adambr2
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Everything posted by adambr2
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If you take Bauers splits against RHP and Vaughn against LHP, you actually have a really high end 1B.
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Some pretty silly looking ABs tonight.
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Nice work by Harrison to get out of trouble.
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Should be fine. We have Chris Brooks and a guy who hasn’t even been able to make it through practice without sustaining a new injury,
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Right, and all that is hypothetical, so really the best way is just looking straight at what was lost and what was gained.
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I totally agree with this. I touched on it briefly in my original post but you described it better. It’s a bit of a false equivalency to try to compare trades by subtracting total WAR lost and comparing it to total WAR gained. If you traded two players who accumulated 2 WAR each for 6 seasons and you acquired a player who accumulated 7 WAR for each of the next two seasons before departing in free agency , you traded 24 WAR for 14 WAR. That certainly would not mean you made a “bad” trade.
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It’s just really hard to say because there aren’t any good recent comps. Teams just don’t give up high end top 100 prospects for rentals. But I would concede that Skubal is in a class all his own so I could see it being entirely possible that he could break that trend. I just don’t know though ,,, Corbin Burnes was a very high end pitcher when we traded him with a year of control left and most of us agree in hindsight that the return was underwhelming. But Skubal is in a class all his own, even ahead of Burnes. I think it all depends on how intense the bidding war gets. I mentioned Fischer plus but I could see Pena plus being necessary or even Made (not saying that we should do that, just that it could end up being what it would take depending on the bids from others.)
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If Bauers can continue to hit LHP and at least play a passable OF I am ok with most of this, even if I would prefer to see Lara get a look. Though the service time, assuming we’re past super 2, and the option are overstated and overblown to me. If we are concerned with Lara being out of options by 2029 then he was probably not what we were looking for anyway and we’ll know that by then. However for his career Bauers owns a 73 wRC+ versus LHP and though he might have improved on that I am guessing that is probably closer to his future splits than the 119 for 2026 that you mentioned.
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Maybe Andrew Fischer plus?
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I don’t understand the sentiment that you can’t do anything about Sal. He hasn’t been good. Him being a big part of previous playoff runs doesn’t change his 67 wRC+ or the fact that he’s unplayable against LHP. As of today, there is not an acceptable outfield righty platoon outfield bat to start against LHP outside of Chourio. If Frelick gets optioned and spends some time in Nashville to work on his swing, knowing it’ll be temporary, and Lara gets some time up here to see how sustainable his production is at this level, are you really losing anything or doing any harm? I think if anything, you’re getting more information. Between Sal, Mitchell and Lara, one of these players is not a part of our long-term outfield alignment.
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He’s going to be the belle of the ball for sure. He’s obtainable as a rental. I don’t know what he would take. We obviously have the capital to do it. It wouldn’t take Made. Not for a rental. But still something substantial. Lining up Miz, Skubal and Harrison for a playoff series sounds amazing, though.
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I am not trying to make this about Gasser versus Henderson in any other way other than to say let’s get a little larger sample size before making conclusions. But I do think some recency bias is in play here and I’m pretty confident if you go back to the 2023 threads on this page you’ll see Gasser was just as regarded by many posters and prospects lists as Henderson has been,
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He went on bereavement last summer and has not been the same since. It was like a switch flipped, So while I may not want him on the 26 anymore I just hope personally he’s going okay.
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Fair enough. When I first started posting here this discussion would have been over whether Victor Santos or Wes Obermueller was our #4. So I’m just grateful how far we’ve come regardless. 😅
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Isn't it at least partially a mentality issue?
adambr2 replied to Turning2's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think the Dodgers are just really, really good. We’ve had some success against them in the regular season so it looks like we *should* be able to compete against them (and we can, but a lot of things have to go right). Unfortunately, they’re a team that can kind of just put it on cruise control in the regular season and turn it up a notch in the playoffs, and I think they do. -
I think taking Logan Henderson right now, this early, over Peralta, is a crazy take, yes. It reminds me of the hype around Gasser after his first few starts. And I absolutely am high on Logan and think he could have a fantastic career. Ironically, I compared him to Freddy in the last Henderson GT. I think taking any modern day version of Brandon Woodruff over Peralta is a crazy take. Huge fan of Woodruff and what he brought for so many years. But he’s 33. He hasn’t been the same since 2023. He gets by on deception and doesn’t have the velocity anymore. I hope he has another half season in him, but I think he’s toast.
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I’m absolutely comfortable with saying Miz is an ace and one of the best pitchers in the league and clearly better than Freddy Peralta. I also think it’s not out of line on the other two guys to say the jury is still out on making any widespread declarations in comparison to someone who spent 8 seasons here based on a small sample handful of starts,
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No, you’re continuing to excessively harp on something that I already conceded was an embellishment in my first reply rather than just actively have the discussion. Logan has been great. His start has been great. No one is discounting that. It doesn’t make him our #3 at this point in time. (Although maybe it does because of our lack of current options, but it wouldn’t slot him in over Peralta). Do you remember what Gasser’s first 5 starts looked like? My whole original point in another thread was that Peralta would actually be a much needed addition to our rotation this year. Which might even be more true now that Henderson is dealing with back tightness. I just don’t know why people feel the need to discount what he brought just because he isn’t here anymore.
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I am not calling Freddy an “ace” but he was a heck of a number 2 for us for years and was a lot better than this thread is giving him credit for.
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Lopez has been worth 2.4 WAR this year, 9 WAR the last 2 1/3rd seasons, is hitting .337 and plays a high end SS, and he’s just “okay”? Tough crowd. Lopez is basically what Ortiz would be if Ortiz could actually hit, too. He’s just a Marlin and not a Yankee or Dodger so he doesn’t get the press.
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A number 4 in a rotation is by definition only cracking the rotation by a slim margin, yes? I’m not looking to split hairs. Yes, your take is defensible if you look at stats/stuff this year. It also doesn’t take into account the larger body of work. I’m very excited about Harrison, for example, but you’re also looking at 9 starts versus almost 200. With Logan, even less. How anyone defines a 4 versus a 1 these days is subjective and doesn’t mean much, but I think it’s crazy to think that if Peralta were on the pitching staff right now and a playoff series were starting tomorrow, he wouldn’t be one of the first 3 getting the ball,
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Xavier Edwards or Otto Lopez of the Marlins were rumored last year and either would still make a fantastic addition now.
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I’m pretty sure Badoo was just activated yesterday to take up the last spot.
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I just want to mention that a spot can be cleared for Lara at any time simply by placing Zerpa on the 60 day. A DFA isn’t necessary. They would still need to clear a spot for Jett some other way, though.
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Okay. Saying he might be our #4, which you did say, is a massive slight to a pitcher who was a Cy Young candidate last year, who had a long established successful track record here, and is still pitching well this year.
