Brewers (Woodruff) vs Cubs (Hendricks): 8/30/21, 1:20pm

[Brock Beauchamp]

A win today doesn't guarantee a division title for the Brewers but it's a huge step in that direction. Being up five games with about 30 to play will win you a division the vast majority of the time.

[BlightyBrew]

Lets get back on the horse after a tough loss and win the series.

[wibadgers23]

The difference between a 3 game lead and a 5 game lead this late in the season is huge. Let’s get this one.

[treego14]

[RobertCrawley]

Let's hit the baseball!

[jerichoholicninja]

Kyle Hendricks is always good for about 7 shutout innings and 10 K's against the Brewers.

[Jake McKibbin]

I'm cautiously optimistic. I think if the Brewers played these games with these matchups 100 times, they'd win the series about 70% of those, but this is baseball and any team can win any game

Hendricks is a weird one, he'll definitely be helped by the wind today keeping the ball in play, especially against this fastballs.

The question is really if they can lay off the changeup early in the count, make him throw it for strikes to get ahead, and maybe a little BABIP luck. There will be a lot of balls in play today

[wibadgers23]

32 minutes ago, jerichoholicninja said:

Kyle Hendricks is always good for about 7 shutout innings and 10 K's against the Brewers.

I remember one game where we got him for like 8 runs but other than that, I mostly remember him dominating us.

[Jake McKibbin]

That's an incredibly long lineup the Brewers have out, almost no weak spots there. Tail end can get on base, and you could argue all of the top seven have shown a semblance of form of late

[treego14]

[wiguy94]

53 minutes ago, jerichoholicninja said:

Kyle Hendricks is always good for about 7 shutout innings and 10 K's against the Brewers.

Interesting considering he's never had a double digit strikeout game in his 32 career games against the Brewers

[yourout]

I don't have data to back it up but I feel like the Cubs hitters are more apt to scratch some runs in a bad wind situation.

Brewer hitters are far too geared to hit fly balls.

My gut says Cubs three to one.

[wiguy94]

16 minutes ago, yourout said:

I don't have data to back it up but I feel like the Cubs hitters are more apt to scratch some runs in a bad wind situation.

Brewer hitters are far too geared to hit fly balls.

My gut says Cubs three to one.

Brewers active roster FB% is 36.1% which is 25th in the MLB but hey too geared to hit fly balls

[BruisedCrew]

Hyperbole aside, Hendricks has had more than his share of low run outings against the Brewers, especially at Wrigley Field. 

Brewers hitters are going to need the patience to lay off the outside crap he throws and be willing to take the outside pitches in the strike zone to right field instead of trying to pull them (Willy Adames please note). 

If the wind is like it is here it might be blowing more out to right instead of in like it did last night. 

Woodruff is going to have to avoid the walks and keep the ball in the park because run support might be hard to come by. 
 

 

[wiguy94]

Since so much doom and gloom has already filled up this thread before the game has even started, I would like to point out that the Brewers active roster has a .340 xwOBA against Hendricks compared to their .288 wOBA. They are due. 

[wiguy94]

1 minute ago, wiguy94 said:

Since so much doom and gloom has already filled up this thread before the game has even started, I would like to point out that the Brewers active roster has a .340 xwOBA against Hendricks compared to their .288 wOBA. They are due. 

Yes Hendricks pitched well against the Brewers in July but look at the lineup today compared to that day.

That day we had Winker, pre-IL stint Tellez, Miller, Perkins, Wiemer. Those 5 hitters have been replaced by Santana, healthy Tellez, Monasterio, Canha, Frelick. Brewers are putting a much better lineup out there today than Hendricks saw in July

[Team Canada]

44 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

Brewers active roster FB% is 36.1% which is 25th in the MLB but hey too geared to hit fly balls

Instead of a snide remark, you could just helpfully provide the correction that actually they aren't too geared toward hitting fly balls.

[wiguy94]

17 minutes ago, Team Canada said:

Instead of a snide remark, you could just helpfully provide the correction that actually they aren't too geared toward hitting fly balls.

You're funny.

Edit: It took me 16.82 seconds to go from this page to the page that got me that FB% stat. 16.82 seconds shouldn't be a too significant amount of time for a poster to verify their doom and gloom thought before posting. 

[Jim French Stepstool]

I'd have bet a few dog biscuits Santana was going to get another day off w/the team day tomorrow. Good to see him back at 1B.

Agree with Jake. There's some length to this batting order.

[yourout]

1 hour ago, wiguy94 said:

Brewers active roster FB% is 36.1% which is 25th in the MLB but hey too geared to hit fly balls

Good to know... Thanks.

[BruisedCrew]

32 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

You're funny.

Edit: It took me 16.82 seconds to go from this page to the page that got me that FB% stat. 16.82 seconds shouldn't be a too significant amount of time for a poster to verify their doom and gloom thought before posting. 

I would point out that there are a lot of very good, very loyal Brewers and baseball fans that don’t live and die with the alphabet soup of advanced stats that some other fans do. That doesn’t make them (or maybe I should say us) unintelligent or inferior fans.

Maybe a simple response pointing out what you think is a relevant stat would serve the purpose. 

By the way, in the case of the fly ball percentage stat, is that a percentage of all at bats or just at bats that produce a ball put in play?
 

[Jake McKibbin]

46 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

Yes Hendricks pitched well against the Brewers in July but look at the lineup today compared to that day.

That day we had Winker, pre-IL stint Tellez, Miller, Perkins, Wiemer. Those 5 hitters have been replaced by Santana, healthy Tellez, Monasterio, Canha, Frelick. Brewers are putting a much better lineup out there today than Hendricks saw in July

This is what gives hope that the August form is sustainable 😍 thanks!

[Brock Beauchamp]

40 minutes ago, wiguy94 said:

You're funny.

Edit: It took me 16.82 seconds to go from this page to the page that got me that FB% stat. 16.82 seconds shouldn't be a too significant amount of time for a poster to verify their doom and gloom thought before posting. 

My cutoff for research is 16.47 seconds. It's a hard limit.

[Brewcrew82]

15 minutes ago, BruisedCrew said:

I would point out that there are a lot of very good, very loyal Brewers and baseball fans that don’t live and die with the alphabet soup of advanced stats that some other fans do. That doesn’t make them (or maybe I should say us) unintelligent or inferior fans.

Maybe a simple response pointing out what you think is a relevant stat would serve the purpose. 

By the way, in the case of the fly ball percentage stat, is that a percentage of all at bats or just at bats that produce a ball put in play?
 

They may not live and die by it, but when they make blanket statements that are patently untrue, I don't think it's out of line for someone to point that out. Doesn't make them "inferior" fans, just makes them wrong, as we all are from time to time. At least the truth/reality gets revealed, which should be the goal of any discussion board. 

[Brewcrew82]

Hendricks has a 5.00 ERA this month. So, hopefully we get something closer to that version of him.