Boomer5

If Moustakas just turned down one year at $15 million to then turn around and sign a two year, $20 million contract, then I would say he got very bad advice entering the off-season for the second year in a row. A few days ago I would have agreed with you but just recently ran across this older Fangraphs article. https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/why-mike-moustakas-market-didnt-develop/ Now I have no clue as to what Moustakas' sprint speeds were in 2018. He did steal four bases. He also did have a bounce-back in defensive metrics, posting a +2 DRS and a +1.0 UZR/150. On the flip side, his offensive numbers were down from 2017 to 2018 and now he'll be entering his age 30 season. And "luck" doesn't appear to have much to do with that drop. His BABIP was bad, but for him a low BABIP number is normal because he is the king of the infield pop-out. 19.2% last year and 17.0% in his career. The 19.2% tied him for the league lead with Yangervis Solarte (Blue Jays). There were only 8 regulars who had infield fly ball rates at 17% of greater this year. But when looking at the entire picture, it wouldn't be at all surprising if the league as a whole views him as a player that has the potential to decline rapidly from this point forward. At this point it's probably safe to say that his defense has declined to the point where he might only be considered average. 10 HR drop off from 2017 to 2018 with 2 months in a good hitter's park. There have always been OBP issues throughout his career. And while he's posted some big HR totals in the past, he just isn't a good enough hitter to become a desirable DH if another injury limits his 3B play further. I would have agreed that 15 million for one season is a good number, better to take it and try again in free agency next year. But all things considered, maybe if an agent can get him a 2 year, 20 million deal, perhaps that would be best? Get the extra 5 million in the bank right now. After all, with the buyout this year he ended up making 6.5 million in 2018 and that was coming off a 38 home run season. If he gets a 2 year, 20 million dollar deal...let's break it down as 15 million for 2019 to mimic the original option year and 5 million for 2020...who is to say he's a lock to get 5 million in 2020 when he could only get 6.5 million in 2018 and that was coming off a 38 HR season? I would have agreed with you a few days ago, but that Fangraphs article really made me take a second look at Moustakas' situation. Excellent article. We learned first hand that while he is useful, there is a reason a former premium player playing a premium position could only land a $6.5M contract.

I do think Schoop will bounce back somewhat. He pretty much has to or he won’t be playing baseball for a living in a year. However at $10M that is really rolling the dice because at that number he can’t be replacement level, he has to be a run producer since he would limit any other move we would want to make. We can move Anderson and possibly though less likely Thames for very minor returns if we want to keep a Schoop.

We don’t have enough to land him without losing Hiura AND major pieces.

Realmuto is officially on the market. I don’t think we have enough to land him though.

You’re right. Both moves have been the consensus for years. Even using our trade capital to acquire draft picks is something we have all been screaming for and they are finally doing.

Give the ownership credit. After so many terrible moves, they course corrected and hired a tremendous coach.

Also the problem with that is that Moustakas is not as good as Shaw nor as versatile. And a lot more expensive. All things considered Shaw >> Moose

I wouldn’t burn a valuable 40 man on a guy who is unlikely to play in Milwaukee. I’m hoping this is short term.

Miley, Gio, and Granderson are officially FA. Tyrone Taylor goes to the 40 man.

What do you all think Dave Robertson would command in FA? I’d love to add him even at 34.

Good.

Maybe we need to look more for guys who can go 3 innings and hitters who work the count and can play in a shift? Those won’t be anything close to stars but they might be more useful on a $ basis. Think more like Miley and Yo. Guys who can be decent one or maybe two turns against a weak team. I just don’t see us trading away Chacin and what value does Anderson, Broxton, Thames really bring? Schoop is a negative value with his 2019 salary. I like Santana but they apparently did everything they could to trade him last offseason.

I wouldn’t look to trade Shaw of course. We don’t have his replacement. But if not him who would be a chip to acquire someone meaningful?

I would strongly bet against him being ranked in the top 100. He may be towards the bottom. Power and speed will be intriguing. His average defense and his low hit tool will mean he won’t be a MLB regular. I hope he is ranked because I’d classify him as a sell high candidate for a more useful asset.

We all love Aguilar but he is a dime a dozen and would be a throw in for a trade for a key player. I like Brantley but at his age, cost, and injury history, is he the guy we should be looking for?

Posterized. Perfect.

This does show that money equals winning. It’s amazing to think what we could do with either of these teams payrolls.

I think Shaw is a bit of a bounce back candidate for next season. He had an okay season, but I think you will see his average creep back up where it was in 2017. On a different note, I don’t think the Brewers should trade Shaw based on his family situation. I know it is a “business”, but at some point life is more important. Milwaukee has one of the top hospitals in the country for children’s heart issues and we all know the story about his daughter, who will need another heart surgery within the next 2 years. I think Shaw wants to remain in Milwaukee for his daughter and I will gladly keep a guy like him in the clubhouse. I’m really not suggesting they trade him. We have no 3B to replace him and he is relatively cheap and controlled. However he was apparently on the block last winter to land a starter.

Dubon and Hiura should be our 2B next year with maybe a one year for a Dozier or similar stop gap if they feel neither is quite ready. Schoop really isn’t in the picture as his playing time in the playoffs suggests. I’d love to pencil in JA for 1B in 2019 but I’m just not seeing him as anything other than a nice surprise when he is on a hot streak. On the other hand I don’t see him netting much in a trade so I think he stays. As for trade chips who do we really have? Our lineup is pretty set do to contracts in place in the OF and everyone in the infield but 2B being a decent contributor who play cheap. Our big chips on the farm are Hiura and maybe Lutz? I’d trade Ray because he is a very flawed player but what we get back who could crack our lineup? The team seemed to try and trade Shaw last year. Is that what they will do? And if so who plays 3B?

Is the Dodgers holding their bats up in the air like a princess with a scepter the new bat flip? They are such punks. They have done the impossible and turned me into a Boston fan. When we look to acquire players the stats typically is the only story we talk about. Getting to see Machado up close shows there is more (less in his case) to a played than his stats.

The Brewers disagree. When they absolutely needed offense, Schoop was firmly attached to the bench. He won’t be back at $10M.

Layups and 3 points. Today’s NBA. Glad we have a coach who figured that out.

Good catch. Yes it’s over.

If he was below $5M you could consider it, but at $10M it’s not really much of a question. Whatever we gave up for him is sunk cost, aka it doesn’t factor in what we do going forward. The $10M can be much better spent than on a sub 600 OPS middle infielder.

Zero reason to make him a starter. We have plenty of young starting pitching options and Hader as a relieve is one of the top weapons in the game. I’m surprised it’s even being considered.