In the current regime, we've seen a pattern of trading high end starting pitchers that we know won't be returning, a year prior to free agency, no sooner, no later, while with position players we often let it ride all the way to the QO.
This of course occurred with Burnes and Peralta. Actually, this goes all the way back to the Yovani Gallardo days, but that was obviously pre-Arnold.
So has this benefitted us? I'd like to disclaim a couple things here — obviously Matt Arnold is a tremendous GM and I'm not second guessing that. It's okay to discuss whether a particular strategy has been beneficial or if the alternative (taking it all the way to QO) would be better. Additionally, I know that in these arguments, we see a lot of "the players we acquired provided a total of 'X' WAR while the player(s) we traded away gave us only 'Y' WAR in that one season.
I'm not sure how beneficial that information is, because 1) we're more focused on October results at this point, and these arguments don't really include that, and 2) just for an example, if Joey Ortiz hadn't been our SS the last 2.5 seasons, someone else with unknown results would have been taking his place.
Corbin Burnes brought us Joey Ortiz and DL Hall (also the CB RD A pick in 2024, but this is offset by the lost potential QO pick, so for all intents and purposes the deal was Burnes for Ortiz and Hall.)
Hall is an adequate lefty bullpen arm, nothing more and nothing less. His command has been concerning this year while the results have still been acceptable. We know what we have with Joey, who has a fantastic glove but lacks a strong enough bat to be a long-term solution at the position.
In the 2024 season, the season ended in heartbreaking fashion with the Game 3 Wild Card loss to the Mets. Would the series have been different with Burnes leading the rotation? Would we have continued to advance deeper in the NL playoffs? These are hypotheticals that of course, we can never know, but are still worth considering when making these kinds of trades.
In 2026, we are in a position where Peralta would ironically make a much needed addition to the current rotation. Jett hasn't had his shot yet, and Sprout, while certainly having a capable high upside arm, hasn't had the results we'd like to see so far. It's certainly fair to say the jury is still out on this one, but let's also not forget the loss of Tobias Myers in this deal, who has continued to be a reliable long man/swing man. And we also need to consider that Freddy would have brought in a comp pick at the end of the season on our side.
Just want to hear everyone's thoughts on these type of deals — should we be continuing to do them? Or are the assets we've gained simply not worth losing out on a high end starting pitcher especially for a club that continues to be in contention year in and year out?