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sveumrules
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Everything posted by sveumrules
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Not sure if anyone has followed up on it in the interim with the universal DH now in play and more & more guys cycling through the position annually, but back when The Book was published they found the DH Penalty was around 14 points of wOBA on average (or about six runs for every 500 PAs). Obviously some guys are more extreme than others, and some even hit better when DHing as every rule has exceptions, but for the most part players hit worse when DHing versus when they are playing the field.
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League average OPS for LF is .714 this year, lowest its been since 2002 when FanGraphs positional splits begin. Previous low was .724 back in the 2014 deadball year. With how much league offensive environment changes year to year (league OPS is 704 this year after 734 in 2023 and 706 in 2022 and 739 in 2021 and 769 in 2019) its always best to use OPS+ or wRC+ to account for that instead of relying on historical benchmark OPS numbers that are easier or harder to reach depending on the myriad factors playing into that ever shifting leaguewide offensive environment.
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I don't think this year has been cursed at all. Injuries happen, especially to pitchers and catchers. It's unfortunate, but all part of the calculus. DSL squad(s) have been insane to start the year, Carolina is in first place with the youngest pitching staff in the league and a bunch of legit prospects, Wisco is in first place with the 2nd youngest hitters and 3rd youngest pitchers in the league. The system as a whole is possibly as deep as it has ever been (even with all the injuries), hard for me to call that any kind of curse. -
Four game losing streak averted for the fifth time this year. Here’s how the Brewers wins and losses have been distributed around those five three gamers… 10-3 (0-3) 7-2 (0-3) 3-0 (0-3) 16-9 (0-3) 8-4 (0-3) 1-0 so far. 15 of the team’s 33 losses (45.5%) have come while streaking. Winning streaks have been three games (x3), four games (x3), and five games for 26 of the team’s 45 wins (57,8%) coming via streak. That leaves them with a record of 19-18 when not in the throes of some streak or another.
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Frelick may be the worst at hitting the ball hard, but he has actually been above average at getting hits (104 AVG+) and walking (110 BB%+). Obviously the lack of power (47 ISO+) drags the whole batting line down to below average (91 wRC+), but I’d say Sal has pretty much delivered right to where my expectation levels were entering the season. That said, I’d probably still have him as the odd man out when Mitchell is ready to return.
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Let Tyler Black Be Tyler Black
sveumrules replied to Harold Hutchison's topic in Brewer Fanatic Front Page News
Hiura (A) 115 PA 6.1 BB% | 20.9 K% Black (A) 103 PA 19.4 BB% | 28.2 K% Hiura (A+) 228 PA 6.1 BB% | 20.6 K% Black (A+) 283 PA 15.9 BB% | 15.5 K% Hiura (AA) 307 PA 7.2 BB% | 18.9!K% Black (AA) 385 PA 15.8 BB% | 20.0 K% Hiura (AAA) 243 PA 9.5 BB% | 26.3 K% Black (AAA) 416 PA 13.2 BB% | 14.9 K% Black has a career 0.87 BB/K ratio in the minors, Hiura is at 0.37 BB/K for his minor league career. I guess I’m not seeing how Keston being a free swinger is a cautionary tale for Black, who has a much more patient approach and better contact skills. -
Brewers (Myers) vs Padres (King): 6/23/24, 3:10pm
sveumrules replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Archived Game Threads
Brewers in the midst of their fifth three game losing streak of the season. Previous four three gamers were each followed by a win. If the Brewers lose today and STL wins, the Brewers division lead will be under five games for the first time since May 29th. -
Dylan O’Rae RBI double has stretched the Shuckers lead to 5-0 after six.
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Francisco Mejia tripled and scored on a Yonny Hernandez ground out to break up the no hitter and shutout bottom of five so Nashville is only losing 14-1 now.
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Wisco goes final with a 7-4 win. In addition to the cycle inning mentioned earlier, 25yo backstop Ramon Rodriguez homered twice while Eduardo Garcia went 3 for 5 with a double. Chase Costello came into a bases loaded one out jam bottom of the ninth and secured the win with a run scoring ground out for out twenty six and a fly out for number twenty seven.
