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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Except Chourio did hit in A ball, and A+, and is currently holding his own at age 19 in AA. There is a huge difference between some fans on a message board getting excited about Hedbert based on camp reports during a baseball starved pandemic and multiple outlets ranking Chourio among the best prospects in the game based on his production and their evaluations’ of his tools. Both Escobar and Arcia have graduated as Brewers over the last 20 years. Two is no great shakes but it’s also not zero. Either way, they drastically upped their efforts and investment level on the international side after Stearns and company got here so I don’t see how lack of results from a prior regime should be held against the new one.
  2. sveumrules
    I’m seeing 48 SB / 10 CS for William for a 17.2 CS%. League wide there have been 1957 SB / 507 CS for a 20.6 CS%. Contreras has thrown out two fewer base runners than average.
  3. sveumrules
    Winker and Voit were duds (-1.1 combined WAR), but Contreras, Miller and Anderson (4.4 combined WAR) on offense, Miley, Rea and Teheran (3.8 combined rWAR) in the rotation and Payamps, Peguero and Wilson (+4.89 combined WPA) in the bullpen is around thirteen wins from nine mostly low key Arnold acquisitions. The main reason the team hasn’t run away with the NLC are holdovers like Burnes, Peralta, Lauer, Adames, Tellez, Taylor and Urias underperforming to varying degrees. Hard for me to blame Arnold for that.
  4. sveumrules
    Bummer, didn’t even notice the header on their page. Guess it should have been obvious when they still had the Cubs at 21% for the Division
  5. sveumrules
    Short athletic righty with a big curveball, sounds kinda like high school Sonny Gray.
  6. sveumrules
    FanGraphs scouting report… Knoth has a lightning-fast arm that was only producing low-90s velocity throughout his showcase summer, but his drop-and-drive style delivery was incredibly athletic, his fastball was seasoned by riding life, and he was snapping off the best curveball in the class. Knoth's breaking ball is the Grim Reaper, an absolute yakker in the 78-80 mph range with huge downward break. He experienced a velocity boost in the spring of 2023 and moved from the early second round of the FanGraphs draft board into the first. Knoth doesn't have prototypical starter's size but he's a superlative on-mound athlete with mechanics that are as repeatable as they are electric. You can go nuts projecting on his changeup and a second breaking ball because of his arm speed and proclivity for spin. This is also a cold weather prospect who will still be 17 on draft day. Knoth's mix already looks like that of a premium reliever and he may just be scratching the surface of his ability.
  7. sveumrules
    College vs high school so they’d be on different development tracks, plus with the bust rates of picks in general it’d give them two shots at getting a 3B out of the draft. Especially if they view Miller as more of a mid 1st round talent that slipped due to injury.
  8. sveumrules
    Haha thought the same thing, here comes 300/30/100 for a decade.
  9. sveumrules
    FanGraphs scouting report… Wilken has plus-plus present raw power and has hit several balls harder than 115 mph during his career at Wake, and he generates that power with a comically simple swing. He's an extremely patient hitter who rarely chases, and most of Wilken's whiffs come against sliders that finish in the strike zone but that he simply can't reach. Overall his contact ability is a tad shy of average right now, and will probably trend down as he climbs the minors. But Wilken's selectivity and the lift in his swing help ensure that he'll get to all of his power in games, and his on-base skills help his offensive profile float enough that he could be an everyday third baseman. Wilken has big raw arm strength but his size and stiffness aren't a clean fit at third base in the big leagues, where he's measured against the Matt Chapmans and Nolan Arenados of the world. He'll need to work to stay as agile and mobile as possible to avoid a shift to first.
  10. sveumrules
    Longenhagen chat makes Waldrep sound more likely
  11. sveumrules
    Mitchell before getting hurt. Wiemer. Hiura before getting figured out. Turang. Frelick, Black getting closer.
