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umphrey

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Everything posted by umphrey

  1. umphrey
    So if it's a MiLB deal or league min salary I'd take almost any of these guys, but DeJong, I really just don't want him. He did alright last year but previous 3 year batting stats are just awful. And we don't need more defense. I'd be nervous about Drury too because of last years disaster but there could be a reclamation story there and I'd prefer that to DeJong.
  2. umphrey
    I feel like Fangraphs is over estimating Dunn and Monasterio there by quite a bit and they are more likely to be in the 70s for wRC+ as I believe they were both in the 60s last year. Algorithm is broken for AAAA players who recently did well in the minors at an older age.
  3. umphrey
    Nate Lowe would have been my guy if we salary dumped Hoskins. I hope we can find a guy like him next year.
  4. umphrey
    I would have liked Luzardo. I guess we weren’t a good match after the Nester trade though.
  5. umphrey
    Scenario 1: they trade Hoskins for a pure salary dump with no other pieces moving back and forth. He is replaced with a Josh Bell type player. The money savings is used elsewhere. This is only possible if other teams think Hoskins is significantly better than a Josh Bell type, so assuming they aren’t stupid, this is a downgrade at 1B for us. Or it’s just not possible. scenario 2: we trade Hoskins and package him with prospects to help salary dump him. This is essentially just selling prospects for cash, and putting us at risk for another FA bust at 1B. scenario 3: we trade him for some other bad contract. I don’t know of too many candidates right now, but I’m sure they are out there. If we are taking a bad contract though, what better candidate can there be compared to Hoskins himself? We need a 1B, we need power, he’s on a 1 year deal. this is why I just want to keep him. The only other thing I might be interested in is if they could pull off a trade for a legit high quality 1B, then they would have to do 2 or 3, but it would blow out our MiLB system pretty bad to both bring in a good player AND salary dump Hoskins.
  6. umphrey
    Only issue, I think Bauers is considered a good defensive 1B while Black is below average there at best?
  7. umphrey
    I would love to get him on a minors deal or even consider him for a MLB deal as the 26th man. Currently the depth chart I checked has Oliver Dunn in that role so Brujan would replace him.
  8. umphrey
    I hate to say it but I’ve long suspected Tyler Black is another Hiura or Wiemer (without the CF defense). I hope he gets a shot so we can find out.
  9. umphrey
    As a fan with no financial interest, I’ll be a little mad if they salary dump Hoskins. They definitely won’t go out and replace him with Pete Alonso or anything. Best case would be a Josh Bell type player, worst case they include prospects instead of money, bring back a replacement grade 1B and make some statement like “this frees up money for in season trades”.
  10. umphrey
    I don’t think they are in the market for a 1b/DH at all personally. Hoskins is going to play pretty much every day and I don’t think they will sign another every day guy who will play 1b/DH only to completely lock down the DH so they can’t play anyone else there like Yelich or Contreras or whatever OF is playing well. They might get a guy like Moncada to play 3B/DH though or find some league minimum player who is like 28 years old and former top 100 prospect, like they have been doing lately.
  11. umphrey
    Cortes isn’t a dime a dozen. He is probably on track to get the Frankie Montas contract or something like that.
  12. umphrey
    I do wonder if we are kind of done. The other move that fits is a veteran infielder though because I agree Durbin probably isn’t an every day starter. Moncada still fits I think.
  13. umphrey
    He’s considered kind of a breakout player. His pedigree isn’t there and he didn’t do much prior to 2023 and then improved further in 2024. Sounds like he was going to climb lists post 2024 performance, but still wouldn’t be pushing top 100 lists for most people. Main concerns are his size and I read something about underlying metrics like exit velocity potentially being a red flag for his 2024 year, but I don’t know too much details.
  14. umphrey
    People online hate on Cortes a lot. I wonder why. I don’t know much beyond his stat sheet, where he looks like a very nice mid rotation piece. Based on that, this seems like a pretty reasonable trade. I am glad they added players that will help the 2025 team.
  15. umphrey
    I think if you take out Boeve or Quero I do it, but all 4 is just a lot, especially with the top 2 looking like MLB replacement level is their floor
  16. umphrey
    The Brewers have made plenty of pitcher mistakes in the past. It still kills me that Reese Olson is in Detroit.
  17. umphrey
    Here's the lasted Bohm rumor https://www.si.com/fannation/mlb/fastball/news/chicago-white-sox-philladelphia-phillies-discussing-potential-garrett-crochet-alec-bohm-justin-crawford-trade-01jdhvdyfsd6 Bohm and #3 prospect Crawford for Crochet Assuming it's legit my biggest take away is that Devin Williams is the right kind of guy to offer but his value is much less than Crochet. Crawford is a nice asset but overall a small piece of that deal I think. So Devin for Bohm might be tough because I don't know who we could add to even it out, as they are probably more interested in high end MLB talent and not prospects. It's also very likely though that the Phillies are over valuing Bohm here, the White Sox aren't seriously considering it and the Phillies are going to have to re calibrate their value on Bohm.
  18. umphrey
    Predictions are 2 to 3 years at about $15m AAV. He's been good ever other year and he's due for a down year 😂
  19. umphrey
    Being a small market team, the Brewers have to take advantage of the fact that they have 2 players that can play any infield position, and therefore can acquire 3B or SS or 2B. Locking Turang at 2B would feel like playing for individual awards over team awards I think.
  20. umphrey
    Would actually prefer to merge it I think
  21. umphrey
    Bohm is a weird one. I thought he would be highly valued but I guess Philly fans kind of hate him. Say his defense is bad and I guess he was cold for most of the year except April. Got benched late in the year. I would probably do it honestly to gear up for a 2 year run with this roster, since he’s the best infielder we could realistically add most likely. It’s not a very Brewers move though, I think they will try to get someone with more years of control or a stopgap 1 year FA. The poor defense and 2 years of control are just not Brewers.
  22. umphrey
    From what I read, Sasaki would be looking at something in the range of $150m to $300m if he was a true FA, but because he’s coming over now he’ll be capped at around $5m. But he’s expecting a lot of endorsement money. That’s why every single team wants to sign him but the dodgers will get him for free. Gross.
  23. umphrey
    I accepted the payroll difference that exists. I was disgusted by the Ohtani deferred money though and this is even worse. Free all stars is just too much.
  24. umphrey
    Sasaki going to LAD makes me want to just quit the sport. It’s bad enough that LAD is going to run a $300m payroll next year. Now they are getting world class players for free too. Sasaki and Ohtani are playing for free when they should be costing $80m+. I hope MLB does something about it but I’m sure they won’t.
  25. umphrey
    https://sportsnaut.com/milwaukee-brewers-news-shane-bieber-free-agency-speculation/#:~:text=Shane Bieber a likely target,Tampa Bay Rays this offseason%3F&text=“Even coming off Tommy John,would do%2C” McDaniel wrote.
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