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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Brewers pitching in May and MLB ranks 2.21 ERA (1st) next best is 2.56 2.62 xERA (1st) next best is 3.23 2.39 FIP (1st) next best is 3.17 3.12 xFIP (1st) next best is 3.17 30.3% K-rate (1st) next best is 26.4% 8.0% BB-rate (9th) 22.2% K-BB rate (1st) next best is 22.0% .197 BA against (2nd) 1.03 WHIP (1st) next best is 1.04 2.94 SIERA (1st) next best is 3.12 110 Stuff+ (1st) next best is 107 112 Pitching+ (1st) next best is 110 So yeah the Brewers pitching staff has basically dominated in the month of May by basically every metric you could think of. This hasn't been due to having a super easy schedule either. These are the season wRC+ and ranks of the teams we have faced in May. Washington - 109 (5th) St. Louis - 103 (12th) New York - 115 (3rd) San Diego - 89 (28th) Minnesota - 101 (14th) Chicago - 110 (4th) It doesn't get any easier to end the month Los Angeles - 119 (1st) St. Louis - 103 (12th) Houston - 104 (8th)
  2. wiguy94
    Luis Lara has made big strides in his batted ball quality in May. The first picture is his radial chart in April. the second is his radial chart in May. Feel like these do a really good job of showing the better angles Lara his hit the ball at this month. The concentration of pop ups and negative LA ground balls are both much smaller. Here are his expected numbers on contact in April and May April - .251 xBA, .399 xSLG, .279 xwOBA May - .334 xBA, .454 xSLG, .340 xwOBA I feel like this also illustrates why Avg LA is a pretty flawed stat. Lara has the same Avg LA in May that he did in April. In May he has 18 of 50 batted balls between 8 and 32 LA (sweet spot) which is 36% of his batted balls. In April he had 20 of 88 batted balls between 8 and 32 LA which is 23%. For some clarity on what those numbers mean, 36% would be 68th percentile in MLB and 23% would be 2nd percentile in MLB
  3. wiguy94
    Come on Joseph are you saying that the 5 IP/75 pitches that the beat reporters say the Brewers are looking to get from Priester tonight isn't realistic?
  4. wiguy94
    Feel like you missed my first comment because that was what I was talking about haha. "I do agree that the Brewers should do everything they can to keep Hook but I remember when people were saying similar things about Derek Johnson. I have a feeling if Hook were to eventually leave that Henderson would slot in and keep things churning. Brewers have lost quite a bit over the last few years from their FO and coaching staff and have seamlessly replaced pretty much every person to leave. It's funny because the guy they have seemingly struggled the most to replace is Quintin Berry with our baserunning and OF defense not being as sharp as it was when Berry was here."
  5. wiguy94
    I decided to do my best @sveumrules impression when someone asked if the Brewers have been able to have success without hitting many HR because they haven't allowed many HR. HR differential looks like it could be a decent stat to measure general team success as the top 3 in HR differential this year are the Yankees, Dodgers, and Braves who are 3 of the best teams in baseball. The Brewers sit at a modest 14th with a -2 differential. How have they gone about being so successful while having a middle of the road HR differential? Well the title says it all. The Brewers have dominated RISP in 2026. Hitting with RISP - 559 PA (4th) with a .290/.387/.443 slash for a .364 wOBA (3rd) Pitching with RISP - 400 PA (2nd) with a .221/.294/.307 slash for .269 wOBA (1st) I think the two big questions are is this type of success sustainable over an entire season and can this type of success translate to postseason success. I know @sveumrules has posted about the Brewers hitting really well with RISP for multiple seasons now so maybe the Brewers have cracked the code in that regard. I think the second question is the key. Can you have postseason success playing this way? In the postseason teams are going to be much more aggressive trying to win when it comes to pitching decisions in addition to seeing the team's best pitchers more often in the postseason. Can you rely on stringing together hits against the best pitchers in the sport?