  12. sveumrules
    If they don’t think Joe Whitman will make it to #33, snagging him at #18 would probably open up money for later rounds
  13. sveumrules
    From 2012-16 Lucroy put up a 120 wRC+ and 55.8 batting runs, both of which were second only to Buster among catchers during that time. If Braun is the standard, he had 47 career WAR. Here are first round hitters drafted since 2006 to come close to or exceed that total… 2006: Longoria (drafted 3rd, MIL #16) 2007: Donaldson (drafted 48th, MIL took LaPorta #7) 2008: Buster (drafted 5th, MIL #16) 2009: Trout (drafted 25th, MIL #26) 2010: Machado/Harper (drafted 3/1, MIL #14) 2011: Lindor (drafted 8th, MIL #12) 2012: Correa (drafted 1st, MIL #28) 2013: Judge (drafted 32nd, MIL no 1st round pick) So only nine teams have drafted a Braun quality hitter in the first round since 2006 and eight of those were off the board before the Brewers picked.
  14. sveumrules
    Great way to go into the break and bounce back from yesterday. Now let’s draft a couple two tree studs tonight!!
  15. sveumrules
    Pretty crazy that with the current state of the farm whoever we pick at #18 likely won’t slot in higher than 9th/10th on the org list. There were plenty of years in the not too distant past where whoever we took with our first pick was pretty much guaranteed a top 3 spot on the org list.
  16. sveumrules
    Can Bill Hall pitch?
  17. sveumrules
    Over at MLB Pipeline they’ve got us mocked for EBJ2 (Callis) or Hurston Waldrep (Mayo) for #18.
  18. sveumrules
    Miller’s 96 wRC+ is 3rd highest among regulars and his 1.3 WAR is 5th on the team. Not sure how DFA-ing one of the five position players we have that’s cracked 1.0 WAR so far would improve the team.
  19. sveumrules
    Alex Jackson has a 1.003 OPS in Nashville. Franchy Cordero has a 1.082 OPS in Scranton (572 OPS in NYY). Bobby Dalbec has a 1.057 OPS in Worcester (452 OPS in BOS). Matt Reynolds has a 1.021 OPS in Louisville (400 OPS in CIN).
  20. sveumrules
    If a player provides no defensive value, the bat has to carry the whole profile. Recent “can’t miss” bat first picks like Alec Bohm (#3 overall in 2018, 1534 PA of 99 OPS+, 0.7 career WAR), Andrew Vaughn (#3 overall in 2019, 1392 PA of 103 OPS+, 0.5 career WAR) or Spencer Torkleson (#1 overall in 2020, 771 PA of 85 OPS+, -1.2 career WAR) are the highest profile recent examples of how big of an ask that is. Hiura was supposed to be the safest bat in his draft class (and hey, his 1.5 WAR is still the highest of any 2017 1st round hitter), but with no position to play and streaky offense it’s hard to stay in the lineup (or MLB) to get consistent playing time.
  21. sveumrules
    The root of the problem with Hiura is it’s hard to set reasonable expectations because his track record is full of wild fluctuations. His main problem this year has been timing with his injury happening a couple two tree weeks before Winker went on the IL and Singleton got the call. He also hasn’t quite regained that mojo he had pre-injury (134 PA of 156 wRC+), with 74 PA of 110 wRC+ since returning. My guess is they give Winker until the deadline before replacing him via trade with Keston remaining more of a break glass in case of emergency option.
  22. sveumrules
    Best approach against Devin is to hunt fastballs up and spit on anything down because it’s hard to land the change up for a strike. Fastball down plays better location wise off the change up to steal called strikes.
  23. sveumrules
    Reds only had 6 LOB tonight.
  24. sveumrules
    Saw Ryne Moore pitched a clean first inning in his first appearance of 2023. He had six nice starts at Carolina last year (35 IP | 2.31 ERA | 38 K | 11 BB), but struggled at Wisco (30 IP | 6.82 ERA | 26 K | 9 BB). Juan Baez (3-4, 2B, SB) having another big day as it’s currently 2-2 bottom of 6th.
  25. sveumrules
    He was non-tendered by the Angels. Brewers signed him to a minor league deal with ST invite.
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