Season Predictions Thread

[TrackCoach]

On 9/11/2026 at 9:21 AM, Ron Robinsons Beard said:

I was in the middle of coaching high school track, and was not very active on the board at that time. However, as I'm generally on the more optimistic (and in this case, realistic) side of the spectrum around here, I'll let you make an educated guess on what my prediction would have been. 

My lack of prediction doesn't change my perception of yours being outright hilarious ;)

Hey!  Fellow High School Track and Field coach here!  Good to see another track coach on here!

[wiguy94]

3 hours ago, Yaz said:

Just for fun, I searched out what Fangraphs predicted for the Brewers in 2026.  83 wins 79 losses.    LOL!!!!!!

I don't know why people find this surprising. Fangraphs projections are based off models which are based off your previous three years weighted a bit for the most recent years. The Brewers entered this year with their entire rotation being guys with under 2 years of MLB experience and Brandon Woodruff who had a big injury red flag. The Brewers overperforming Fangraphs has almost entirely come down to our pitching staff being way better than projections but the projections are toughest for players with little MLB experience.

[markedman5]

Brewers also 2nd in the majors in runs scored and 4th in ops.

They are just a very good team…….

[sveumrules]

31 minutes ago, markedman5 said:

Brewers also 2nd in the majors in runs scored and 4th in ops.

They are just a very good team…….

Yeah, FanGraphs has been way under-estimating the Brewers run scoring capability for the last few years as well.

Since Murphy took over the Brewers have scored 4.98 R/G over 475 team games with an upward year over year trend going back to 2022 (4.48 to 4.49 to 4.80 to 4.98 to 5.19 R/G so far this year).

FanGraphs has the Brewers rest of season projection at 4.66 R/G, which is even considerably lower than their 4.98 BaseRuns estimate so far this year.