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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    For sure. Among 160 relievers with at least 40 IP so far this year their Big Three have some pretty impressive rankings... Emmanuel Clase 16 ERA- (1st) | 51 FIP- (5th) | +4.80 WPA (1st) Hunter Gaddis 35 ERA- (5th) | 59 FIP- (13th) | +2.26 WPA (14th) Cade Smith 50 ERA- (18th) | 37 FIP- (1st) | +1.96 WPA (18th) That's three no doubt Top 20 relievers by performance this year with a fourth (Tim Herrin) paling somewhat by comparison despite a still pretty dang impressive 55 ERA- | 72 FIP- | +0.94 WPA.
  2. sveumrules
    CLE is 7-6 vs DET and only 5-5 vs the White Sox. KCR and MIN are the two teams that got the biggest ALC boost both going 12-1 against the Sox.
  3. sveumrules
    Two most impactful bullpens in MLB going at it…CLE (+11.24 WPA) MIL (+9.85 WPA) then a big ol gap down to ATL (+4.89 WPA) in third. Guardians relievers also sport the best peripherals in MLB (79 FIP-) versus the Brewers being closer to average (98 FIP-) in that regard. For all the consternation there’s been about a Brewers rotation that has put up a 99 ERA- (14th) and 8.1 rWAR (17th), Cleveland has really pushed the envelope on how bad a contenders starting pitchers can be with a 112 ERA- (25th) and 5.3 rWAR (24th). Both teams hitters have excelled with RISP - CLE (125 wRC+ | 5th) MIL (124 wRC+ | 6th) - but the Brewers have had a couple hundred extra such plate appearances at 1,303 (2nd) versus 1,100 (20th) for the Guardians. Should be a fun series between two pretty evenly matched organizations, heck going all the way back to 2017 they are only one win apart at 642 for MIL (6th) versus 641 for CLE (7th).
  4. sveumrules
    Probably the same thing lots of people say when looking at the Brewers roster… Who are these bleeping guys ?!?!?
  5. sveumrules
    Dodgers are way more aggressive in the zone for sure at 71.1 Z-Swing% (5th) versus the Brewers at 65.6% (30th). The Brewers selectivity leads to them making a smidge more contact in the zone though with an 85.9 Z-Contact% versus the Dodgers at 84.7%.
  6. sveumrules
    Walk rate LAD 9.8% MIL 9.6% Strikeout rate LAD 21.9% MIL 22.9% Chase rate MIL 28.5% LAD 29.1% Contact rate MIL 78.1% LAD 77.0% Swinging Strike rate MIL 9.8% LAD 10.8% All the approach numbers under the hood are pretty close too, the Brewers even have a small edge when it comes to not chasing pitches and making contact.
  7. sveumrules
    Coming into the game the Brewers were scoring 0.11 runs per game fewer than the Dodgers (4.83 vs 4.94), you may need to recalibrate what constitutes a AAA lineup.
  8. sveumrules
    Hall of Famers - 4 Triple AAAers - 6
  9. sveumrules
    Dodgers can't afford to make mistakes like that & hope to win when they are up against a team as good as the Brewers.
  10. sveumrules
    What were your expectations for Sal? He was billed as a guy with a good plate approach (121 BB+ | 72 K+) and hit tool (104 AVG+) , no power (52 ISO+), good wheels (22 SB | 3 CS), and good defense (+12 DRS | +10 OAA). He's pretty much been exactly as advertised.
  11. sveumrules
    Brewers are 12 W - 6 L in their eighteen previous games homering twice this year. They are 13 W - 0 L when homering three or more times.
  12. sveumrules
    In addition to the aforementioned Lara bomb, Jadher Areinamo notched a trio of singles and Jheremy Vargas filled up the box with a single, double, stolen bag and two RBI. Tyler Bryant made it five for five on scoreless appearances since joining Wisco adding two more strikeouts to his ledger in a perfect ninth inning. He has only been credited with earned runs in one of his 14 appearances since joining the Brewers org out of the Independent ranks.