  6. wiguy94
    Oh I completely agree with that which is why I started with the Brewers should do everything they can to keep Hook. Just because you have done a great job replacing staff and management that have left doesn't mean you should take your current staff/management for granted.
  7. wiguy94
    I've got to ask because you have CA in your name which I assume is California. Are you associated with Mitchell in some way?
  8. wiguy94
    I do agree that the Brewers should do everything they can to keep Hook but I remember when people were saying similar things about Derek Johnson. I have a feeling if Hook were to eventually leave that Henderson would slot in and keep things churning. Brewers have lost quite a bit over the last few years from their FO and coaching staff and have seamlessly replaced pretty much every person to leave. It's funny because the guy they have seemingly struggled the most to replace is Quintin Berry with our baserunning and OF defense not being as sharp as it was when Berry was here.
  9. wiguy94
    The initial Hader and Williams trades weren’t the flashiest but the secondary trades are looking like some of Arnold’s best work. Ruiz netted us Contreras and Payamps. Durbin and two MiLB FA signings netted us Harrison, Drohan, and Hamilton.
  10. wiguy94
    He tried his hardest to vulture a win in Tuesday but Murphy said not so fast
  11. wiguy94
    Did Tate Kuehner leave with an injury today?
  12. wiguy94
    Don’t forget he does short recaps the night of as well so you can double dip
  13. wiguy94
    This isn't right. Ortiz is still starting more at SS than Hamilton. Ortiz has more PA in the month of May than Hamilton does despite Ortiz exclusively playing SS and Hamilton playing both SS and 3B.
  14. wiguy94
    Wind is blowing in hard tonight.
  15. wiguy94
    Patrick had two days rest coming off a 4 inning outing. Murphy probably didn’t want to use him at all today. That’s probably why Ashby had a really long leash. I’d imagine it was never on the table for Patrick to come back out for the 9th.
  16. wiguy94
    That rehab goal for Priester seems very lofty for a guy who hasn't gone more than 7 outs in his previous rehab starts and has seen his stuff and command both be well below his typical level
  17. wiguy94
    Also this is Rengifo this year. vs RHP - .320 wOBA, .312 xwOBA, 103 wRC+ vs LHP - .131 wOBA, .252 xwOBA, -25 wRC+ He's been like the inverse Blake Perkins in that he has looked solid against RHP and has been pitcher-esque against LHP. Doesn't feel like a guy that needs to be DFA'd.
  18. wiguy94
    That feels like the big question. Do the Brewers view Williams as good enough to start at SS and/or do they want to call up a rookie and bounce him around between 3B and SS instead of getting him reps in one spot. Hamilton and Ortiz have been in a sort of platoon situation at SS for a bit with Rengifo getting more every day reps at 3B. Pratt makes the most logical sense to call up because he's on the 40 and can absolutely play SS at a level the Brewers want but Williams seems like the more sensible guy to call up because he's older and a bit more experienced than Pratt.
  19. wiguy94
    Why do you prefer xFIP over FIP?
  20. wiguy94
    Freddy Zamora just hit a game tying 3-run HR in the 9th inning. 421ft blast
  21. wiguy94
    An effectively wild first inning back in AAA for Brian Fitzpatrick. 3 SO, 1 BB, 1 HBP
  22. wiguy94
    Yerlin fell behind 3-0 then fired off 6 straight strikes for two strikeouts to get out of the inning with the 5-4 lead still intact.
  23. wiguy94
    5-4 now and still bases loaded with 1 out. Low got a pop up to open the inning then walked the next three batters. Yerlin Rodriguez came in and hasn't gotten a batter out.
  24. wiguy94
    Timber Rattlers bullpen unfortunately threatening to blow a 5-0 lead here in the 8th inning. It's 5-3 with the bases loaded and 1 out.
  25. wiguy94
    And yet basically nobody predicted the Brewers to win the division. What he's saying is entirely valid.
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