owbc
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Everything posted by owbc
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It's a near miracle that in 120 years of MLB there have only been two instances where major rule changes to the actual game itself (i.e. not juiced balls or steroids) were required to keep offense and defense in balance. Maybe there are more but the DH/mound lowering and the shift ban are the two big ones that come to mind. It's probably going to be needed more often going forward. -
I read the personal finance reddit and many of those folks were all putting in the max $6,500 into their IRA in January. To me the biggest risk is lack of liquidity as you noted, especially in your 55-62 window when you might need the cash. I see it as one piece of a diversified investment portfolio -- and it's a piece that you don't really have to think about after making the contribution. I didn't make a 2022 contribution (still can until tax day) so I might do that depending on what my bonus/raise looks like. It would sure be nice to retire at 55! I spent so much time getting my PhD that I figure I'll work until 70, but I guess we'll see.
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Nailed it. The West sure got shaken up today. Durant and the Suns going for co-revenge against Giannis in the finals? That would be entertaining to say the least.
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Spring training is a great time. We went for the first time in 2019 and it's becoming a bit of a tradition now. This year will be our third time. It's close to a perfect day to go for a morning run, hit the pool for an hour or two, watch some afternoon baseball, and then have a nice dinner. And there is no shortage of great food in the Phoenix area!
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We order from those apps several times per month. It’s the price you pay for convenience. I expect it to be $50-60 for two people. The menu price at the restaurant is irrelevant, that’s a different experience. I would say it’s more of a luxury than us being lazy. We don’t do our own grocery shopping either but I think we end up saving money and eating healthier because it’s easier to avoid impulse purchases when using Instacart.
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If you take out all of their “adjustments” it sounds like the conclusion to draw is that it’s basically a wash and there hasn’t been much change to the job market. It’s pretty obvious the January report will show job losses given everyone waited until the new year to do layoffs.
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I think they knew the economics were bad when FSWI rebranded to Bally, but there was hope for sports betting revenue to make up the difference. That seems to not have happened for whatever reason. Bally was just more of the same.
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The Brewers are getting screwed by RSNs more than any other team in MLB (excluding ones that don't care about winning games). If they lose a fraction of their revenue, it will be the same fraction lost as every other team caught up in this. The best case scenario for the Brewers is for there to be no path forward with an RSN -- that is, the payout is so low that the Brewers would be better off going with a streaming service (as Brock suggested) or having a crisis that requires MLB intervention. Think about it from the perspective of the league as a whole. When revenue inflates, we fall farther behind. We want revenue to contract. The only concern from the fans perspective should be the number of households that have access to Brewers games.
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My dad is retired and works a seasonal job as a tax preparer. He said it's unbelievable how many people were day trading in crypto with pages and pages worth of transactions on their taxes. All for relatively little profit. And this was the 2021 tax year which was about as good as it got for crypto.
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If that article is correct, the Brewers are getting $34 million/year for their TV rights, up from $28 million under the previous contract. Presumably they took an ownership stake in as part of negotiating that $34 million/year number. The RSN model has been screwing the Brewers for decades. The sooner it dies, the better. Another interesting tidbit from a different article...
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I think there's a good chance MLB steps in, as Manfred has made some recent comments alluding to a desire to get rid of blackouts. It's hard to blow the system up when many teams are still printing money from their RSNs, but maybe this is enough of a critical mass to get some change. Signing a new exclusive deal with a streaming service like Amazon doesn't excite me at all, that model doesn't necessarily appear to be sustainable either. The model needs to be largely ad-supported. Put the games on MLB.tv with no blackouts and sell the non-exclusive rights to simulcast for cheap. Take the short-term revenue hit in exchange for the long-term growth of the product.
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Give us your best tips on watching a game at AmFam
owbc replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I think the loge level is one of the best and most unique viewing perspectives in MLB. Most stadiums have a lower field level that is about the size of the field+loge level combined at AmFam. When you sit in the back of those larger field levels, you tend to be sitting lower and don't have as good of a perspective of the field and in particular tracking batted balls. Plus there are too many people going in/out because of how large the lower section is and the lower concourse is more crowded than it is at AmFam. On the flip side, the entire terrace level is a weird angle that is super high relative to other stadiums. I personally don't like it at all except for maybe the first few rows. AmFam is close to the worst in MLB in terms of location and accessibility. Fourth Base on National is a good pregame spot if you are a southsider like I was and there is sometimes free parking on the side streets. You can walk to the stadium from there through the VA, it's less of a walk than the Bluemound bars. -
I'm planning to do it for my 40th birthday which is approaching faster than I would like. I have close to zero baseball experience, other than slow pitch softball. Would love to hear about your experience! As well as what is unique about the Brewers version of fantasy camp.
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IF/OF utility guys come in handy. It was either this or give Jace Peterson 2 years/10 mil which wasn't going to happen. Somewhere in this signing is an acknowledgement that at some point in the season they may need to get Jesse Winker's bat in the lineup by starting him in the outfield. So they may need to move Anderson from the IF to the OF within a game or use him as a defensive sub for Winker. Keston was rendered mostly obsolete by Winker in my view since one has to imagine that an ideal scenario is that Winker is the full-time DH, but injuries or other flexibility needs may force Winker into the field at times. Edit: I forgot about Winker's atrocious splits vs. LHP but I think the point stands that Anderson will need to sub in for Winker.
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That was an incredibly fun game, I’ll never forget all of the cheering and chanting in the concourses of the stadium after we won. These days a guy like Bush would be yanked from the game much faster and many of his trademark “big innings” could be avoided.