  13. sveumrules
    Brewers are 7 W - 0 L following a three game losing streak so far this year. Would be pretty awesome to keep that streak alive tonight. Also thought it was interesting that last night was only their 7th blowout loss (5+ run deficit) according to BRef, fewest in the league by a decent margin... CLE (11) KCR (12) SEA (12) ATL (13) LAD (14) BAL (14) MIN (14) PHI (15) SDP (15) NYY (16) NYM (17) HOU (18)
  14. sveumrules
    Taylor Clarke surrendered two runs bottom one, but Patrick Dorrian got them both back with a two run blast top of two to even to the score at 2 to 2.
  15. sveumrules
    Mentions two TJs in this article when he committed to Arkansas as a transfer before signing. This one mentions two as well with a little more detail...Yoho had a pretty clean bill of health in high school. Then his first Tommy John surgery coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic shutdown, making for a difficult rehabilitation. “Then I had poor ramp-ups for pitching while also (playing a position),” says Yoho.
  16. sveumrules
    Yoho has already had two TJs and is a recent convert to full time pitching. With only 40 IP last year and 45 so far this year it would take him two or three years minimum to build up the innings needed to be a starter.
  17. sveumrules
    Guessing Hall is back within 20 days to not burn his final option year?
  18. sveumrules
    Adding to the insanity somewhat - over their first 58 games they had a ripe for regression 3.88 ERA | 4.20 FIP (-0.32 gap), in the 57 games since they have said hold my beer and rattled off a 3.61 ERA | 4.43 FIP (-0.82 gap).
  19. sveumrules
    For whatever it is or isn't worth, FanGraphs has the pre-game odds at 53.6% Brewers versus 46.4% for the Dodgers. Looks like today's biggest mismatch according to them is Diamondbacks (70.2%) with Brandon Pfaadt starting versus the Rockies (29.8%) with some kid named Bradley Blalock starting.
  20. sveumrules
    I thought there was no way they wouldn't regress from an MLB best -0.48 ERA/FIP gap last year, but here they are at -0.60 so far this year. The bullpen's +11.73 WPA last year was a Top Five mark this Millennium, no way they can do that again, right? Especially missing Devin for most of the season. This year they are at +9.51 WPA with 45 games still to be played. At this point I'm just kicking back and enjoying.
  21. sveumrules
    This is the perfect example of how fickle first basemen are and why smart teams like the Brewers typically don’t invest too much in the position. Everybody saw the obvious fit between Hoskins and the Brewers in the offseason, the only question was would the Brewers go far enough financially to bring him into the fold. They did and their was much rejoicing. If they had just said “nah, we’re good with keeping Carlos Santana instead” there would have been uproar about cheap ownership not even trying. So of course Santana is at a 113 wRC+ and 2.2 WAR for $5.25M.
  22. sveumrules
    BRef says 100 different lineups, doesn’t look like today is a repeat from what I can tell so might be 101 now. Turang / Contreras / Yelich / Adames / Bauers / Ortiz / Frelick / Chourio / Perkins has been the most used lineup at five games.
  23. sveumrules
    Dansby got 7/177 so I’m guessing Willy and camp will be shooting for 8/200. Kind of funny thing is the big spending contender (outside of oft-rumored LAD) most in need of a SS is probably ATL who have gotten a 70 wRC+ (28th) and 0.5 WAR (26th) out of SS (mostly Arcia) this year. Would think if they didn’t want to pony up for Dansby that they probably won’t want to spend similar money for Adames though. Other team that could get in on the action is the Padres with Kim also hitting the market opening up SS.
  24. sveumrules
    Yeah, looks like their low point was July 3rd at 39 W - 48 L and thirteen games out of first. Since then they’ve gone 20 W - 12 L to get back on the doorstep of .500. Somewhat interestingly, the top five teams in MLB over that stretch have all been the surging NL Wild Card hopefuls - ARI (23-9), CHC (20-12), SDP (19-9), SFG (19-13), NYM (19-14).
  25. sveumrules
    Kinda crazy how close they’ve gotten. Only a half game back of the Dodgers for #2, depending how today’s games go we could be defending that spot instead of chasing it when the Dodgers roll in tomorrow. Only 1.5 back from the Phillies now for the top seed too. Last time the Brewers were seventeen over .500 on July 3rd they were 5.5 games back of PHI. Since then the Phillies 12 W - 19 L is the worst record by an actual MLB team.
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