That's the point, though. There is more upside in an arm like Jake Faria than there is in Guerra. Also a much, much lower floor, though. Like it or not, they are going to be taking some risks roster-wise in 2020. Yes, you can shoot for upside, if you have the core of the pitching roster that is set and you have confidence in. How can you have that right now? I don't think we have so many arms that we are parsing between option #14 and #13 on the roster, so lets save the money. Right now we are short and for $2.6M, we could have filled a spot with a known guy, a known guy that can be a starter if need be. And when you have three starters, of which none has pitched two full mlb starting seasons yet, why not buy some insurance? I basically count Woodruff, Houser, and Lauer as the starters right now. Edit: Maybe I should get more info. Who can't be sent back down to the minors (without risk of losing) again next year out of: Black, Burnes, Faria, Feyereisen, D. Guerra, Peralta, Perdomo, Supak, Wahl, D.Williams, T.Williams, Yardley?