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KeithStone53151

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Everything posted by KeithStone53151

  1. Late to the party, I'm pretty thrilled that the A's are moving. Them having to play in that stadium for so long while the City threw up so many road blocks, it seemed inevitable. It's one thing to not want to shell out a ton of taxpayer dollars to build a new stadium, it's quite another to block a team from buying land to build a new stadium. Vegas seems like a weird choice, I feel like there are other more viable options. Being on the west, they could have simply gone to Portland. San Antonio would also be a good choice. Others seem to be noting that there are quite a few decent options for Milwaukee to potentially be moved. It seems unlikely to me though. Milwaukee has notably high attendance, it would seem weird to move a team from a city where fans turn out despite market size.
  2. I tend to agree that i think Burnes makes his next start. MLB athletes receive world class treatment on any injuries. It seemed he strained it during the run down and pitched through it for a bit. I'll agree that if it's a problem during his bullpen session maybe they push him back, but with the treatment he's getting and preparation for it pre-game...I suspect he'll be fine. Worst case most likely is they push him back a couple days or skip one start. I think a trip to the DL is extremely unlikely.
  3. I probably should have tweaked my comments a bit. A strikeout is better than weak contact. Weak contact sometimes goes for hits while a strikeout is virtually never anything but an out. Problem is, the k rate is so sought-after right now...the option of relievers that don't get strikeouts but generate weak contact at a very high rate might be the better value option than high k rate pitchers...allowing us to utilize resources elsewhere in the roster. Also as you noted, weak contact generally requires less pitches than a strikeout, so you can get more outs and be more fresh than the guy using 20 pitches to strike out 3 guys in an inning.
  4. Oh man, in no universe are the Reds or Pirates or Cubs better than this Cardinals team...not right now. I'm certainly going to enjoy the Cardinals having the worst record in the division for as long as it lasts. That team somehow winning 60 games would be hilarious but it would take like 8 major injuries and even then probably isn't realistic.
  5. My argument is slightly more difficult with Woodruff injured, but Burnes/Woodruff/Peralta have a pretty solid track record of striking guys out. Even Lauer does. Miley is really the only guy that is a well below average strikeout guy. Looking at their numbers, all our starters except Miley are striking out about a batter per inning. Burnes has the worst k rate of the other 4, I'll go out on a limb and say that's unlikely to be how we end the season. Right now our SP is 21st in MLB in k rate, that'll improve when Woodruff is back and Junk and his 3.86 SO/9 stops making starts. Now in relief, Milwaukee is dead last in k rate at 6.18. Slightly ahead of us is the 12-0 Rays with 6.34 and then significantly ahead of them is the 28th ranked Nationals at 6.89. On one hand, we knew our relief was going to be a question mark at best with Williams really the only established guy. Also, being in the company of the Rays right now certainly isn't a bad thing and maybe us and them know something other teams don't. One other major point, our defense to this point is inarguably one of the best in the league. We are in first by a wide margin in DRS, and fangraphs has us in the top 5 in both RAA and OAA. The eye test backs that up, especially when we have our best options out there(I'm imaging a world with Taylor/Frelick in LF and Yelich DH or bench...we'd be plus or better at every spot). Bottom line is weak-moderate contact with a superb defense might be better than k's and a high pitch count.
  6. At this moment, the Brewers are in first in the division and the Cardinals are in last.
  7. I think you can so long as you don't initiate contact. If Cruz kept running and tried to like sneak a foot in while going around the catcher i think that's fine...but I'm not certain. I didn't really see anything glaringly wrong with the play. It all happened so fast, how unusual for a catcher to need to jump to catch a high throw then come down for the tag. What led to the injury is poor sliding form from Cruz.
  8. The over 500 talk went from very unlikely to...nope...very quickly
  9. It's certainly hard to know whether the 49ers are actually involved, but they can certainly be viewed as a good fit for him. If the 49ers offered 2 3rds and a 1st next year i think that's plenty of value. All speculation, Rodgers successfully keeping himself in the headlines as long as possible.
  10. Between this and the 49ers rumored to be getting involved...I suspect the price is only going up.......
  11. The pirates have a fair amount of young talent that could get rolling at any point. The pirates have plenty of time on Reynolds so I doubt they move him. I would buy a third place finish, the over 500 part is where the question comes in. I could see the cubs and pirates in the mid 70s battling for third
  12. So you're telling me ERA isn't the only thing to look at to determine a good start? I was a bit lazy when looking at SP stats and only looked at ERA in this case. Yes agreed, not a good start.
