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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    I feel like he wasn't hit that hard even though the xwOBACON numbers are ugly. Outside of the two barrels against the damage against was pretty much entirely on bloops. By 2024 MLB wOBA these were the batted balls against him 107 EV, 31 LA flyout (1.970) 73 EV, 23 LA single (.918) 73 EV, 24 LA single (.900) 76 EV, 16 LA single (.861) 100 EV, 25 LA flyout (.685) 96 EV, 18 LA lineout (.552) 97 EV, -3 LA (.280) 74 EV, 47 LA (.269) 74 EV, 11 LA (.106) 76 EV, 36 LA (.000) So by wOBA that looks like he got hit hard but 3 of the 4 biggest wOBA contacts against him were 70 EV bloops
  2. wiguy94
    Tyrone!
  3. wiguy94
    Sure but like I said before Shane Smith wasn't going to be starting MLB games without the tweaks that the White Sox made with him. His best pitch is a pitch he never threw with the Brewers, so while we could have kept Shane Smith the one we would have kept isn't the one who has had a successful start to his MLB career.
  4. wiguy94
    Rodriguez can provide length and in a bullpen setting his stuff will be better.
  5. wiguy94
    Was a fantastic article. Really informative.
  6. wiguy94
    Seigler has had a really nice start to the season. Maybe there's a MLB utility bench piece in there. He switch hits, can catch, has good speed. It's somewhat intriguing. Maybe we have potentially struck gold again signing a FA out of the Yankees minor league system. Through 32 PA here are his underlying numbers. .292 xBA .513 xOBP .470 xSLG 26.4% whiff rate 96.0 Avg EV 11 Avg LA 66.7% hard hit rate 6.7% barrel rate 40% sweet spot rate 18.9% chase rate 83.8% zone contact rate
  7. wiguy94
    Not just this season related but Chourio’s last 81 games playoffs included is just freaky.
  8. wiguy94
    We had the Age 20 Chourio thread. Time for the Age 21 thread where we can share all the incredible things he’s doing.
  9. wiguy94
    If the starter doesn't go 5 innings they just pick a reliever they feel like deserves the win. Personally I think it's dumb. The winning pitcher if it's a reliever should be the guy who finished the 5th inning. Just makes sense to have it that way.
  10. wiguy94
    Feel like it's less saving us money and more allowing us 4 more years of Chourio as a Brewer because the way these mid-20 FA are starting to get paid, not sure the Brewers would have been able to extend Chourio.
  11. wiguy94
    Man you got to see an awesome game!
  12. wiguy94
    Awesome park. California really has two of the best ballparks in the the league and then those stadiums in LA
  13. wiguy94
    Yeah this is the part that annoys me. The version of Shane Smith that we didn't protect would not be starting and doing this well in the MLB. With the White Sox Smith both improved his velo and added a disgusting kick change that he never threw in Milwaukee. Without that changeup he's really more of a 2 pitch guy and his FB has gotten hit hard through 2 games with an Avg EV against of 95.5 and a .320 xBA and .477 xSLG.
  14. wiguy94
    They didn't need to DFA Tyler Jay. They had open 40 man spots on 11/19. They had the spots to protect Smith without DFA'ing anyone at the time and just didn't do it.
  15. wiguy94
    I do think there's some valid reasoning with this. I mean Brewers have continued to mostly have really good pitching success but how much of that is because of our elite defense and how much of it is because our pitching is good? Here is the Brewers SP FIP- by year since 2021. 2021 - 77 FIP- 2022 - 95 FIP- 2023 - 98 FIP- 2024 - 110 FIP- Even if you want to factor in something like contact quality saying they are just giving up soft contact now. Here's the xwOBA against the last 4 seasons from our SP. 2021 - .283 xwOBA (38 points better than league average SP) 2022 - .300 xwOBA (14 points better than league average SP) 2023 - .308 xwOBA (18 points better than league average SP) 2024 - .324 xwOBA (8 points worse than league average SP) I do think they partly feel like their defense can afford them to go after these project pitchers and get by with weak contact and average to below average stuff pitchers. Is this sustainable though?
  16. wiguy94
    Interestingly Pipeline actually bumped Yophery down from a 50 Overall to a 45 Overall grade which is why he's 11th in the Red Sox system. If Yophery was a 45 Overall grade before the trade then he would have been at best 11th in the Brewers system. Still think it's an overpay but trading a fringe Top 10 prospect, comp A pick, and a PTBNL for 6 years of a potential SP feels a lot more fair.
  17. wiguy94
    I'm in disbelief that the Blue Jays caved. There's no money deferred as well so this is the second biggest net present contract in the MLB history behind Soto. Soto for reference has a career 158 wRC+ and his last 4 seasons put up 164, 146, 154, 180 wRC+. Vlad Jr has a careeer 137 wRC+ and his last 4 seasons put up 166, 132, 118, 165 wRC+. I'm with you that this contract ages very poorly and I would not be surprised if this eventually went down as one of the worst contracts ever.
  18. wiguy94
    Honestly I don't think I could be any more impressed with Payne and Pena through 3 games. They both just look like they belong in the box. Honestly my only gripe with Payne at this point is that his defense in CF appears to be very raw. He's kind of the inverse Yophery out there in that he's super tooled up but raw whereas Yophery is more of a fringe average CF athlete with really solid instincts. Pena's defense is really smooth. He had an error today but honestly I put that way more on Walling who frankly looked like he was wearing oven mitts on any throw that was in the dirt.
  19. wiguy94
    So even though Made had an instagram story that looked like he was maybe in the DR yesterday, he's definitely in Carolina. Saw him in the dugout after Nicasia's game tying double. Maybe just a minor injury?
  20. wiguy94
    It was his day to start so just keeping him on schedule. Rodriguez got pushed back because he was up for what we assume was Cortes needing to go on the paternity list.
  21. wiguy94
    He had a video on his instagram story today that looked like he was back in the DR. Don't know what that would be about though.
  22. wiguy94
    Yeah he typically is in the 88-90 range so last night wasn't like a bad velo night or anything. Really good spin and control though.
  23. wiguy94
    He still has a 0.00 ERA but he has not looked good this year. The stuff is down and he's just not locating very well. He could get by with the worse stuff if he was throwing strikes but the worse stuff in combo with him constantly getting into deep counts is not looking like a sustainable recipe.
  24. wiguy94
    Finally finished up watching all the games (outside of Nashville sorry they aren't fun). Hostetler looked solid. None of the young Carolina hitters looked out of place even though most didn't have very good games. Cedar Rapids had absolutely nothing for Rodriguez. His breaking balls were tormenting them all night. I hope there's a velo bump in there eventually for Manuel because he has incredible feel for his pitches and spins it really well, but it's hard to envision a RHP throwing barely 90 breaking into the MLB in this day and age. Yophery had a hard hit fly ball that on a summer night might have been a HR to the deepest part of the park but not tonight. Biloxi was just a very rough showing outside of very nice defense being flashed the entire night. Pensacola was making good contact against pretty much every Biloxi pitcher. As for the Biloxi hitters just looked really overmatched for the most part. Lara looked like he didn't belong. Was chasing and whiffing against everything. Wilken and Adams are very passive hitters. Would like to see them swing the bat a bit more in early counts.
  25. wiguy94
    The most exciting day of the minor league season! Can't wait!
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