6/5/07 Cubs (Lilly) @ Brewers (Vargas): 7:05 PM CDT

[wOOgiE22]

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/starters3.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Pitchers/605.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/bullpen/605.jpg

 

 

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/last5.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/last5/605.gif

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/last5/605a.gif

 

 

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/stats.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/stats/605.gif

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/stats/605a.gif

 

 

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/splits3.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Splits/605.gif

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Splits/605a.gif

 

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/standings3.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Standings/000.gif

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Standings/wc000.gif

 

 

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/recordopponent.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Standings/br605.gif

 

 

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/nlcentral.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Daily/605.jpg

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/gamepreview.jpg

Brewerfan.net Series Preview

Sportsline.com Preview

Yahoo Sports Preview

ESPN.com Preview

Brewers Press Pass

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/mediacoverage3.jpg

TV: FSN Wisconsin

Radio: 620 WTMJ (Affiliates)

Internet: Live Boxscore, MLB Gameday 2007, ESPN Gamecast

Sportsline Gamecenter

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/fansites-1.jpg

North Side Baseball

Inside the Ivy

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/yo.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Splits/yo602.gif

 

 

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/inman.jpg

http://i54.photobucket.com/albums/g83/woogie22/Splits/inman601.gif

 

Beat the Cubs!!

[SeriesFinale]

Let the healing begin.

[Oldcity]

I really hate the way the pitching stacks up in this series. I don't have much confidence in Vargas to not suck.

[trwi7]

Looking at the splits against Vargas and how lucky he's been this season this game is not looking good.

 

I hope Villanueva is ready tomorrow.

[BrewCrewForever]

Please win guys. I dont think I could stand seeing the Cubs take the series from us in our own park. Vargas really needs to pound the meat tonight. And we need to hit better with men on the bases.

 

Im feeling a big day for Hall. Please make me right Billy.

[trwi7]

Quote:

---

I dont think I could stand seeing the Cubs take the series from us in our own park.

---

 

You obviously weren't around for the second series of the year.http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif

[BrewCrewForever]

You obviously weren't around for the second series of the year.

 

No I was, I was at the game Bush gave up 6 in the first. I guess I should have said another series.

[brewmann04]

Lilly tonight has the making of a big win for the cubs tonight i just hope the crew find their Bats.

[rluzinski]

The sad thing is, living in Green Bay means I have to leave at around 9 PM on weekday games. With Vargas pitching that might get me to the 4th http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/frown.gif

[littledoc83]

Lilly tonight has the making of a big win for the cubs tonight i just hope the crew find their Bats.

 

Why? He's been pounded in his last two starts, and it's not like he historically dominates us. He only has pitched in one game vs the Brewers.

 

 

On a side note... last month at this time the IGT would be on it's 3rd or 4th page.... disappointing seeing some jump off the bandwagon this soon. Although they were prolly the same people that jumped on after the first month...

[rluzinski]

Don't worry. If the Brewers win 7 of their next 8, people will be coming out of the woodwork, saying how they never stopped believing and that this team just "knows how to win".

[davemakovec]

To go or not to go...

 

There are right field bleacher seats available, my favorite spot, and I don't have anything going on tonight, but Vargas is pitching, meaning I'll be in the ballpark until 1am...

 

I'm torn!

[BrewCrewInMN]

Im feeling a big night out of Bill E Hall tonight too. 2b, HR, 2 runs, and RBIs. Also Braun will go deep and the Brewers will win 6-3. Last night RISP was just awful and without looking at the stats it seems like the running theme of 2007. Hopefully those hits will start coming in the 2nd half of the season.

[iluvlamp]

after last night I'm not much up to it...but

 

CRUSH! POUND! HAMMER!

 

Please don't suck as much as your splits suggest Vargas. Lilly is very hittable right now so let's get this one.

[rluzinski]

I wouldn't worry about the splits at all. They are interesting to look at but it's way too small a sample to predict anything.

[TeeJayh1980]

I predict a 3 run shot from Prince after Braun doubles and Hardy walks

[RobDeer45]

Man this team just kills me. I need a win tonight so i'm not angry.

[pitchleague]

Quote:

---

without looking at the stats it seems like the running theme of 2007.

---

 

Without looking at stats, I'll go out on a limb and say this has been a running theme since 2004 (if not earlier) for the Brewers.

[BraunsBoyfriend]

They have to feel humiliated after giving that game away last night.

 

I expect them to come out hard and not leave 234298475348 RISP.

[SlideBernieSlide]

Vargas throws so many pitches. Its rare to see the guy get out of the 6th. So we'll likely need Villy for at least 2 tonight.

 

The RH line-up needs to treat Ted Lilly like he's Scott Olsen.

 

A

[brewersbucks2323]

I was there last night and could not stand watching the Brewers strand all those runners the first two innings. Let's get this one and shut those sCrub fans up!

[davemakovec]

I was debating whether or not I wanted to go tonight, and ended up biting the bullet and getting a ticket in the left-field bleachers. I chose that over my preferred right-field bleachers because of the lefty on the mound for the Flubs in hopes that some of our righties decide that they would rather hit bombs than strike out or ground out weakly to the pitcher (Kevin Mench, I'm looking at you).

 

This'll be game two of the year for me, and I'll be going it alone, wading into a sea of jerks and morons, aka Northsiders, aka sCrub fans, aka Our Unfriendly Neighbors to the South aka *(I don't think I can even type the three-letter abbreviation, but the middle letter is I for Illinois)* aka go back to Chicago you losers we don't want you here.

 

The last game I attended, on Memorial Day, the Brewers left lots of RISP LOB and an inability to hit an above-average lefty. Hopefully they do a little better today, and hopefully if Fielder leaves one in the seats he won't decide to do it while I'm in line for a brat. Jerk.

 

I take it back, Prince - hit home runs whenever you feel like, as long as it's frequent and preferably with men on base.

[rluzinski]

Without looking at stats, I'll go out on a limb and say this has been a running theme since 2004 (if not earlier) for the Brewers.

 

It's OK to look this stuff up once in awhile. The Brewers had a lower BA w/RISP in 04' and 05' but had a higher BA w/RISP in 06'. Right now, they have an overall BA of .260 and a BA w/RISP of .245. They "should" have about 7 more hits w/RISP over the 58 games they've played. That's not insignificant but we are talking about 1 extra hit about every 8 games.

 

How many more wins would the Brewer have, had if they had gotten those 7 extra hits? It could have been 7 or it could have been 0, depending on when they had happened. A realistic number is maybe around 2 extra wins (maybe 20 runs). Considering the Brewers have barely outscored their opponents so far, yet find themselves 6 games over, it's kinda hard to play the underperforming card, though.

[pitchleague]

okay, Russ, so I looked it up.

 

BA w/ RISP

 

2003: .244

2004: .221 (ugh!)

2005: .240

2006: .263

2007: .245

 

I'd say that except for the blip of 2006, retrosheet has pretty much backed up off-the-top-of-my-head guesstimation that it has been a trend since 2004 (actually longer).

 

I'm not sure if you're beating down my assessment or just posting the stats to back up my statement.

 

How do you know we "should" have about 7 more hits w/RISP?

[TheCrew07]

Wouldn't it be logical that your BA would be consistent with or without runners on base? The reality is that it's not that simple, but I would guess that's his logic.