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liveforoctober

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Everything posted by liveforoctober

  1. liveforoctober
    This is my fault if this is already a topic of convo... I have missed it completely. Has he said these things recently?
  2. liveforoctober
    I was thinking about this the other day and was curious on thoughts around it. The last time baseball was in the Olympics was in 2020 and Japan put their professional season on hold so their best players could play in the Olympics and they ended up winning it. What would it look like from the MLB perspective as far as starting the season early and or ending it late, etc in order to have a few weeks off in July (Right around the All-Star break) where teams are on hiatus so all of its players could go compete for their countries in the Olympics? Would owners need to be compensated for the removal of middle of summer games? Would the time off hurt the product on the field when players returned? Is this even a desired thing for Americans to put their best players forward or should we just showcase our best college talent?
  3. liveforoctober
    I'd be very curious to hear what everyone here thinks is an appropriate place for the Brewers to end up in terms of total team home runs. We hit 166 last year which put us somewhere in the low 20s in terms of rankings. The Red Sox had 20 more and they were 15th so they were the last of the top half of the league. I think there is an okay argument that if Mitchell and Contreras don't get hurt last year.. we probably hit 15 to 20 more home runs and we are right there in the middle of the pack. Middle of the pack feels like a great place to be considered what we do best and what makes our offense formidable. I know a bunch of responses here will be "you always want to hit more home runs" .. and of course, but at what expense?
  4. liveforoctober
    I'm not arguing for or against this, but it would go against conventional wisdom to fill a pitching staff with left-handed folks who have usual splits against hitters because 75% (65% + 10% switch) of hitters hit from the right side. Of course, you could be correct and the Brewers have found some other value play in baseball that they are exposing... Who knows.
  5. liveforoctober
    You might be missing our 3rd best pitcher in your lineup here..
  6. liveforoctober
    Rob Z has an uphill battle in camp IMO. Easiest trade candidate of the group. RHB batters have a career OPS over .8 against him... so he is the one who is the true 'lefty specialist' of the group and we just don't need that currently with the arms and depth we have. Barring a trade of Hall or Koenig for some reason... I think we flip Rob for something cheap to someone. *edit: I see DonBarclay already beat me to this
  7. liveforoctober
    The youth in this rotation+ is absolutely wild. Just a reminder last year at this time we were taking about a starting rotation of 1.) Freddy, 2.) Cortes, 3.) Civale, 4.) Quintana, 5.) Tobias
  8. liveforoctober
    Am I crazy? I am not comparing the two obviously, but watching this home run swing (the one hand finish, the quick escape from the box before the swing is seemingly complete, the even & quiet set up, etc) ... I see an Eric Thames swing.
  9. liveforoctober
    Of note, MLB.com says Rengifo played in 161 games last year and at least one game at 6 different positions. 2B (74) 3B (76) SS (1) LF (2) CF (1) RF (7) He was a 2 WAR player for 3 straight years before last. Maybe getting him away from a 'realist' organization will unlock him as well ;)
  10. liveforoctober
    Who knows, but it would against the Brewers' MO to sign him to a big extension I think. The pending lockout makes things all kinds of complicated. If we extend Contreras (and assume he resets the catching market) and then we miss a year in his prime (and a possible salary cap is instituted so catching salaries begin the rescind?) .. we will have just handcuffed ourselves pretty hard. Meanwhile, if we do get locked out - the minor leagues go on as scheduled... so Dinges, et most will continue to get their development work. It would be very Brewers-like to grab another 'on the cusp' catching prospect during the season for this exact reason. Next year when the 40 man rosters lock - Quero and Contreras won't be able to play. But Dinges and (insert new guy here) can develop and be ready to compete in '28.
  11. liveforoctober
    My only response to this is just a preference on communication in general. I have no way of backing this up with any data - but I would bet at least a small percentage of the reason Andrew Vaughn saw immediate success with Milwaukee after leaving Chicago was because the FO and coaching staff here were "optimists" when talking to him while the Chicago FO were "realists" with him. I don't think Hamilton is going to hit .300 or hit 20 home runs for us. I do not think the Brewers folks think that either. But he is a Brewers player now so I think everyone has a choice to either look at it and see all the bad that this presents us with "well he offers no everyday solution at 3B nor does he have power nor does he get on base very often" or you can look at the positives that we are now presented with "we have an elite late inning defensive alignment now with Turang, Ortiz, and him to close games AND our starting staff now has a bit more balance with the lefty that we acquired." I don't think either of those interpretations is wrong and if you choose to see the bad in all of it then you do you. But if the definition of optimism is seeing or expecting the best out of situations and your viewpoint is on the opposite side of that...
  12. liveforoctober
    Not for naught, Sanchez still has one of the best looking right handed home run swings in the game IMO. That big leg kick makes it look like every pulled home run is 1,100 ft off the bat. Hopefully we get our fair share of them this year.