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Knoth finished at 5.2 scoreless with 2 H | 3 BB | 7 K which is his longest outing of the year, matches his high for strikeouts and is his second zero of the season so far dropping his ERA to 3.55. Brailin Rodriguez followed up with 2.1 scoreless (4 K) before Dikember Sanchez pitched a scoreless ninth (1 BB | 1 K). Lots of activity on the offensive side with six runs and twelve hits but Filippo Di Turi (3-6) and Miguel Briceno (3-5, SBx2) were the most active.
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Logan Henderson has thrown five scoreless with 5 H | 1 BB | 6 K (73 pitches). Brock Wilken has doubled and Darrien Miller has doubled twice while Zavier Warren & Adam Hall have a pair of singles each as Biloxi leads 4-0 top of six.
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Pretty remarkable that 76 games into the season the Brewers have only lost back to back games seven times. They are 3-4 to this point in the third game following those back to back losses.
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Four walks, a hit by pitch, an Eric Bitonti single and a Gery Holguin double in the top of the 8th plated six runs cutting the Zona Crew deficit to one run at 8-7.
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Zona Crew currently trailing 8-1 through six. Lone run came around on a Johan Barrios double followed by a Ramon Moreno single. Eric Prado had 0 BB | 6 K over 4 IP but also gave up 8 H including back to back to back solo shots to open the 4th inning. To his credit he followed up that barrage with a ground rule double before striking out the side. The Dodgers have a guy named Mairoshendrick Martinus.
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Nashville prevails 7-4. Chad Patrick worked around 2 H | 4 BB over 5.2 IP to surrender 1 R | 1 UER with 2 K while Nick Bennett picked up his first save of the year with two scoreless frames (2 H | 2 K). Joey Wiemer doubled, Yonny Hernandez & Brian Navarreto each tripled, and Isaac Collins went deep for the ninth time this year.
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Not much of note in a 7-2 Biloxi loss. Zavier Warren had a two RBI double.
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Wisco gets walked off in a 5-4 loss. Will Rudy hit the qualifiers for a quality start with 6 IP | 3 ER | 5 H | 2 BB | 6 K and Aaron Rund followed up with two perfect innings (1 K) in relief. Gregory Barrios (2-5, 2B, SB), Luke Adams (0-3, BBx2, SB, CS), Matthew Wood (2-5, 2B), Felix Valerio (2-5) and Jesus Chirinos (3-4) all reached multiple times.
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Carolina with a big 10-2 victory. How about Enniel Cortez with four scoreless innings of 3 H | 1 BB | 5 K work in his A ball debut? Aidan Maldonado (1 K) and Miguel Briceno (1 H) - yes, infielder Miguel Briceno - also put up zeros in an inning each. Lotsa juice for the offense with Fillipo Di Turi (2-5, 2B), Yophery Rodriguez (2-4, SF), Cooper Pratt (1-4, 2B, BB) all having big nights out of the top three spots.
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17yo RHP Lukas Gonzalez is now three for three on scoreless appearances to start his young career after posting 3.0 IP | 1 H | 1 BB | 1 HBP | 4 K in the 8-6 DSL Uno loss today.
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Lopez is one of the only viable trade assets the Bucks have, but I'd be hesitant to move him. Last season they were 6.2 points per 100 possessions better on defense with him on the floor, in 2022-23 they were 8.5 pts/100 better on defense when Brook was playing. As fun as it is to dream on Giannis at center lineups on offense, he's better utilized as more of a free safety/roamer on defense than he is playing the primary rim defender role that Brook has occupied throughout his time as a Buck.
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Joel Kuhnel goes 1-2-3 top of ten. Collins, Hicklen, Miller lined up bottom of ten with Capra starting out on second base.
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Still knotted at nothing nothing in Nashville heading to bottom of nine. Kahle - Zamora - Mitchell due up to try and walk it off.
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Pretty nondescript Wisco box in the 5-1 loss but Patricio Aquino did finish the game with four scoreless frames of one hit ball striking out five.
