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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. And yes Hiura has a 118 wRC+ but he's also one of 2 MLB players with a HR/FB rate over 30%. The other is Aaron Judge. It's unlikely that Hiura can maintain such a prodigious HR/FB rate over a larger sample size considering his career HR/FB rate is over 10% lower than what it has been this season. If Hiura's HR/FB rate was stabilized with his career average he would have 10 HR this year. If you take 4 HR away and turn them into say 2 doubles and 2 outs his slashline goes from .231/.318/.462 for a .780 OPS to .221/.309/.413 for a .722 OPS
  2. Let's play a fun game. We will do the highest K-rate among hitters at certain PA numbers. 500 PA - Eugenio Suarez 30.8% 400 PA - Chris Taylor 36.0% 300 PA - Joey Gallo 38.8% 250 PA - Oneil Cruz 38.8% 200 PA - Keston Hiura 41.9% (only one other player, Brett Phillips, has 200 PA and a K-rate over 40%) Guys who strike out as much as Hiura does do not play every day. Only 11 players in the MLB have 50 PA and a K-rate over 40%. 9 of the 11 have a wRC+ under 100. Dermis Garcia has 79 PA and a 140 wRC+ with a K-rate of 44.3% but his .438 BABIP likely speak to him far overperforming his expected results.
  3. Adames is an elite defensive SS and could end the year as a 5 WAR player. He's by far our best position player.
  4. I don't think this is true of all parks, but this is very true for AmFam. AmFam has a pretty small outfield which makes the HR ball that much more important here. Statcast oark factors 3 year rolling average has AmFam as a below average park for singles, doubles, and triples but one of the most favorable for HR. Baseball-Reference park factors has AmFam as a pitchers park. If you aren't hitting HR at AmFam it will be difficult to consistently put together a good offense.
  5. Yelich and Hiura both falling off after 2019 hurts a lot here. Those were the two guys who were supposed to be the big bats in the middle of our order. Unfortunately acquiring these big bats is easier said than done. They either take a large prospect haul, a lot of money or both. This is where the Brewers inability to develop bats post Lucroy has been an issue. Thankfully we seem to be righting the ship in this department, but it might be too late to capitalize on Burnes and Woodruff's team control which is why some have suggested a soft retool for 2024 by trading one of those two for some more prospects.
  6. Yelich and Hiura both falling off after 2019 hurts a lot here. Those were the two guys who were supposed to be the big bats in the middle of our order. Unfortunately acquiring these big bats is easier said than done. They either take a large prospect haul, a lot of money or both. This is where the Brewers inability to develop bats post Lucroy has been an issue. Thankfully we seem to be righting the ship in this department, but it might be too late to capitalize on Burnes and Woodruff's team control which is why some have suggested a soft retool for 2024 by trading one of those two for some more prospects.
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