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SF70

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Everything posted by SF70

  1. SF70
    Quero’s first half performance with the bat last year at AA prior to his hand injury was enough for me to see his future hitting talent. He was every bit the hitter Chourio was prior to the injury. The guy can hit.
  2. SF70
    But Woodruff hasn’t been healthy and that’s the problem taking the TOR starter over the all-star catcher — health. For every Cole or Burnes, there’s multitudes of Woodruff’s or deGrom’s.
  3. SF70
    Quero’s age and extension potential makes him more valuable long-term than Skeens or any pitcher for that matter. I’ll take the 10 years of all-star type catching over 6 years of a TOR starter.
  4. SF70
    Absolutely not. You don’t trade a potential future all-star catcher that has a good chance of being extended like his fellow countryman Chourio. A Quero & Chourio duo up the middle for a decade is potentially franchise altering.
  5. SF70
    My guess is the team wanted Crow pretty bad and think they can get more out of Junis than Houser. Not sure Junis is all that more expensive than houser either.
  6. SF70
    Nah, the Houser/TT trade was about more than just salary relief, adding a future potential mid-rotation arm to the organization in Coleman Crow. Trading from depth positions — team has many Houser type starter arms (most if not all considerably cheaper options) and boatloads of OF’s. The money saved helped the team improve in other areas of the team that needed strengthening, like offensive firepower.
  7. SF70
    Absolutely nailed this team’s offseason and overall philosophy of team building. We are so fortunate to have Arnold leading this organization. I thought David Stearns was as good as it gets, but Arnold has taken the batan and moved this organization beyond anything I could have imagined. And it’s a good thing since this division is a future monstrosity, with 4 of the 5 teams having as good or better of young talent as there is in the game from any one team.
  8. SF70
    Williams I would guess more so than Adames, but an overpay for either will get Arnold to pull the trigger. Extreme talent & depth in the bullpen makes Williams more expendable, with Willy more important to the team winning games this season.
  9. SF70
    Hoyer played this one right. Not much downside with only 3 years, all of them still in his peak-performance years. His versatility allows for the Cubs to bring up their young talent, even if he sticks for 3, which he’s not likely to do.
  10. SF70
    The comp pick potential makes it a good deal. That comp pick is worth $10M+ in SV just of itself. Love this FO.
  11. SF70
    Mostly agree with your take. The Reds have numbers on their side. 7-8 potential IF’s and depth of OF’s as well. This will help mitigate the inevitable regressions they will get from a good amount of their sophomore positionals. I disagree with your assessment of their pitching. They go 10 deep with quality starter options and if they can get Greene to take the next step and Lodolo can finally get healthy— look out — they easily would have the best rotation in the division. They still might even if they don’t hit on both.
  12. SF70
    It’s Ashby for me. His velo this spring will determine where he starts out the year, in AAA, or with the big-club, and if it’s MKE, will it be the rotation or bullpen. Awaiting impatiently for the first word on his velo.
  13. SF70
    This division is going to really be something special over the next 5+ years with all of the young talented rosters and strong farm systems. This season I think the Reds have the advantage providing they don’t get too many sophomore slumps.. Their starting pitching is strong and deep and they have an underrated bullpen. I see a 5 team race most of the year with St Louis & Pittsburgh falling off late in the season.
  14. SF70
    If we’re really gonna dream on a ‘25 rotation let’s add Ashby to Peralta-Woodruff-Hall-Misiorowski with Gasser the 6th starter. How many plus or better pitches in that rotation (assuming Woody makes it all the way back)?
  15. SF70
    Yeah, Wiemer needs time at AAA just to gain the extra ST season, so starting him off at AAA makes sense. As far as holding all 3, I also think that makes sense unless the team gets a trade offer on one they just can’t turn down. I doubt that happens with Mitchell or Wiemer, but maybe it does with Frelick, who likely has the most trade value of the 3. They have so much OF depth it’s ridiculous, with Black an OF option as well, especially if one of our current OF group is traded. Fascinating to see what moves if any the FO makes moving forward.
  16. SF70
    You’re not, Bukauskas should be far down the list of DFA candidates. Really good stuff, but the lack of an option likely kills his long-term opportunity with this club. Another club without the ridiculous organizational bullpen depth of this club will be getting a nice reliever.
  17. SF70
    Nice to see him healthy and throwing. But the velo will tell the story of where he’s really at.
  18. SF70
    Of course. This FO isn’t going to give-away Adames.
  19. SF70
    It’s a no for me. I don’t like Cabrera’s injury history and poor command. Bad combination. Adames is important to the team’s success this year and I want his contract year performance & draft-pick. Trade Williams to add talent. Trade an OF to add talent. Trade a non-Williams reliever to add talent.
  20. SF70
    I think Gasser will definitely make the roster early season and if he doesn’t rotation, then pitches 2-4 innings stints out of the bullpen.
  21. SF70
    This team currently is deep with capable starters for OD— Peralta-Miley-Rae-Hall-Ross-Junis goes 6 deep for a few weeks to get past the extra ST year. Off days early season help as well with the team likely to keep the 5 rest day strategy. There is also Ashby & McKendry if the team has 2-3 starter injuries. Most evaluators I follow project Gasser a #4 starter with some saying he can be more than that. That is a player, even at age 25, that you want to have for 7 seasons, not 6.
  22. SF70
    I think the team will want to extend Quero and do it before he establishes himself as a big-leaguer like they did with Chourio. His combination of age (21-22), signing bonus (200K) and culture (family) should lead to another team-friendly deal. Keep them both for a season (‘25) and trade Contreras offseason post-‘25 season. His trajectory is to be a $60M surplus value trade asset, so, quite the return package ahead.
  23. SF70
    Drafts in ‘24 & ‘25 that approach the ‘23 class in strength will take this team’s system to an Orioles-level system and give us the best young Organizational talent in the NL, even more than Cincinnati. We already should have more pool money in the ‘24 class than Johnson and Co. have ever had. If we get picks for Adames & Hoskins and they sign for $50M+ that could get us near $16M in pool money for ‘25. This could get really interesting.
  24. SF70
    The team isn’t trading Adames, unless they get a return that crushes his contract year performance/pick/pool money/leadership ability, and that’s unlikely to happen.
  25. SF70
    Yes, the team needs to make room in the bullpen for a starter arm and 1 of Williams or Payamps needs to go. I prefer Williams, and for the reasons you’ve already given with special emphasis on potential injury. Payamps also could return a nice piece if teams deem the package for Williams too painful. The Yankees trade would be an outstanding one for this team and one if offered has to be taken.
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