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jay87shot

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Everything posted by jay87shot

  1. I know the Mets are hot but none of there pitchers scare me and there bullpen is weak. I am not so much worried about how the other team is playing but more so worried about our offense hitting one of those 2/3 games cold streaks. The D-backs pitching is similar to the mets but they have Gallen and Kelley who gave us fits even though they are having more of down years. I think the Braves rotation worries me the most but injuries on the offense kind of offset that. Maybe we can just get a top 2 spot and not worry about the 1st round.
  2. -12 defensive runs saved by baseball refence standards and that is only starting 62 games in the field. Add in 9 walks in 339 plate appearences and I will pass. I would much rather have Mone, Collins, Dunn, or even Owen Miller as a utility player.
  3. I think the Rangers make the most sense for a Devin Williams trade, their bullpen isn't good and 3 of their best relievers are free agents. The Rangers system has strong depth and 3rd base options we could get. I wouldn't mind Josh Smith like others have mentioned but really like Justin Foscue from the bat perspective. He seems like a slower Tyler Black with better hands to be a 1st baseman. My deal would be Devin and Peguero/Hoby/Bryce Wilson for Foscue, Emilliano Teodo, and Alejandro Osuna. Between Black and Foscue with the extra ancillary pieces Dunn, Mone etc. I would hope one could work at 3rd or maybe 2B if your prefer Brice to SS and keep Ortiz at 3B. Someone brought up Brett Baty, maybe Ronny Mauricio would be a better value option? He has a great arm to move to 3B and his skill set would fit into our team well. Maybe Black for Mauricio and a 2nd piece if Stearns still has thinks fondly of Black.
  4. I would love Brooks Lee, I think he is a perfect fit for the infield. I would be ok with trading Quero if that is what it took. I would in turn want a solid catching prospect back in a Devin trade. I do think that we could build a better trade maybe like Sal and Black for Brooks Lee and a mid level prospect like Yesser Mercedes. My guess is however that the Twins would move Miranda to 1st and keep an IF of Miranda, Lee, Lewis, Correa and then keep Julien around as a 1B/2B/DH especially with how often Lewis gets hurt. Making a trade much tougher.
  5. I would hate to see him go, 6'6" 250 pound players who can run and field don't come around often. His .832 obp is really impressive considering that league has an average ops somewhere around .650 (I think I remember someone pointing out). It would have been really nice to get him a month or so of AAA work but like sveumrules said there is alot of depth at 1B. I really wouldn't be opposed to him getting a shot to be the lefty platoon to 1B with Hoskins, it just is a big jump to make. If I remmeber at one point he was playing a decent CF so he does have some interesting versatility. I am at the very least in favor of a 40 man spot for him. I think he has jumped Wes Clarke in my mind as far as 1st base/bench options long term. Ultimately I like Boeve at 1B more than EMJ for the long term but he has had such an amazing 2nd half and has the high end tools that we need to keep him and at some point give him a chance. If you look at tools he has 50 hit, 50 in game power/60 potential power, 55 run, 55 field (maybe 60 judging by some of our more in the know minor league scouts here) , not sure on arm but at 1st it doesn't matter much. If he was 23 instead of 25 he probably would be a top 10 organizational prospect. With COVID and other stuff he didn't get to A ball until he was 22 so he really is a less experienced 25 year old prospect who could really be a 30/20, gold glove potential type 1B if things come together just right. I can't imagine we would cut that potential lose.
  6. I would really like to keep Bauk and Paredes. I feel like those are guys like Koenig that we hit on but injuries have hurt them. They would both be solid guys to go back and forth between Milwaukee and Nashville (if they have options left. However I agree they would be on the roster bubble if there are no trades. I added Devin and Wilson because I was just thinking for the initial 40 man is due in the offseason. I agree though Devin and probably Wilson are likely to be traded.
