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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. Justin Steele leaves early after injuring himself fielding a bunt. Looks like a potentially serious hamstring injury.
  2. Really wish the Brewers could have beaten the Dbacks offer for Montgomery. Our starting pitching looks shambolic to start the year. Peralta, Hall, Rea, Ross, Junis. Then with Miley and Gasser hurt our next in line is Junk, McKendry, Rodriguez, and Misiorowski.
  3. Well that's not necessarily true. There are plenty of rookies with better projections than Chourio. Langford, Carter, Holliday, Caminero are all projected to be comfortably better than Chourio in 2024. Chourio's highest projection is a 93 wRC+. Langford's is 124 wRC+. Carter's is 113 wRC+. Holliday's is 108 wRC+. Caminero's is 115 wRC+. They just don't like Chourio not all rookies.
  4. What evidence? Bobby Witt had a 143 wRC+ between AA and AAA the year before his debut which is significantly better than Chourio the year before his debut. Fangraphs, Steamer, ZiPS, THE BAT, Pecota all have Chourio's projections for 2024 below what you are considering his floor. ZiPS 20th percentile on Chourio is 78 OPS+
  5. Yeah that floor is way too high to me.
  6. There are enough teams with roofs/fair climates that the cold climate teams could spend the first 2-3 series on the road to give it more time to warm up before returning home. Don't know why they don't do that.
  7. Judging by the term and the $ amount I have to imagine this is some weirdly structured deal to keep the cap and luxury tax down over the next few years. More shenanigans from the Dodgers
  8. I think many have their expectations way too high for Chourio in 2024. He has an incredibly high ceiling, but he wasn't special (relative to the rest of the league) in AA last year outside of 1 month where they switched from tacky balls to normal baseballs. Monthly wRC+ in AA April - 85 wRC+ May - 96 wRC+ June - 91 wRC+ July with tacky baseball - 49 wRC+ (only 4 games) July with normal baseball - 244 wRC+ August - 89 wRC+ September - 111 wRC+ Was that offensive spike because pitchers were readjusting to a normal baseball and leaving pitches over the heart of the plate more? Yes for a teenager in AA Chourio was fantastic last year, but how ready is he for the MLB? He had a solid ST, but I think 8 or 9 of his 20 hits this ST were infield hits which is a pretty ridiculous amount.
  9. Record: 82-80, 3rd in Central MVP: Adames Cy Young: Peralta ROY: Hall Top Newcomer: Hoskins All Star(s): Adames, Contreras, Peralta Breakout Player(s): Hall, Rea, Hudson, Frelick Disappointment(s): Chourio Bold Prediction(s): Chourio gets optioned to AAA at some point in the season
  10. $25M with a vesting option for another $25M if he makes 10 starts this year. So he caved for the short term deal. Boras disasterclass winter.
  11. Very curious to see if he caved for a short deal or get the longterm deal he wanted
  12. I'm 14-16. I think anything within a game or two of .500 should be considered a success as it's not an easy schedule and we have Miley and Williams missing for most and all of it.
  13. I think that could be a very noisy stat. The Brewers only used an opener 2 times last year. I don't know how common openers were for the rest of the league, but that could lead to a big gap in IP. Brewers used an opener 2 times in 2023. If a different team used an opener 10 times that's around 30 more "RP" innings that aren't necessarily pitched by the bullpen.
  14. The bullpen is a big thing that people are glossing over. I agree with that. I've been saying all offseason that by ERA/FIP/WAR the bullpen could be identical to last year, but the likelihood they match the 2023 season of high leverage clutch pitching is pretty darn low and that was before DW was set to miss half the year. Brewers bullpen WPA of 11.73 last season was the 5th highest in the 21st century so 5th best out of 720 seasons. Replicating that even with DW would have been incredibly difficult.
  15. Wiemer was already optioned to AAA so yes he's not on the opening day roster. Mitchell seems like a lock according to Hogg as the starting CF with Chourio in RF and Frelick at 3B.
  16. Is this assuming Vieira has a roster spot?
  17. Montgomery unlike Snell and the other big FA this offseason has not had a QO put on him because he was traded midseason. That likely is what is deterring him from signing a short term deal because the QO if you aren't a superstar level player definitely hurts your market.
  18. Yeah I am pretty sure the original story would end up with Ohtani committing a crime, so of course the lawyers would come in and make sure that story doesn't air.
  19. Ippei was not one of the employees that could trigger an opt out. That clause only applies to Mark Walter (Chairman) and Andrew Friedman (POBO). Edit: Source - AP News: https://apnews.com/article/shohei-otani-dodgers-3fe44e39efc42674f75b5233cc01b149
  20. Awesome article Jack. Murphy definitely is not what I anticipated he was when he was rumored to be in the race for the manager's job.
  21. Arroyo is on a minor league deal with a camp invite, so he doesn't need to be optioned if he doesn't make the team.
  22. Well no he was sent back because he was never seriously going to make the team
  23. Wes Clarke was sent back to minor league camp over a week ago. He has a 0% chance of making the team.
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