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igor67

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Everything posted by igor67

  1. igor67
    W, my dream of a 5 game sweep is still alive
  2. igor67
    Barring an off the wall trade keeping Vaughn for another year and filling in with one of the bat first prospect options seems pretty likely and doable on the budget. I'm enjoying Bauers career season and have no desire to experience Rhy Hopkins 2.0
  3. igor67
    Joey Ortiz is about the worst possible outcome of the Pratt contract, and he has already earned 3.5 million in his career before even hitting arbitration. Current MLB minimum is 780K and the most recent union proposal was looking for an even 1 million. Lowest arbitration salaries currently were clocking in at almost 2 million. So accounting for inflation and how much run way the team would give Pratt absolute worst case to get through 1 year of arbitration before non-tendering I'm getting 6 million. So yes in the worst case the team dumps a fair bit of money, but if he is only a defensive bench player if you assume a non-tender after the first year of arbitration and filling with league minimum guys over the remaining 4 years that still costs 10 million. If there is any development with the bat those numbers go up a lot once you get to arbitration. For example and this doesn't account for inflation, but former Brewer Mauricio Dubon has earned just under 24 million in his career. https://www.spotrac.com/mlb/player/_/id/24579/mauricio-dubon
  4. igor67
    Very nice outing from Yoho
  5. igor67
    I'm inclined to flip the original question around just a bit. What trade target(s) are you willing to give up top prospects for? Looking at the DiamondCentric top 15 list and frankly there isn't much there. Some useful pitchers sure, but with our current options most of them don't seem like big improvements. And there are no 3rd baseman listed. Moreso than in past years largely because of the amount of young talent still on the way all over the diamond in my mind if we make a deal it needs to be for a needle mover type (barring some very quirky injuries). So for me Skubal is definitely worth a significant package. That playoff rotation would be something, and it pushes all those backend guys who have looked good early but had difficulty going deep into bullpen roles. Chapman wasn't on the top 15 list, but a veteran shut-down reliever is someone I can see adding to the mix there is still likely a notable cost but some significant potential benefit to the team. Beyond that I might be talked into Sonny Gray as enough of an asset to be worth paying a significant prospect (obviously less than Skubal). Or Jeremy Pena if people thought he could shift to 3rd? Definitely an upgrade in offense the question is what would his defense look like there.
  6. igor67
    Different thought, there is a draft coming up. Where are those guys going to play? It's a very abstract thought at the moment, but it seems like there could definitely be some space crunch.
  7. igor67
    I believe to summarize sveum's point, there is not enough data to statistically test your theory of playoff success. While there have definitely been some teams that have gone on mini dynasty type runs in MLB. There have been 15 different World Series Champions in the 2000s. Only 5 teams have more than 1 championship in those 25 years. So there is a lot of evidence that there is a lot of randomness in playoff success.
  8. igor67
    I haven't seen anyone suggest the K rate isn't a caution. No one has advocated he replace Made as the best prospect in the game. I have seen a lot of pseudo-Straw man implications that people who think Fischer is a big time prospect whose power makes him worth protecting are some how ignoring that. The in game power this fast is pretty darn special. Brock Wilken is a decent point of comparison. He was definitely a bat first significant Power prospect. Things looked on the rebound last year coming back from the injury, but still a year older then Fischer is this year and repeating AA he managed 18 HRs in 344PAs, and towards the end of that season he crossed the 1000 minor league PA mark. Fischer currently has 24 HRs this year in only 286 PAs. If you use only his HR rate in AA to try and be fair he'd have 34 HRs in those same 344 PAs. Yes the K rate is definitely higher, but Fischer also has a measly 373 career minor league PAs, so he really hasn't even had much time to try and adjust an approach that has him hitting HRs like he's Bonds.
  9. igor67
    There's definitely an impact on how fast Brewers prospects catch the helium based on our reputation now. We'd have heard noise about a guy like Frias 5 years ago, and 'keep an eye' comments, but no way he'd be in the top 100.
  10. igor67
    I wonder how many extra clicks they are hoping to get on that documentary from people expecting a religious film?
  11. igor67
    Let's go a bit crazy with 18-8, bonus points for a 5 game revenge sweep of the Cards for being ridiculous and scheduling the doubleheader in this stretch.
  12. igor67
    Nope we've just been Stallings for time...
  13. igor67
    I love what he has developed into, but there is just an awfully large amount of risk that this is his career year, which as it stands would project out to only 3.5 WAR. I could see a 1 year deal perhaps but we also have a fair number of bats with corner IF profiles getting close.
  14. igor67
    We need to get Pratt and Henderson their playing time so they can graduate and make room for some of the other prospects.😁
  15. igor67
    At this point I have a ton of faith in Murphy to mentor Pratt along with the rest of the team. While it often ends up driving us crazy in the short term they do seem to have one heck of a knack for helping guys make that final step. So at this point a solid start that featured a good approach followed by a few days of getting away from that when clearly most of the team had started to press a bit. Not even a top 100 worry for me.
  16. igor67
    If Sproat is mostly over that mental barrier and is going to generally go 5 or 6 innings along with Woodruff being back things definitely start to come together. The team is uniquely equipped in my opinion to have a number of guys at the backend of the bullpen who can all give 1-2 innings fairly often and from time to time go more if needed. Free the manager from the perceived need to have a long man to dump hopeless innings on and focus on getting guys a mixture of rest and regular work.
  17. igor67
    The strikeout rate given how little time he has had in the minors isn't enough of an issue to offset the crazy in game power he has shown especially since he hasn't missed a step in AA.
  18. igor67
    My only regret from last night is that Francona let Petty throw so many pitches we won't see him again in the series.
  19. igor67
    I had seen fairly good data that the lingering high gas prices in COVID were responsible for a very outsized amount of the inflation in 2021-2022.
  20. igor67
    Also on the first HR it looked like Shaw did his own silly PCAesqe jump at the wall for a HR I have no chance at.
  21. igor67
    Baseball being what it is, I'm guessing league wide teams hit that poorly with RISP often enough that it isn't super rare, but 3-38 still seems awfully hard to do, and to have won all those games anyway is indeed impressive.
  22. igor67
    Braves just lost, so 1.5 games up for the number 2 seed
  23. igor67
    Cards lose, 7 game lead
  24. igor67
    W, never any doubt
  25. igor67
    Vaughn!
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