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igor67

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Everything posted by igor67

  1. igor67
    It could just crush the Dodgers finances because of all that deferred money. But getting better defacto revenue sharing would be a positive.
  2. igor67
    Wins are better than losses, but the team feels solidly less than the sum of its parts. I didn't mind a clunker or two in October, but it time for the team to be growing.
  3. igor67
    Part of it is also playing a lot of the young guys, so they aren't stacking up behind a bunch of guys in their 30's.
  4. igor67
    Bigger surprise with how deep the system is, would be how few players we are worried about protecting.
  5. igor67
    I like the methodology. Looking at WAR you discover the 3 players cluster right around the 90 mark. Which theoretically would be the 'worst' starting OFer mark. So the numbers match that intuition about where they rank, however in terms of them it's also worth realizing that the downside of WAR in this case is that if we were treating them like starters those numbers (except Mitchell) would be higher.
  6. igor67
    I think Durbin potentially has a little bit more he can do, like a peak 4.0 WAR season. Collins can probably learn to keep it up for a full season and hit 3.0 but is almost certainly at his peak, and Patrick could definitely become a #2 rotation guy, but it's hard to predict how likely that is to happen.
  7. igor67
    If I had any significant discretionary investing money I would definitely look at quantum computing and fusion companies. Quantum potentially opens up being able to effectively solve NP-hard problems, which is another way of thinking about why AI is limited. And getting truly cheap electricity also removes a lot of economic constraints. It's far enough out that predicting winners and losers is impossible but I seem them as technologies close enough and both have truly revolutionary potential.
  8. igor67
    Even though it didn't turn out that way, it's perfectly reasonable based on the info available to believe that Rhys was more likely to hit well enough to be an asset than Vaughn. I don't mind that they tried Rhys and it didn't work out, despite being a big salary number for us it was done in the context of not having good young alternatives, so spending to fill that hole made sense. It didn't work out so it goes on the overall scorecard as a loss, but not a huge one.
  9. igor67
    My general guess is that AI products will end up being about as revolutionary as the internet itself, but will happen more on a time scale like smart phone adoption. Which almost certainly leads to a telecom level crash that becomes equally memorable because as owbc said it's the only thing propping up the economy at the moment. I do think it leads to a net decrease in jobs in some sectors, which might well be OK in the long run given an otherwise shrinking population. Which businesses survive the over investment though is anyone's guess. Also what generic white collar work looks like in 10 years is also probably anyone's guess as that does seem like the area where the efficiencies may have the biggest impact.
  10. igor67
    I will say most of the AI tools I've tried have been very underwhelming. As in it is faster for me to just do the work. It can write middle of the road middle school level science and math questions, but I can just make those up on the spot. Anything beyond that and it couldn't, It certainly wasn't able to write Common Core level questions. I tried the features to have it try writing labs, and everything I got was pure hallucination which was readily apparent at least because the website sources it pointed to did not have info that supported the different labs. I found one that would OCR on older paper curriculum I had and convert it to Word that was actually moderately useful because it didn't give too much weird formatting or mistakes handling exponents. But it wasn't enough to pay for after I used it a couple of times. So I'm mostly seeing signs of very limited markets. Similar to the great MOOC debacle a decade ago.
  11. igor67
    Is there an AI on the market that isn't built on training it's data using an LLM though?
  12. igor67
    It's too bad because 30 years ago this Series has all the drama potential of an all time classic.
  13. igor67
    Jackson!
  14. igor67
    I had to step away from the radio for just a bit, what exactly happened on that double play that it was reviewed?
  15. igor67
    So I read a bit about the Penn State firing and I think what it really shows is just how fast this whole pay everyone thing collapsed into a complete pile of garbage. Traditional powers are having serious trouble in this environment, so at the moment I'm not sure if any coach is going to be successful.
  16. igor67
    I think its very important to remember and factor in the Cubs still own the tiebreaker for the division. Hopefully that doesnt come back to haunt the Brewers in the NLCS! You neglected to mention their soft schedule, they don't have to face a single team with a winning record for the rest of the season.
  17. igor67
    Until late in the game yesterday the Cubs didn't have any offense outside of the 1st inning during the series. Saturday is basically a coin flip looking at all the high level stuff. We dominated game 1 and 2, game 3 was close and got hammered yesterday so I'm not worried more than it's one game between 2 evenly matched teams. For me the missed opportunities I look at the 8th inning of game 3. I'm pretty confident that if we just tie the game at that point we find a way to win, because up to that point the only Cubs offense was the first inning and we still had solid arms to use if the game goes into extras, and after those first 2 games I'd imagine letting the score get tied again would be pretty deflating.
  18. igor67
    I can live with either outcome, but going great defense and having 'Reggie' Jackson Chourio sitting on the bench to pinch hit if needed still seems like a trying to win strategy, and not just a hoping for the best alternative.
  19. igor67
    Definitely time to keep the Cobra Kai theme going, strike fast strike hard, no mercy.
  20. igor67
    Score 9 again with Ashby on the mound then put Quintana out there...
  21. igor67
    Not just two walks to Ortiz, but two walks that load the bases definitely surreal.
  22. igor67
    More guys warming in the pen already...
  23. igor67
    I wonder if that soft schedule made the Cubs Defense look good?
  24. igor67
    4+ run inning and the bullpen move already. Not enough emojis to cover this
  25. igor67
    I appreciate the radio team already joking about Perkins drawing a walk to load the bases for Ortiz.
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