sveumrules

Was messing around on the FanGraphs age 20-21 leaderboards and found a pretty interesting statistical comp for what Jackson has done so far... Chourio (1,045 PA | 6.7 WAR) 70 BB+ | 93 K+ | 112 AVG+ | 124 ISO+ ??????? (1,175 PA | 7.1 WAR) 70 BB+ | 84 K+ | 111 AVG+ | 131 ISO+ ??????? = Henry Aaron age 20-21.

2026 I’d guess Pratt is at AAA with Made/Peña at AA, then 2027 is when things could start getting crowded as Cooper would theoretically be ready for MLB & Jesus/Luis could be too if they follow the Chourio ascension route. Turang would have three years of Arby remaining in 2027. Think the two big questions this offseason will boil down to what happens with the Woodruff/Peralta situations and if the Brewers think upgrading one of Durbin/Ortiz in the short term for more of a known quantity is worth dealing from their minor league depth versus rolling with the status quo for another year & giving all involved players another year to develop before making a decision.

When Haase was DFA’d he went unclaimed and passed through waivers. Jansen got $8.5M as a free agent from the Rays to be their primary catcher. From 2021-25 Jansen and Haase are among 36 catchers with at least 1,000 PA, here are their ranks… Haase: 1,171 PA (30th) 89 wRC+ (22nd) 1.7 WAR (31st) Jansen: 1,367 PA (26th) 108 wRC+ (11th) 7.3 WAR (13th)

Rutschman is looking like Matt Wieters 2: Electric Boogaloo... Adley at Age 24 to 27 2022: 133 wRC+ | 5.6 WAR 2023: 125 wRC+| 5.5 WAR 2024: 102 wRC+ | 2.7 WAR 2025: 93 wRC+ | 1.2 WAR Wieters at age 25 to 27 2011: 110 wRC+ | 5.0 WAR 2012: 107 wRC+ | 4.1 WAR 2013: 86 wRC+ | 1.6 WAR From age 28 to 34 for Wieters it was an 85 wRC+ and 1.3 WAR. Basallo isn't an MLB ready everyday catcher defensively so I'd imagine the O's will ride out Rutschman for at least another year and hope he bounces back because no one should be giving up some really good prospects for him with that trendline.

Truly an impossible task for what has been an almost top to bottom team effort posting the best record in MLB through almost 80% of the season now so thought I'd break things down into tiers... 01 to 03 The All Year Vets Contreras catching dang near every day and the bats been coming around for the last 100 some PA now...Peralta giving the team a chance to win every time he takes the hill...Yelich with a possible 30 HR / 100 RBI / 20 SB season looming for fans of round numbers. 04 to 07 The Youngins & An Old Rookie Frelick for the offense shifting gears when he went to leadoff...Turang going on a homer binge this month is certainly intriguing...feels criminal leaving Collins just outside the top five with how much he's blown by any reasonable (or unreasonable) expectations...Chourio lurking in the wings for a hopeful September surge. 08 to 10 Two Surprises & An Old Friend Priester keeping that fifteen appearance win streak alive at the perfect time...Vaughn taking the offense to a whole other level (thanks Civale)...Woodruff showing back up and winning seven in a row like nothing ever happened minus a few MPH. 11 to 13 The Leverage Guys & The Crafty Lefty Megill for taking over the closer role seamlessly...Uribe for maturing into a more fully realized version...Quintana for defying father time and Fielding Independent Pitching models. 14 to 18 Left Side of the Infield & Rookie Righties Durbin and Ortiz have combined for 3.0 WAR now by FanGraphs calculations which might not seem like much, but is top end production from the 8th/9th players on a roster. Only the Blue Jays (3.0 WAR) and Tigers (2.9 WAR) have gotten a similar level of production from their 8th/9th players while the Cubs (2.2 WAR), Yankees (2.2 WAR), Red Sox (2.0 WAR), Cardinals (2.0 WAR) and Dodgers (1.9 WAR) are the only other teams to approach two wins from their 8th/9th players. Debated if I should put Patrick, Henderson, and Misio ahead or behind Caleb/Joey in this tier, but the rookie righties have combined for 677 batters faced versus 806 plate appearances (plus another six hundred some fielding chances) for the left side of the infield. Either way FanGraphs has all rookie pitchers combining for 20.7 rWAR this year, the Brewers trio has accounted for 3.8 rWAR (or 18.4%) of that total. 19 to 24 The Rest of the Relievers Koenig doesn't quite have the peripherals to match Uribe/Megill but has still been a top fifty reliever by WPA this year...Ashby does have the peripherals to match Uribe/Megill and has been getting more leverage opportunities as the season has gone on with leverage index splits of 0.56 thru July 2nd and 1.18 since...Mears has gotten plenty of leverage work too with his 40 inherited runners third most in MLB...Anderson has contributed 60 IP of 72 ERA- work as ostensibly the 6th or 7th man in the pen...Hall chipped in 37 IP of 81 ERA- and +0.66 WPA before this recent oblique...speaking of obliques its a small sample of only 12 IP but Myers has posted a 53 ERA- | 88 FIP- since coming back from his (to go along with an 83 ERA- | 81 FIP- in 59 IP at AAA). 25 to 28 Bench Players and Some Speculation Perkins already has a walk off hit and outfield assist in his short time back...Monasterio had a huge homer on the recent burger streak...Hoskins was the only one hitting there for a stretch in May and should be back just in time for some pop off the bench down the stretch...and how about Gasser as a potential weapon for September and the playoffs? Small sample of 15 rehab innings but the 42 ERA- | 67 FIP- he has put up so far is about as good as one could hope for from a performance standpoint and bodes well for him maybe replicating something like the 63 ERA- | 83 FIP- he posted over his first 28 MLB innings last year (following 135 IP of 75 ERA- | 74 FIP- at AAA in 2023). But if you made it this far & read or even skimmed all of that you know who the real MVP of the 2025 Brewers is and that is Uecker Magic.