  7. I think Marco Dinges would be a good idea since he is kind of transitioning to the catcher spot. Blake Burke wouldnt be bad as a draft pick either to make up for the couple weeks he has missed. Since the AFL usually is a hitter friendly place I would send Wilken. I think it is more likely that he has success and can put a positive spin on the year. If things go poorly he basically goes into the offseason with the same mindset. Birchard and Woodward are good choices. I wouldn't mind sending Bishop Letson since we have been so conservative with him I don't think another 10 innings against good competition wouldn hurt (maybe to a lesser degree Knoth). From a personal interest I would like to see a guy like Braylon Payne, Made, or Pena but I understand each off those guys would be stretches.
  8. Please double check my work on next year's 40 man Likely to be kept pitchers(20)= Ashby, Bauk, Civale, Gasser (eventually to 60 DL), Hall, Hudson, Koenig, Mears, Megill, Myers, Paredes, Payamps, Peguero, Peralta, Rea, CarRod, Uribe, Devin, Wilson, Woody Others (4): Hoby (non-tender iffy), Herget, Jay, Zas (last 3 roster bubble overload) Potential Prospect Adds (6): Henderson, Patrick, Smith, Misi, Yoho, Crow, and White Likely batters kept (15): Contreras, Quero, Haase, Black, Dunn, Hoskins, Ortiz, Turang, Chourio, Sal, Mitchell, Perk, Yeli, Collins, Mone Others (3): Bauers (non-tender iffy), Capra, Hicklen Prospects (1): EMJ I am sure there are a couple more potential 40 man prospect adds that could be added. However to me it looks like 35 guaranteed roster spots with 7-14 other players who are worthy and that;s not before we add a couple players in the offseason.
  9. Well that is awesome, I totally forgot he was still in the arbitration process. Haase seems like an easy guy to keep as a backup next year and beyond possibly.
  10. Good lord is this going to be a busy offseason. We are going to have like 50 guys who deserve to be on the 40 man roster. The trade phoneline will be open in Milwaukee.
  11. How much would it cost to keep Haase? He has been sensational in 55 ab's and would be a great backup next year. I can't see us wanting/needing Sanchez back and Quero is going to need some time. 1/3? If we are signing/trading for a 3B I like the idea of trading for on from Texas, they have Jung, Smith, Foscue, and Duran as options and could use a reliever like Devin really bad (unless the pay Kirby Yates this offseason) or even lesser bullpens arms like Peguero, Milner, Wilson, Payamps. I wouldn't mind a guy like Gleyber or Moncada but they seem a bit more risky with position changes or injuries. Would a Reds 3B/1B option be a possibility they have Elly, Steer, Marte, India, McClain, Espinal, France, Candelario, Encarnacion-Strand and some prospects as infield options. Obviously some of those don't fit but I would love a Spencer Steer for Sal Frelick and a reliever based deal. Steer could play some 3B and 1B and OF if need be, I am sure the Reds would want something different ie not Sal or to trade Candy/India/CES. The Rays have a little of that in the IF as well with guys like Curtis Mead and Jonathan Aranda as potential extra trade pieces at 3B.
  12. We legitimately have 4 potential gold glove OF. Chourio +13, Frelick +10 (+12 RF, -5 LF) , Perkins +9, Mitchell +8 (only 385 innongs) Add in Turangs +22 and Ortiz +7 after a rough start. Contreras looks like he will be in the conversation for one every year as well.
  13. I hear you, I still have hope in Sal becoming a .300 hitter and think Mitchell has some 30/30 potential but both are risky and cheap enough that waiting is smart.
  14. Good point, forgot Smith on my list
  15. I know Bryan Hudson was sent down to get velo back and kind of reduce his innings, but is there an arbitration control component to it as well (probably some 40/28 man roster manipulation as well). It sounded like he was at 92 last night which is where he was at the start of the year. It just feels really weird that our best reliever is in AAA and has been effective (stat wise) before the demotion.
