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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Jacob MisiorowskiCooper PrattTyler BlackJeferson QueroRobert GasserBrock WilkenLogan HendersonYophery RodriguezCraig YohoJosh KnothLuke AdamsMike BoeveLuis LaraEric BitontiEric Brown JrCarlos F RodriguezBraylon PayneLuis PenaJesus MadeJose Anderson
  2. League average wOBA is .311 so far this year. When position players are pitching, that jumps up to a .403 wOBA. Aaron Judge has a .470 wOBA against actual pitchers.
  3. Thought it might be fun to look for some historical comps for what Chourio has been doing of late. The first year I really remember baseball is 1986 so I used that as a starting point and it turns out there have been 5,499 qualifying hitter seasons between then and last year. Here are the individual player seasons most similar to what Jackson has been up to... Chourio (166 PA since 0602) 87 BB+ | 67 K+ | 130 AVG+ | 137 ISO+ | 149 wRC+ (still kinda blows my mind that Jackson has trimmed his K rate from 27.3% over his first 176 PA to 15.1% over his last 166 PA, talk about a quantum leap) 2016 Daniel Murphy 70 BB+ | 48 K+ | 133 AVG+ | 151 ISO+ | 154 wRC+ 2019 Ketel Marte 95 BB+ | 63 K+ | 127 AVG+ | 141 ISO+ | 150 wRC+ 2011 Jacoby Ellsbury 88 BB+ | 75 K+ | 124 AVG+ | 153 ISO+ | 150 wRC+ 2007 Chase Utley 92 BB+ | 88 K+ | 122 AVG+ | 143 ISO+ | 150 wRC+ 1989 Robin Yount 108 BB+ | 72 K+ | 122 AVG+ | 158 ISO+ | 149 wRC+ 2009 Ryan Braun 87 BB+ | 98 K+ | 120 AVG+ | 148 ISO+ | 149 wRC+ 2009 Pablo Sandoval 89 BB+ | 75 K+ | 124 AVG+ | 144 ISO+ | 146 wRC+ 2017 Jose Ramirez 96 BB+ | 50 K+ | 124 AVG+ | 153 ISO+ | 146 wRC+ 1991 Paul Molitor 116 BB+ | 56 K+ | 125 AVG+ | 122 ISO+ | 145 wRC+ That's seven guys that are pretty similar, plus I threw in the Yount and Molitor seasons as they were still pretty close even though they both walked considerably more. There ended up being 230 individual player seasons in the sample between a 154 wRC+ and 145 wRC+, of those only 33 had a below average walk rate so that narrowed the pool of comps right off the bat.
  4. Definitely a lot to like. Lefty, big listed height. Obviously a tiny sample but looks like his 1.24 FIP and 1.30 xFIP are thee very lowest on the island among 711 pitchers with at least 10 IP.
  5. @Joseph Zarr I think you mean Corniel? Hopefully Daniel fares better tonight than Alexander did in his most recent outing.
  6. It's an average of the top 5% of all throws. I'd imagine between turning double plays and making plays on the edge of his range that most if not all of those top 5% of Turang's throws are at or close to full strength.
  7. Super small sample obviously as Willy has played 946 of 959 innings at SS this year, but when he hasn't they have gone with Ortiz over Turang. Joey also has also registered a stronger arm (84.4 MPH on average per StatCast) than Brice (80.1 MPH).
  8. They’ve gone 6-5 since the All Star Break. That’s an improvement over the 3-7 record they posted going into the break. On July 3rd they were 52-35, a 97 win pace. No one believed or believes this is a 97 win true talent level team so of course there is going to be regression from that unsustainable pace over the final 75 (now down to 54) games. You were pushing the Vegas 75.5 over/under as a harbinger entering the season, so I guess I can understand why you’d be anxious for a complete collapse.
  9. Entering the game Peguero had stranded 12 of 19 inherited base runners, tied for the fourth highest percentage among MLB relievers. Zero qualified relievers have stranded 100% of inherited runners this year. The Brewers bullpen had a +9.18 Win Probability Added entering the game, 2nd in MLB behind only Cleveland (+11.01). Third place is STL all the way down at +4.87. That is a massive gap.
  10. Koenig goes 1-2-3 if Ortiz doesn't make the error.
  11. I’m seeing the Brewers smack dab in the middle of the NL for runs scored over the last two months. Their twenty nine wins over the last two months are third in the NL ahead of both LAD and PHI.
  12. Luke Adams with a homer (his 10th of the year) and walk in the early going. Cooper Pratt just picked up his first Midwest League RBI with a sac fly, & a Matthew Wood double scores Adams for the third TRats run.
  13. Looks like Nashville is in rain delay. Carlos Rodriguez has put up four scoreless (3 K) with a single, HBP and wild pitch - though the latter two both came bottom of four before the delay so conditions may have contributed.
  14. Biloxi loads them up one out bottom of two with an Adam Hall single (stolen base) followed by Zavier Warren and Dylan O’Rae walks. & a Carlos Rodriguez sac fly brings home Hall to tie the score at one each. Now Brock Wilken has singled to give the Shuckers a 2 to 1 lead.
  15. Does that mean Wes Clarke’s two run bomb doesn’t count??
  16. Totally glossed over Guilarte in the DH spot, duh.
  17. Will be interesting to see how games get divvied up in the Carolina infield. Adamczewski was 2B only on the complex. Baez has a 42 at 3B vs 8 at 2B split for the year. Maybe he gets more 2B time so Bitonti can still play some 3B? Di Turi is obviously the everyday SS with Pratt’s promotion, but who is the backup? Miguel Briceno? Bitonti? Also wonder if Bitonti gets some RF reps as that’s another spot he theoretically has the tools for.
  18. Ross also threw last on July 24th. Looks like he's the guy (according to CBS Sports anyway).
  19. I’m pretty much just crossing my fingers over here too. Thought this was kind of funny though… Junis 18.8 K% | 5.0 BB% | 1.38 HR9 Montas 19.0 K% | 10.0 BB% | 1.35 HR9 K and HR rates are virtually identical this year, Frankie just walks twice as many guys. Guess the general idea is Montas has a higher ceiling (even if he’s gonna need some help/luck getting there) and can eat more innings? I would have preferred Fedde or Kikuchi (guess there’s still time for Flaherty) but am also fine hanging onto the top prospects if we aren’t ultimately the winning bidder.
  20. Also some interesting implications reading between the lines for Brewer Hicklen. At least a possibility that his strong season moved him ahead of Wiemer in the front office’s view, making Joey more expendable.
  21. Dear Chris Hook, Good Luck.
  22. Yeah, would have loved it if Erceg could have figured it out with us but it's a lot easier to give a guy with a career 5.9 BB9 in the minors a shot when you are losing 112 games like the A's did last year versus winning 92 like the Brewers did. Going back to last year the Brewers bullpen win probability added is +20.70, first in MLB by a longshot with CIN in second all the way down at +11.61, so they've been in an elite class of their own without him.
  23. Anthony Flores had an ugly ERA (6.23) and BABIP (.411) in Arizona, but among 72 ACL pitchers with at least 30 IP on the season his 4.19 FIP ranked ninth.
  24. Well deserved for the recent Indy Ball signing, 18 of Tyler's 32 outs in Carolina came via K. Maybe Midwest League batters can offer some more resistance. (hopefully not)
  25. Pretty much comes down to one's valuation of Edman. Dodgers appear to believe he'll be able to bounce back to some semblance of the form his displayed from 2021-23 posting 96 wRC+ | +16.6 BsR | +35.3 DEF | 10.7 WAR over that stretch.
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