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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. Hiura is a much bigger question mark than Winker...One injury plagued season in one of the most pitcher friendly ballparks doesn't wipe out an entire career of high-level hitting. Even then, Hiura barely outperformed Winker by wRC+ (in significantly fewer at-bats) because Winker walks and gets on base at an elite level even when he isn't hitting. Neither Hiura nor McCutchen could do that.
  2. Hiura's job is to hit the ball when in the lineup. He failed in September/October by OPSing below .500. He hurts himself by being a trash defender and striking out more than once in every 3 at-bats.
  3. I agree that the team mismanaged the whole Andrew McCutchen situation. First, by the mere act of signing him, and then, second, by subbornly batting him cleanup against RHP when it was clear at this point in his career that he was a below average player against them. But I disagree that Hiura was mismanaged. You can't rely on hitters who strikeout as often as Hiura does to be a consistent cog in your lineup.
  4. They traded him because he wasn't a fit in their clubhouse and they needed a second baseman. Winker isn't a sure thing, but considering he's still 29 and was a well above average to borderline elite hitter every season before then, I like the chances of success. Certainly a better option than Hiura.
  5. Surgery in the offseason. Mariners say those injuries were a reason for his struggles Then, right from the horse's mouth: https://www.mlb.com/video/jesse-winker-s-current-mindset. Says he's healthy and in a much better spot health-wise after his surgeries.
  6. Pure fiction. Look at this game log from Aug 17 to Sept 9.
  7. Yes, because one injury plagued season in one of the most pitcher friendly ballparks in baseball tells the whole story. Here are the missing chapters of your story (which is like the whole book in this case): .885 career OPS against RHP in 1388 at-bats...Top 10 OPS in baseball against RHP from 2020-2021 (with guys like Soto, Harper, etc.). Good grief.
  8. 42% K rate (almost 50% in September/October), team-high BABIP (.366 as of Aug 28), HR-FB of 40%, and a sub .500 OPS from September on (once he started receiving regular at-bats) all seem like non-blind reasons to me...
  9. Keston was never going to maintain that production with the 42% K-rate and a HR-FB ratio of over 40%. Brewers eventually gave in and started him regularly in late-August, and Keston proceeded to OPS below .500... Now we have a much better option in Jesse Winker, so this discussion is kind of pointless.
  10. Yeah, the projection on Devin Williams is way too conservative. It’s been three straight seasons of top 5/3 relief work from him. I’m actually really glad that he’s pitching in the WBC this spring as he’s started slow the last two years before going on to dominate the rest of the season. Hopefully, that experience will enable him to start faster from the closer role. I still think we’re a set-up man short of having a great bullpen. I like Bush/Strzlecki a lot better in the seventh inning then in the eighth. Unfortunately, no one left on the FA market who could fit in that role, with the possible exception of Chafin. Look out for Abner Uribe. I could see him having a 2020 Devin Williams-style breakout if the control gains he showed in the AFL are for real.
  11. The reason Hiura is jerked around at positions is because he's a terrible fielder....I disagree with how stubborn the team was in batting Cutch cleanup against RHP, but I don't think it was the difference in us missing the postseason. We missed the playoffs because of injuries and underperformance in our pitching, as well as a downturn in our fielding.
  12. Just above Brett Phillips and just below Joey Gallo. Not good company to keep. Especially if you walk as infrequently as Keston does.
  13. I would definitely take him. And I think a reunion is quite possible. The cost (in terms of prospects) would be virtually nothing.
  14. We'll see. I do think some of the salary dumping we've seen this offseason is part of a strategy to gain more payroll flexibility to go after extensions for those players. Other than Yelich, we have very little in terms of significant long-term payroll commitments. Plus, I think that this FA period has demonstrated that $20 million AAV contracts aren't as onerous of a burden as they used to be given expanding revenues league-wide, even for a small market team such as the Brewers. That doesn't mean we should expect them to extend all three, but it's far from an unreasonable expectation that they'll find a way to sign at least one of them...
  15. One can hope given the $20 mil. plus in payroll savings right now and the fact that we have yet to sign a single major league FA... In the end, I do think one will be extended. I actually think it will be Woody due to his age and the increase in the market value of high-end SS this winter. Adames is really good, but I'm not ready to commit $170 mil. plus to him rn.
  16. Yeah. Usually when the Brewers make a signing or a trade it comes out of nowhere. And they don't tend to get involved in competitive markets.
  17. Exactly. The Brewers almost always make a signing later in the offseason, when the market has died down and they're able to find better value (Grandal, Wong, JBJ, McCutchen, etc.). I see no reason to think this offseason will be any different.
  18. This. Frelick is an above average CF (55+ grade). He may not be quite at the level of a Garrett Mitchell, but he'll still accumulate plenty of positive defensive value at the position.
  19. I honestly wouldn't mind a reunion with Taylor Rogers to help provide some assurance in the bullpen. His peripheral numbers remain quite strong, and he's only 32, compared to Kimbrel or Boxberger who are in their mid 30s.
  20. Or Wil Meyers for the OF and 1B. 6 LHH is fine against RHP, but it's not exactly going to help us get past this year's woes against LHP.
  21. They also said that contenders don't dabble in Rule 5 picks, when the Phillies, Padres, Mariners, Cardinals, and Mets all made selections this year, so I wouldn't listen to this particular poster for factual analysis on the Rule 5 draft...
  22. I wouldn't exactly say the Brewers "don't need" another OF like Varsho. Ideally, you would only want to rely on one rookie to hold down a starting spot. Yelich will be in LF, but as of now, we're looking at two rookies taking a significant share of starting opportunities at the other two spots. Varsho would be someone who could provide that veteran experience and would be a significant overall upgrade over Renfroe/Taylor as he produced a 5.0 WAR last season. I disagree that people want him simply because he's a "WI boy". He's just a really good ballplayer period who provides you with GG defense in RF and CF with the potential of a 30/20 season while being under team control for four more seasons. At the same time, the cost for Varsho will be quite high for these very reasons. And AZ is demanding non-OF prospects/players in return, which cuts against the strength of our farm system. Something like Ashby, Turang, and Quero would likely be required. Too steep of a price imo. I think we're better served signing a guy like Wil Meyers, a certified lefty masher, to a one year deal to rotate in the OF and 1B with our outfield prospects and Tellez. Taylor could then be traded for a reliever or two.
  23. Not bad. Not bad at all. Continue to be opportunistic on the hitting front (Turner, Meyers?), while focusing on adding a high-leverage option in the pen (Chafin, Rogers, etc.) and we should be pretty close to set.
  24. Good article! I honestly can't think of someone more qualified to highlight the Brewers' "overlooked" prospects than you, clancy. Anyways, I also continue hold out hope for Zavier Warren as his hit tool has been a favorite of mine ever since he was drafted. He struggled this year for sure, but his AFL performance hopefully means he's back on track as a multi-positional OBP specialist.
  25. I don't think Varsho is a realistic option at this point. The asking price for him is justifiably sky high and I'm not sure we have the non-OF prospects necessary to get a deal done. Granted, I thought the same thing about Contreras, so I guess you never know...I'm a huge fan myself of Varsho's.
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