  13. Cardinals starting pitching last I saw had over 7 ERA to start the season, 3rd worst in MLB. Naturally we face the one guy who started well right off the rip. It's early of course, but you love to see a bad start from them. Regarding the O'Neill incident, I didn't see him as running slowly and not putting in effort...many of you seem to think that is the case so maybe I saw that differently. I also agree with the consensus that the much bigger problem is calling our your player publicly like that. It's generally a problem when the 20-something is more mature and more of an adult than the manager...
  14. I saw this whole thing play out yesterday. Complete clown. O'Neill got benched for not running the bases hard enough, but watching the replay I just don't see him letting up at any point. So more or less the Cardinals manager publicly benched O'Neill and criticized him publicly for a made up reason. To make this manager look even more stupid, I'll add that O'Neill is coming off a hamstring injury and has a history of hamstring injuries. So one could certainly understand if he was only going 95 percent vs unleashing fully and risking aggravating the injury. How sad when the young player is more mature and professional than the manager...
  15. Normally I'm against 99+% of ejections, but it's really hard to care in this particular case...
  16. This was tested at every MLB ballpark last year for a 2-3 week period. Not used, but tested. I have to imagine that will be expanded this year before implementation.
  17. This also only works if we can convince the Brewers to trade for Cobb to play 1b.
  18. There really isn't precedent for an elite talent to be traded in the NFL with minimal team control. Maybe looking at baseball is the answer as it happens quite often. Teams have a tendency to shell out big in prospect value for elite talents at the deadline with either 0.5 or 1.5 years of team control remaining. I certainly get the impression from comments above that sides are not close. If the Packers are just now backing off needing #13 overall AND the Jets claim the Packers are being irrational and unreasonable...that gives me the impression maybe they think he's worth like a 3rd or something and the Packers wanted #13 overall value which I think I've seen would also be comparable to getting those 2 2nds. Maybe the sides really are THAT far apart.
  19. Add fuel to the "he said she said". I think we'll all have a better feel for who is/was irrational once the trade finally gets done.
  20. Fair points. CC just said that Anderson will play a lot of RF to start the season. I wouldn't doubt him and Winker splitting starts there with Anderson also getting some 3b/1b and Winker getting some DH. Neither Winker or Anderson are average defenders out there, but they have plenty of experience and in theory their bats should play just fine. I certainly can see the value of having Frelick/Wiemer up now, they might be better short term and certainly are better long term. But the flexibility and that extra year of control can't be ignored as factors. Clearly for MA that equation spits out the answer of keep both down for a bit and try Winker/Anderson.
  21. The Brewers will literally never go into a season without some unproven bullpen arms. Most teams won't. The Dodgers have more money than the entire NL Central, yet they have a couple question marks at the back end. We certainly have more, but it's hardly a major concern to have unproven arms so long as you have at least a few reliable arms and alternative options exist at AAA(which they do). I also don't see right field unrest as an issue, considering at any time we can bring up Wiemer/Frelick among other true outfield options. In a small sample, there aren't that many difficult plays for outfielders to make...everyone on the roster could make most of the required plays with ease. Especially with the pitching we have that typically rack up strikeouts. It's just not an issue in the short term, if we're rolling a similar situation into May or even June...that's a bigger problem...but it's tough to imagine not bringing up one of the prospects by then.
  22. Not insisting on it doesn't necessarily mean we aren't asking for comparable value. We might not be, but I wouldn't say he conceded getting #13 value.
  23. Are we sure Rodgers on that squad will be THAT good? With 2021 Rodgers, the Jets are NOT the best team in that division. With 2022 Rodgers they might be the worst team in that division. It would be quite hilarious if the Packers bet against Rodgers and settled on the 2024 first round pick as primary comp only to have it be a top 10 pick.
  24. I disagree, team control, skill, upside, etc all matter. I think in this case, looking at Ke'bryan Hayes is probably the best comparable. He had a full year of service time, but last year signed an 8/70 extension. This is the largest deal ever given to a player with between 1 and 2 years service time and buys out 3 years of free agency with an option for a 4th. That's probably a much better basis point than a guy with 2+ years of data, but I also suspect is probably more than Frelick could get considering he has 0 MLB at bats and doesn't have nearly the upside of Hayes.
  25. Good info to post, but I don't think this has any bearing on Frelick. Gimenez only has 4 years of team control and actually struggled a bit early in his career. Their offensive profiles are also very very different.
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