CC won’t win because you have Ross, Bell and Schumaker who all out performed the writers expectations for their team’s records. It is as simple as that. The Brewers would have had to win 100+ games for CC to win the MOY. It is dumb but that is how the writers look at this award.
I don’t even expect CC to be the runner up. All 3 that were named will be ahead of CC because of the expectations for the teams they managed. You can even add Lovullo to the list but I think he gets knocked down due to winning it in 2017. I would give CC about a 5% chance of winning this award.