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SF70

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Everything posted by SF70

  1. No way Friedman gives up that much pitching.
  2. Baty can’t defend, so Arnold isn’t likely to want him
  3. Pitching for MKE by ‘26, yes, then add a couple of years of big league development to reach the mid rotation arm.
  4. Why does it appear we are headed towards a rebuild? Prior to yesterday’s trade, everything we’ve read or heard from Attanasio-Arnold has been the opposite, that they plan on contending for a championship in ‘24. This trade doesn’t change that at all. They just saved $7M trading 2 players they don’t need to contend next year and received a potential 2028 mid-rotation starter, thus improving the organization as a whole. Numerous teams around the game are cutting their payroll due to the uncertainty of their RSN’s, including the Mariners & Twins, both contending teams. The trade chops $7M off the teams payroll, allowing them to sign a Santana or comparable FA and still come in $15M less than last years OD payroll.
  5. Yeah, I believe Busch will hit, but he can’t defend and that’s a problem. Imo, the Dodgers had 2 starters worthy of being included in a Burnes trade, Pepiot & Sheehan, and Pepiot is now with Tampa. As I said in another post in this thread, I don’t think Sheehan is going anywhere now that Pepiot is gone, maybe for Cease, but probably not even for him. The Dodgers & Brewers just don’t match-up in trades very well since both Friedman & Arnold are too disciplined to move players unless they get more value back than they give-up.
  6. Busch is a 26 year old, position-less hitter, that in his SSS debut made Brice Turang look good in the box. wRC+ of 49 with a k-rate of 33%+. Arnold would never want him as a headliner in Burnes deal. Gotta be able to defend or Arnold isn’t going to want you. Most of the pitchers are 25-26 with warts aplenty, and the 2 best arms offered, Frasso & Ryan carry reliever risk. The second trade offer is the least bad, and one that Arnold might not laugh-off, but Sweeney is a meh SS prospect and Ryan, probable reliever. The last offer is the worst — giving up Adames and Burnes and the pick for a positionless hitter, talented arm in Frasso with reliever risk, and a lottery type arm a billion years away from the bigs is the offer Friedman is praying Arnold accepts if given.
  7. No way Friedman gives up that much pitching. Sheehan isn’t going anywhere imo, unless it’s for Cease, and with Pepiot traded off, I think he now holds Sheehan. I just don’t think the Brewers & Dodgers match-up in a Burnes trade. Friedman & Arnold are too disciplined and both will want to “win” the trade-return. Going to need a gambler-type GM that really really really wants Burnes and is willing to really really really pay to get him. Preller-Dombrowski-Anthopolous.
  8. Those are trade proposals Friedman would absolutely do — and Arnold would laugh at.
  9. Actually, he hasn’t been able to maintain his velocity deeper into games, losing velo after just 3 innings or so, which tells me he’s far from starting for the big-club even if he continues to make command improvement. I think the focus will be on building-up his stamina which could take time, maybe 1-2 years. He can’t start out at 97-100, and sit 94-95 by the 4th inning if he going to eventually rotation. Hes worth taking our time with.
  10. Should open the door even wider for a Santana reunion with the team’s biggest competitor over his services now seemingly out on the Santana sweepstakes.
  11. Wilson didn’t have Ross’s history as a solid big-league starter. This could turn out to be even a better signing than Rea of last year, especially if the post-TJ velo is real and sustainable moving-forward. Excited to see what our PDS can do for him.
  12. Yeah, Dodgers need at least 3 veteran inning-eating starters and assuming at least 1 of them will be acquired by trade, to limit the long-term money outlay. My guess is Friedman goes Cease or Burnes.
  13. It’s been 30 years since Selig & co. somehow talked the large-market owners into meaningful revenue-sharing, and unfortunately there are no SM owners with the salesmanship and galvanizing skills of Mr Selig that can convince the large-market owners to give up profit for the good of the game. Instead it’s add more playoff teams so more SM teams have hope for the postseason. The way I see it going is to keep adding compensatory draft-picks for SM teams, and increasing penalties for large-market teams for spending, Increasing the loss of international bonus money and pushing draft-picks further down and losing more draft-picks. Give the SM teams more young talent that they can extend thru their prime-aged seasons and let the large-markets continue to overspend by buying post-prime FA talent.
  14. Yeah, I think Krall will now deal from his ridiculous IF depth to add a Glasnow-Bieber-Cease, the one major weakness of that team — a veteran TOR starter to lead their young and talented rotation. Scary team.
  15. Pittsburgh vs MKE in signing Santana.
  16. Pratt is gonna fly. Badler saying he was one of the most impressive hitters at instructs has me stoked and guessing a Carolina start with a Wisconsin end, then on to AA for a week to get his feet wet.
  17. Absolutely. Black-Monasterio-Wilken. Possible trade addition — Mayo.
  18. Del Chiaro also mentioned how much stronger Black has gotten coming into this past season, working-out during his injury absence’s. A 4 mph increase in exit velo in ‘23 over ‘22 is impressive. So is his FB rate vs GB rate., ISO improvement, and more than quadrupling his HR output. Nice progress I’d say from Mr Black.
  19. I think both IF (IF) Arnold gets what he wants return-wise. Should be a fascinating rest of the offseason.
  20. The team likely keeps him for his performance and the draft-pick, which would make me quite happy since I believe he has a nice rebound season at the plate and could lead this team to a central title. Demand for a SS like Adames doesn’t lend itself to a trade return that makes it worth giving up one of our best players, and thus lessening our title chances for 2024. And make no mistake, the ‘24 team is a potential sleeping giant.
  21. I don’t see the team taking anyone in the R5 draft. I think they have as good a group of bullpen arms entering a season as I can ever remember and I just don’t see them handcuffing themselves by giving up another potential shuttle option.
  22. I’m adding Pratt as well. I think he’s ready to breakout after Ben Badler said he was one of the best hitters he saw at instructs.
  23. Trade Burnes-Adames only with the right return. It would need to include big-league talent that helps contention in ‘24. Better odds of trading Williams & TT, because of depth at those positions they don’t necessarily need big-league talent returned and could go with mostly big-league ready talent. Next season will be a developmental season in which they still contend for a central title. Chourio-Black will be added to the rookies giving the team a tremendous young core of positionals from which to add to next year with farm additions Wilken and possible trade additions. On the pitching front, the bullpen even without Williams will be strong, even if they don’t any add big-league relievers, but they will add more arms to be stashed in the upper minors thru trades or ML signings. The starting pitching if Burnes isn’t traded will be strong enough to win games with a better offensive and monstrous bullpen.
  24. Get Santana back for a year. excellent defense, has pop, and can get on base.
  25. Kevin Ereu for me. I know he was injured for part of the year, but a SS with power potential gets my attention.
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