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BruisedCrew

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Everything posted by BruisedCrew

  1. BruisedCrew
    I went and looked at the MLB tie breaking procedures and, while it could have been more clearly written, I think the JSOnline guy might be misreading it. For a 3 way tie it says to rank the 3 teams based on their records in the games among the tied teams. It only talks about going to the 2 team procedures if the second and third teams have the same record in the group. in this case the ranking would be Giants 7-6 Mets 6-6 Brewers 6-7. That would give the Giants the 5 seed and the Mets the 6th. Hopefully by about 10 PM tonight it will be an academic point. This could come up again later for other teams with as tight as the wild card races are in both leagues.
  2. BruisedCrew
    Fairbanks looked like he was going to five that away with walks.
  3. BruisedCrew
    Rays have left some runs on the table. Failed with man on second with none out, then in the next inning with first and third with one out.
  4. BruisedCrew
    Cubs are rolling again. 3-0 over Rasmussen and the Rays after 4.
  5. BruisedCrew
    According to JSOnline the Brewers have clinched a playoff spot. They say that if the Brewers, Mets, and Giants all tied the Giants would get the 5th spot by virtue of having the best record in the games among the 3 teams. But then the next spot is determined by head to head between the two remaining teams and that would go,to the Brewers.
  6. BruisedCrew
    I think the theoretical hang up would be a three way tie with the Mets and Giants at 90-72; The tiebreaker would be the record in just the games involving those teams. The Brewers at 6-7 would lose out to the Giants at 7-6. The Mets would be 6-6. So the only thing left to make it a mathematical certainty that the Brewers will make the playoffs is one brewers win or 1 loss by either the Mets or Giants.
  7. BruisedCrew
    Yes, but that would just make the Giants the 5th team and the Brewers the 6th. The only way it makes sense would be if the Brewers would be out in a 3 way tiebreaker with the Giants and Mets. It’s all academic anyway. ETA: I think the issue is a 3 way tie involving the Giants and Mets. The Giants would win that because of a recorded of 7-6 against the other two teams compared to the Brewers 6-7 and the Mets 6-6. That exceptionally remote possibility will be removed with one more Brewers win or one loss by the Giants or Mets.
  8. BruisedCrew
    As I posted on the Magic Number thread I think the Brewers have clinched a playoff spot when you factor in the tiebreakers that the Brewers have over the Reds and Mets.
  9. BruisedCrew
    On TV they were saying they need losses by the Reds and Giants. Maybe they’re not taking the tiebreakers into account.
  10. BruisedCrew
    I don’t get why the Mets loss doesn’t clinch a playoff spot for the Brewers. Is there some goofy 3 or 4 way tie scenario involving the Giants that would knock the Brewers out? Their 90 wins and 72 losses for the Mets and Reds knocks those 2 teams out because the Brewers have the tiebreaker over both of them. That leaves the Giants as the only other team in addition to the Phils, Cubs, Dodgers, and Padres that could beat out the Brewers. Not a big deal because it will be resolved soon enough anyway.
  11. BruisedCrew
    Or the manager considers defense at SS important enough to give Ortiz an edge, and he recognizes Monasterio’s hot streak when he was starting as something that isn’t likely to continue. Ortiz was hitting well in August before he got hurt. Hopefully he can get back to that.
  12. BruisedCrew
    Brandon Donovan is off the IL to face the Brewers and Arenado might be back tomorrow or Sunday.
  13. BruisedCrew
    Cubs win 6-4. Deadline pickup Kitteredge continues to shine, now in closer’s role. That makes 13 of 14 games this week involving the Brewers, Cubs, Phillies, or Dodgers that haven’t gone the Brewers way. I’m beginning to think that counting on other teams to lose is not a good strategy.
  14. BruisedCrew
    Hopefully a day off with another one Monday will help the pitching this weekend and beyond. But I am more concerned about the hitting. Most of the hitters are either slumping or something short of hot. That makes it hard to string together hits, and that’s reflected in some of the poor RISP performances in the last few weeks. Is a team with several younger players starting to wear down physically and emotionally from the long season? If they start to press trying to lock down a division title that many assumed they had won, things could get really ugly.
  15. BruisedCrew
    The “free falling” Mariners have now won 6 in a row and moved into a tie with the Astros for the division lead. Their record of 22-16 since the break is second best in the AL, just behind the Red Sox 22-15.
  16. BruisedCrew
    Former Cub Christopher Morel with a 3 run 1st inning HR for the Rays at Wrigley. Hopefully the Rays won’t do what the Mets did against the Phils last night. They had 4 runs on 5 hits from their first 6 batters then didn’t have another baserunner the rest of the game. Update: the Rays lead didn’t survive the second inning. Now 3-3.
  17. BruisedCrew
    Although the Cardinals cannot catch the Brewers in the standings, they can do plenty to hurt the Brewers the next two weekends. The Cards are on the fringes of the wild card race so they still have something to play for.
  18. BruisedCrew
    The magic number for the Phillies is 13 because the Brewers hold the tiebreaker over them. So, the total of Brewers wins and Phillies losses only has to get to 162 instead of the usual 163.
  19. BruisedCrew
    The set of games this week could hardly have gone worse. 12 games with chances for the Brewers to reduce their magic numbers against the Cubs, Phillies, or Dodgers and, unless the Dodgers blow a lead against the Rockies, 11 of the 12 went the wrong way.
  20. BruisedCrew
    I’m not saying they’re going to do it, but I wouldn’t assume that a team that is 20 games over.500 isn’t good enough to go something like 12-4 in their final 16 games. If the Brewers continue to scuffle and finish with 95 wins or less they are really tempting fate.
  21. BruisedCrew
    Because I watched the game from behind today with some fast forwarding, I didn’t realize that Contreras was in the original lineup but was scratched because of a bruised arm. Hopefully it’s just something that caused Murphy to decide that it was a good time to give him two full days off.
  22. BruisedCrew
    How about the last time the Brewers won a playoff series when they didn’t have home field advantage? That would be never.
  23. BruisedCrew
    There have been a number of posts on this board that have started with “If the Brewers ONLY play .500 the rest of the way…” and went on to describe how commanding their position is. Some suggested that playing .500 was a “floor” for the Brewers performance. Now that the Brewers have gone 11-14 since the end of the 14 game winning streak, and the offense has struggled to score runs in most games, those posts should probably start “If ONLY the Brewers COULD play .500 the rest of the way….”. The way they have played the last 3 1/2 weeks 7-8 is no guarantee.
  24. BruisedCrew
    I guess being rested isn’t necessarily the solution for the bullpen.
  25. BruisedCrew
    All of the teams in the playoffs are going to be tough to beat with their $300 million dollar payroll players bearing down. The main reason I would want the Brewers to avoid the Cubs is to avoid having half of the crowd in the home games cheering for the opponent.
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