire time ben sheets has been in the majors. i think the numbers speak for themselves in terms of how much sheets has toed the rubber compared to his contemporaries over the course of his career. also despite missing significant time to injury in 2005/6/7 (he ranked 3rd, 4th, 4th on the team in ip those years) he has managed to start 221 games. by comparison CC has started 254. that's an average of about four starts less per year. i'll end this post with a nice ben sheets coincidence. he's tenth on the list above. he's also tenth on the all time single season k/bb ratio list with his 8.25 from 2004. 264 k, 32 bb.
  15. I could see the argument for average, but it surely wasn't above average, although they did pitch better in September besides Torres.the brewer's bullpen era was 3.89. good for 4th in the 16 team national league. that's well below average.
  16. [blue] i don't know, that bill beane seems like an astute baseball guy. he'd probably be turned off by all those strikeouts. [/blue] i really like this deal for oakland. if they really do end up in the 80 to 90 million payroll range they could make some noise next year for sure.
  17. does inman, garrison, thatcher get it done? oh, wait....
  18. baumer, i know exactly what you mean. they had it on all day at work and as much as i hated the dozen songs they ever played they were complete backwards jams. its too late to 'pologize. its tooo laaaaate.
  19. suppan's career era is .01 higher than the league average, 4.63/4.62. his era+ is 100 on the nose. he is exactly what he is, a league average starter who will take the ball for 30 plus starts every year. in the current baseball economy he is probably being paid almost exactly what he is worth. i also am pretty sure that the whole idea of timing his no trade clause and backloading the contract was done specifically to make him potentially tradable this offseason or next. they probably won't do it this offseason as he's coming off his worst campaign in quite some time. but depending on how the brewers defense shakes out for next year and what suppan's health is like he could be moved next offseason if he bounces back to career norms, slightly regressed for age.
  20. fangraphs.com is a wonderful site when people start throwing around opinions like this. i didn't have time to go through his play by play log but a quick look at his game log shows that he homered in 24 games (he had one game with two). in those 24 games he had 20 games with overall positive WPAs and 4 with overall negative WPAs. after adding and subtracting his overall WPA for those 24 games was 2.584. again this takes into account all his non-home run plate appearances in those 24 games, but by adding two and a half wins they certainly didn't seem to be completely meaninglessly timed.
  21. i believe randy requires quite a bit of lead time on the days he starts to get his back up to task and the days between starts to rest/recover, especially now at his advanced age. also, how much extra cash would it take to convince him to close while sitting on 295 wins? now, for a year and 7 million plus incentives he'd be an interesting stopgap towards the top of the rotation...
  22. i've read the last couple days that the person primarily responsible for the acquisition of the above mentioned talent (arbuckle is his name, i think) quit the phillies after they picked amaro junior over him for gm. any chance melvin looks his way to fill one of the holes vacated by jack z, tony b or mcnamara?
  23. kapler career | 2654ab | 273 |331 | 425 cameron career | 5896 ab | 250 | 340 | 448 so by more well rounded you mean he gets on base less and hits for less power with a couple extra singles sprinkled in? kapler also had a 335 babip last year, the highest of his career. he is a great fourth outfielder, but a below average everyday centerfielder. edited weird formating.
  24. i'm pretty sure that is what he did when we he was with the mets and they got beltran.
  25. on b-r.com it has gagne's 2007 salary listed at 6 million. a 20 % cut on that would've dropped him to 4.8 million for 2008. he made 10 million this year, as we all are far too well aware. that's over twice his minimum hypothetical arby number from 08. applying the same principal, if the brewers were to offer arbitration and try to drop his salary to 8 million he should be able to get a free agent deal for about double that plus 10%, so lets say one year 17 million. i can see boras declining for sure.
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