  13. liveforoctober
    Quero isn't coming up for the same reason you wouldn't bring Cooper Pratt up right now to sit 6 days a week.
  14. liveforoctober
    I'm not disagreeing with any of that.
  15. liveforoctober
    I know it is only one metric - but in 504 career at bats David Hamilton has posted 3.5 WAR (BRef). In 445 at bats last year Durbin posted 2.8 WAR (BRef). I'm not saying they do or don't but if they believe they are selling high on Durbin and think they can bump Hamilton's offensive output ... it isn't a stretch.
  16. liveforoctober
    "You have to get power someplace" I just don't know if that is true. The Brewers had arguably a top 3 offense in baseball last year. Inarguably a top 5 offense. We excelled in just about everything except clearing the fence with a few more of our fly balls. (also for context, the Brewers hit 166 HRs last year which was 22nd in the league. Detroit was #10 with 198. Does Detroit 'have punch' in their lineup compared to us given their Top 10 appearance? They hit 32 more home runs, which is roughly 1 more every 5 games) All of us want a unicorn at every position that can do all of the things. But there are so few guys around the league who can... so you typically have to give to get with skillsets. If you desire power in your lineup ... that usually means you strikeout a lot more, you clog up base paths, and you have a few more rock hands playing defense. When you employ plus defenders, high contact/high OBP, base merchants... that typically means you have to give up power. It is pretty obvious which way the Brewers want their guys to lean. I'm not mad at anyone for wanting different skillsets amongst their guys. Personally, I would much rather have Sal Frelick on my team over Jay Buhner. I'm just saying we are currently fans of Matt Arnold and his FO and the concept of "power position" is just not a thing.
  17. liveforoctober
    The Pete Alonso/Eugenio Suarez types are the dinosaurs in today's game. Everyone today is an athlete and expected to contribute in all phases. I don't think teams still do the "RF and 3B need to hit home runs" thing anymore. Last year only eight starting 3B (qualifying) had a slugging % above league average. Only seven 3B hit 20 or more home runs -> 2025 MLB Player Hitting Stat Leaders | MLB.com The last time the Brewers had a starting 3B who was considered a 'power hitter' was Moustakas in 2019. Since then the player who has started the most games each season for us at 3B: Eric Sogard, Luis Urias, Luis Urias/Jace Peterson, Brian Anderson/Andruw Monasterio, Joey Ortiz, Caleb Durbin. In 2024 Ortiz ranked 9th among qualifying 3rd baseman in slug% (ahead of Arenado and Ryan McMahon) -> 2024 MLB Player Hitting Stat Leaders | MLB.com His 2.7 WAR (baseball reference) made him a top 100 position player based on WAR (ahead of Pete Alonso, Sal Perez, Chisholm, Christian Walker, etc) If the Brewers get 2024 Ortiz at the plate ... he would be a Top 10 3B in the league - value wise.
  18. liveforoctober
    My very first thought was the same "that seems like a good deal". I am not sure why people think we should be getting one of the Holliday boys back for a season of Devin Williams or a season of Freddy Peralta.
  19. liveforoctober
    Also a side note ... I can't remember a time in my life having more left-handed pitching than we currently do.
  20. liveforoctober
    Well, this definitely clears the runway for infield innings in Nashville. I'm not sure Mona or Seigler were going see much big league time once Jett proved worthy ... so both would have been eating innings down there. Lots of quick promotions seemingly in the pipeline once the season starts. Can't worry about opening day infield options yet - more action is coming. Will wait until we have our roster set. I hope Brock Wilken has been eating his Wheaties. He may have just been handed a life changing opportunity.
  21. liveforoctober
    Wonderful. I wasn't implying we did. Also, the OG poster was talking about positional depth during the season if our 1B options failed, not opening day options. But thank you!
  22. liveforoctober
    I'm excited to find out if one is worthy this year. I was just curious. I ask because I remember how passionate you were to trade everyone away at the deadline last summer and so that coupled with this made me think you don't put much weight in the future waves of guys.
  23. liveforoctober
    So last year between Hoskins/Vaughn/Bauers Brewers' at bats (not counting Mona and others) ... they combined for a 2.9 WAR at 1B. I do know that number is a little funny for a few reasons (Bauers in LF, etc) I would put that as the benchmark for the group this year again and I have relative confidence they will get that production. Limit Bauers' AB against LHP - but keep Vaughn rested. I don't expect Vaughn to hit .300 again or even close to it ... but whatever alteration the Brewers made to him AND getting him out of that White Sox situation clearly changed the player and I would be pretty stunned if he cratered all the way back to his CWS numbers.
  24. liveforoctober
    Do you follow our minor league system much?
  25. liveforoctober
    Lots of reasons to sign players in the minors even if/when both parties understand the player will likely never sniff the Majors again.
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