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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. I can see this changing if Ortiz also goes on the IL. The big issue is that they will also be locked out if they are on the 40 man so they don't want to harm development. So maybe Adams has a chance but even then I could see them being cautious. And no the FO is not going to say "well we are planning on a 5 month lockout so we don't want to harm development."
  2. Do prospect skip AAA sometimes? Yes but often they ae not as young as Made or are dominating AA. Soto had a wRC+ of 169 at 19 when he had his rest stop in AA. Made has a 116 wRC+. As a percentage, there are more prospects at AA but that because AAA also has depth pieces and more career minor leaguers. AAA is higher level of competition.
  3. Wlilson is the posterboy for replacement level relief pitcher/spot starter. He has 484.1 major league innings and a WAR of -0.3. Given the amount of opportunities he has had for guy who neither throws particularly hard nor Ks a lot of guys I assuming he is great to be around allowing him to continually find work, but his jumping between teams and levels is what his career looks to be heading towards.
  4. Chourio's most similar hitter through age 21 is Justin Upton. Upton is a fine player with some All Star level years and a borderline MVP caliber year at age 23. But he's not an Acuna or Soto type hitter. So I think it's more the selling of Chourio as a generational HOF player versus an above average starter.
  5. Bonds has a wRC+ of 146 at age 23. He fell to 121 at age 24 before going up to 165 at 25. The offensive environment exploded in the early 90s so you just can't look at late 80s OPS and compare them directly to early 90s OPS.
  6. Chourio has to surpass Geoff Jenkins before we can talk about being better than PCA.
  7. People are talking about "how young" Jett Williams is to explain away his underwhelming year.
  8. The Brewers have constant phantom pitcher IL trips to be able to more quickly bring guys back up that they sent down. The current rules about minimum minor league stays are basically in response to the Brewers trying to get around the 13 man pitcher limit.
  9. Brewer fans complaining about other teams playing games with the IL is rich. No team bends the rules more than the Brewers.
  10. People decided Sanchez sucked from prior to the season and just use anything to reinforce that opinion. He wasn't bad for us in 2024 but people seem to believe he was an anchor on that team too.
  11. Sanchez is making all of $1.75 million this year. So no Naylor wouldn't really be a cost savings over him next year even if Sanchez get a raise after putting in good work this year.
  12. The Brewers need to fill innings but also need to hold off the Braves Throwing a guy out there who struggles to give you 3 innings without melting down fails on both counts. Getting a starter at least on par with Drohan helps with both things.
  13. 1. Made is in AA, Pena is in A+. They are hitting similar but Made is doing it against much tougher competition. 2. Pena+ Frias for example would be worth slighter more than Made but that is what that second piece would look like, someone really highly rated.
  14. It's also important to note that San Diego's farm system is basically Salas and filler. Of all teams that should be looking for quantity over quality, it's San Diego. So San Diego might prefer say Frias, Williams and like Burke over Pena all of whom could be top 10 prospects in their system.
  15. No they wouldn't. It's also important to understand prospect value isn't linear, it's exponential. Made as a FV 65 prospect on Fangraphs has an estimated value of $95 million. Pena at FV 55 is valued at $55 million. Pena alone is huge overpay but maybe required. Using Fangraphs, which doesn't have MLB.com's overgrading issue, they are only 29 prospects with an FV 55 or higher. Yes the Dodgers and the Rays could match Pena, but would they?
  16. Senzetala is a starter who moved to the bullpen and is having really good year but also has 9.8 fWAR in his carreer. Wilson is what he has always been, a spot starter long relief guy with a fWAR of -0.4 in his career. They aren't similar.
  17. Drohan has a 3.99 xFIP as a starter and a 4.24 ERA. So Detmers, Alcantra, and even Peralta could be expected to be better than Drohan. Henderson? Yeah hard to see someone better.
  18. Adding players to the 40 man who really don't offer that much right now is not something to expect with MLB likely to have half a season next year. You don't want to hurt development by not having them available for as long as the lockout lasts.
  19. You would have thought they would have been vigilant since Corey Hart's gruesome injury but here we are
  20. Or they are willing to weigh an entire career against 3 months of starts. He also hasn't been that bad. He has a WAR of 1.2. Not what was expected but easily in the solid starter category.
  21. I really don't get the Perkins "needs time to figure it out". He was killing the ball when he went down. His June numbers: .320/.414/.560 Yes that is only in 29 PAs. But he stopped being the unplayable player he was in April and May.
  22. There were posts saying he had a setback last week.
  23. That's like saying this rentention pond has a lot of depth. Sure, but nobody wants to swim in it.
  24. Notice you didn't include the 2022 complete collapse.
  25. The Twins are only 2.5 games out with a 35% or so chance to make the playoffs. Not sure why they would sell unless they crash out quickly.
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