  16. I like Horwitz a lot as well. He is a bit small for 1st but no different than Black. He has some versitility playing some 2B and OF in the minors. He would be a great upgrade over Bauers if Black isn't a defensive 1B. If the Jays sign Vladdy long term a deal would make a lot of sense especially with Will Wagner playing well there. Black (plays OF for them) for Horwitz and a younger upside prospect (like Kendry Rojas) would be an interesting trade.
  17. My thought was 5/10/15 and then 20-25 million after. He looks like a perennial 4-6 WAR player so my guess is that 20 would be a discount but he is probably looking like a 25-30 million a year guy when he hits the open market.
  18. What is the order of guys that we/you all would like to extend this summer. In my opinion the list is huge but if we get some deals done now it could prolong our contention period if we pick the right guys. The numbers I am proposing are off the top of my head so any 1)Turang (6/35-40 2 team option(s)) With the superb defense and improvement at the plate, I think Turang is the least risky extension, 2)Ortiz (6/30-35 team option(s)) Basically the same as Turang, it would be nice to have a double play tandem cheap long term. 3)Frelick/Mitchell (6/30ish) Each of these are riskier with Mitchell's injuries and Sal's power but I could see each being cheaper because of that 4)Myers, Megill, Hudson other pitchers (Civale, Rae, Koenig, Hall) If any of these were cheaper like Ashby's deal I could see a pitcher extension. However all of our pitchers do have some regression risk so it is probably smarter to wait a year. I would mind something like 2/16 or 3/24 on a guy like Civale if that was an agreeable amount. 5) Contreras If it was just desire I would put William #1, however with 3 solid years in I doubt we get much of a discount and with Quero hurt it buys us another year to see what Jefferson will become. Basically put off the catcher decision 1 more year. With 3 years of control maybe a 5/70-6/90 year deal could make some sense for both sides. However my though is he will want more like 8/150 which would be tough.
  19. My guess is that he will get around Hader/Diaz 6/100 million on the open market. I doubt we can pay a reliever anywhere close to that with the long term commitments we do have and some of the young guys we hope to keep.
  20. Who do you think are the systems hitter and pitcher of the year. Hitter Boeve, Arienamo, Pratt, Collins, Adams, Black Pitcher Yoho, Hunt, Henderson, Misi, Kuehner Did I miss anyone? I think I would lean Arienamo and Yoho but it is hard to go against Boeve.
  21. https://www.prospectslive.com/scoutingreports/sam-mcwilliams-rhp Here is a scouting report for McWilliams from 2021, seems like a nice project for the offseason for our pitching staff. Another big guy with a great arm who needs to improve control.
  22. Yeah, I agree. The Yankees would probably just pay one of those free agents or trade candidates for 1st before Hoskins. It would be nice to upgrade 1st and have a young athletic lineup 1-9. Hoskins isn't the worst just so streaky, maybe he can get back to form a year remove from the injury.
  23. I really don't like the use of 2 defensive lineman, I get that 2 olb's are like DE's but it seems light in the pants. I don't mind throwing a bit more the 1st 2 games because it's likely we won't be able to run as much vs. the better BIG Ten teams. It would be nice to see a little more creative with the offense find ways to get Trech the ball more. When it comes down to it I don't think Van Dyke makes quick enough decision for this offense to run correctly. Hopefully Locke or maybe Mettauer is ready to take over the reigns next year becuase this year feel like last year. I still have faith in Fickell, the personal switch is huge and will take another year or two assuming we do fine recruiting and don't lose to many transfers. I still wish we could get Jim Leohard (broncos dbacks coach) back for the defense, I don't have alot of faith in that.
  24. I like the idea of him being a multi-inning guy in the bullpen, maybe plan on him pitching a couple innings when Woody starts for the first month or so and then if need be he can throw 2 or 3 games later. If need be it wouldn't be to hard to strectch him out from their. I kind of like having both Hall and Ashby as long men and having Peralta, Woody, Myers, Rae, Civale as the rotation. That way Hall and Ashby both save the pen from being overworked early.
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