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You can still see the outline of the old runway on Google Maps. It is near 76th/Ryan Rd in Franklin. (42.86425648468093, -88.0061748608468)
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I grew up a couple blocks from 124th St in Greenfield. Greenfield probably has the strangest shape of any city in Wisconsin, which is a result of it incorporating all of the leftover land in that area. There is also a square "hole" in Greenfield along 116th St which is a chunk of land that they sold to West Allis back in the 1990s. One part of the southern border of Greenfield is not exactly on Edgerton Ave but instead is a couple hundred feet to the north. I don't know if they ever resolved it, but back in the day the people who lived on the N side of Edgerton owned property in both cities. I learned most of the above at some sort of government day that we had in middle school. I also remember that I was the only one who knew that Milwaukee County used to have a third airport called Rainbow Airport close to the farm where my mother grew up.
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Article: Jesse Winker is Primed for a Bounceback Season
owbc replied to Kyle Ginsbach's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I would take what Divish is reporting with a grain of salt. It’s hard to explain unless you follow the Mariners but he’s not one to report two sides to a story, and especially one that paints a narrative of Winker that paints him in a negative light. Divish often rubs me the wrong way. Just recently he reported some rumors about Dipoto and Servais being widely disliked in MLB circles which seemed fishy. I don’t doubt that Winker was frustrated and he certainly looks lazy in the field and on the bases, but he didn’t look that way at the plate when he was routinely having some of the best ABs on the team. The Brewers did take advantage of the Mariners wanting to dump Winker, but that’s hopefully us taking advantage of a guy who clearly needed to be traded and not some sort of clubhouse cancer. The Brewers just did the same with Renfroe who had his own set of rumors which sounded way worse than Winker. -
Article: Justin Topa Traded to Seattle for Minor Leaguer
owbc replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
The Mariners will probably tell Topa to throw his slider harder and not worry about break. The Brewers will go to work converting Hernandez to a reliever and addressing whatever they decided was fixable. I like that we've become frequent trading partners with Seattle. They are generally a smart organization and love making trades, sometimes quicker than they should. Meanwhile, we should be quicker to make more trades and trade more frequently. -
Great article. Personally I like having the extra arm around, I think there's a high likelihood that either one or both of Lauer and Houser will struggle in 2023 and we don't have Brent Suter around anymore to eat up innings in the pen. I would also be open to trading Lauer but not for Santander. I know he hit a bunch of HR in 2022 but he's not that good defensively and we can always put up with Winker's defense if we need to. I would rather just get a better prospect haul from Baltimore or another suitor, but it might be worth starting the season with the arm surplus and seeing how things sort themselves out. The trade deadline would be the best time to move Burnes but I doubt it happens unless we're out of contention. The Luis Castillo trade is a good benchmark for what we could expect to get for Burnes -- three of the top 5 prospects in a strong farm system. That would be fantastic.
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Down 1% is impressive for 2022! That was a tough year. I'm still deciding what to do in 2023. In 2022 I had some losses on S&P 500 index funds that I cashed out in the fall (partially for tax reasons plus a lack of confidence that stocks are going to go up in 2023). I also bought my full allotment of I-Bonds when the rate was 9%. And finally I bought some of my company's stock at a 5% discount which has stayed flat in the past 6 months. Currently my extra cash is sitting in a Fidelity account earning 4%. The other uncertainty that sits over my head is the possibility that student loan payments will resume...and whether there will be any forgiveness or not (and whether I will be eligible for it)...and if payments do resume should I refinance or pay it off with our lower interest HELOC as my financial advisor has suggested. I've also thought about getting a vacation/rental property but everything still seems way overpriced and my partner would prefer to upgrade our house, which doesn't make sense right now because we're locked into a low interest rate and the housing market needs to cool off more. So I'm pretty happy getting the 4% for now...it seems like they will do anything to get inflation down so the I-Bonds don't appeal to me in 2023...I guess old school stuff like CDs and savings accounts might be the safest investment these days...
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I have similar thoughts after watching some of the game last night. It felt like Giannis and a bunch of guys at times. I would like to see them be able to sit Giannis and still win like they were able to do in their really good regular season years, but what can you do? He's far from the only NBA star having to carry all of the weight right now. There's still a ton of regular season left but I can't imagine they are going to win another title if they don't get their regular rotation at least a few weeks of healthy reps prior to the playoffs. Although it feels like the whole NBA is kind of a toss-up this year with at least 6 or 7 teams that could find themselves in the finals, so the Bucks have as good of a chance as anyone if they can get healthy.
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To me that just shows the value of rotation depth, which has not been addressed this offseason. So if there is another injury or a regression we'll be back to the middle of the pack again. Plus we already know from 2021 that an elite TOR is far from a guarantee of playoff success.
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In 2022 our rotation was league average. In 2021 we got out-pitched by the Braves in the postseason -- largely because the Braves struck gold on a handful of unremarkable deadline acquisitions that happened to get hot at the right time. I think it's a tremendous shame that they missed the postseason in 2022 but it's not like they "wasted" anything that wasn't unique to any other year that they missed the playoffs. Any contract where you are front ending WAR and back ending salary puts you at a disadvantage down the road. Supposedly our competitive advantage is our analytics department, right? In addition to player development? If that's the case, then the Hader trade should be the standard for what we are trying to do. Then we need to do more trading and keep restocking. Don't sign any extensions.
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I agree, some of that was driven by the Ukraine situation but the Russian oil is managing to make it to market. Here in the Seattle area it’s fallen below $4 in the cheaper spots. I was out of the city near the refineries last weekend and I saw $2.75 so I topped off my tank for $14. What a deal!