At least David Hamilton is getting the call in his stead, former Brewer in, former Brewer out, may the circle be unbroken.

In the Year of our Internet 2025 this information is available. Entering today’s game the Brewers 94 walks to batters leading off an inning were 12th most in MLB. Their .687 OPS allowed to batters leading off an inning was 8th lowest. Looking biggest picture, the leadoff batter every inning plus everyone else that hits in a game and then how infrequently they end up scoring…the Brewers 3.87 runs allowed per game were 4th lowest in MLB before surrendering one run today.

Hmmm…no Freddy Zamora in the lineup. BF dot com really should have a Nashville Airport Correspondent by now.

After posting -13 DRS and -16 FRV over 2,833 innings with the White Sox from 2021-25, Vaughn has apparently flipped the script on his defense with the Brewers too at +1 DRS | +2 FRV in in tiny sample of 294 innings. For reference Hoskins was -7 DRS | -8 FRV over 4,195 innings with the Phillies, but has also been a little better with the Brewers at -1 DRS | -2 FRV over 1,445 innings. Probably give the edge to Vaughn at this point for having better recent results and being five years younger, but he was worse than Hoskins by the metrics before getting here so its probably not a very big difference either way.

I understand Adams goes about things in a little bit of an unconventional way, and at this point is pretty much a 1B only prospect, but out of 546 players with at least 1,000 PAs across all the minor leagues since 2023 his 148 wRC+ is tied with Xavier Isaac for the best in all of MiLB. & he's been doing it all while being at least two years younger than league average (closer to three in Biloxi) each step of the way.

Obviously can choose any number of arbitrary endpoints, but seemed like the offense kicked into gear when Frelick moved to the leadoff spot in Game 70. First 69 games were a triple slash of 234/313/361 shaking out to a 91 wRC+ (21st) and a middle of the pack 4.33 R/G. That .127 ISO (27th) was lacking in power for sure. In the 55 games since Sal switched to the top spot that triple slash has been 288/356/463 shaking out to a 130 wRC+ (1st) and an absurd 6.29 R/G. That .175 ISO (12th) is much improved over their early season results. Also went from +12.9 BsR (1st) over those first 69 games down to a +2.7 BsR (6th) over these last 55. They've still been running well, but haven't needed to run wild just to stay afloat.

In the sample we do have for CF one metric prefers Frelick, and the other prefers Chourio, both by negligible amounts. I don't believe the sample size & difference in results are large enough to declare that one or the other IS the better CF defender as of yet. I haven't arrived at any conclusions. I'm saying between Sal already performing as a Top Three RF over a sizable sample, Collins being an out of nowhere ROY candidate who has graded out really well in LF, Perkins as the established best defender but worst hitter of the bunch, and Mitchell's inability to stay healthy, that Chourio in CF is likely the best long term alignment. Only way to find out and draw some conclusions is to see how Jackson looks out there, which the Brewers were doing after Mitchell went down for the season and before Chourio tickled his hammy. Also kind of interesting that to start the year Sal was the one backing up CF for seven of the first 28 games while Chourio bounced between corners, but once Garrett got injured they pivoted to Jackson as the everyday CF. Maybe there are some interviews with Arnold/Murphy from around that time that shed more light on the organization's reasoning behind that decision?

Definitely flirted with disaster his first two starts with SD…9 H | 4 BB | 2 HBP in 9.1 innings but just 3 ER for a 2.89 ERA (but a 4.51 FIP under the hood).

Two DH for Dinges, two DH for Josh still leaves two days a week to rotate Made, Pena, Fischer through as needed. Or just play Fischer twice a week at first when he isn't playing third. Could also give Dinges a whole day off here and there since he's coming off injury and likely hasn't caught this many innings in a long time.

Looks like Josh is at a 14 (2B) to 8 (DH) game split since coming back to Carolina so I'd guess he gets like four games a week at 2B and two at DH with Wisco. Pena/Made get the other two games at 2B, plus all six at SS, plus two at 3B, plus one each at DH to get to a dozen. Fischer plays the remaining four games a week at 3B with his other two coming at 1B/DH.

Miller's last outing was three up three down with two strikeouts on Saturday. His horrible outing was two appearances ago on August 13th. His first two outings with the Brewers went seven up, six down with the only batter reaching via dropped third strike. He pitched 3.2 IP over the eight days between 0809 and 0816.

With the a pair of wins today the two DSL squads' pushed their combined record for the season just onto the right side of the ledger at 55 W - 53 L. Not too shabby for what has been somewhat of a blah summer on the island, but we all knew the insanity of last summer was likely a singularity. None of Kenny Fenelon (88 wRC+), Brailyn Antunez (82 wRC+), or Cristopher Acosta (78 wRC+) has really popped. Will be interesting to see if they come over to the ACL next year on pedigree alone or if some of them maybe repeat the DSL. As far as hitters that did put up some numbers would have to imagine that eighteen year olds Juan Martinez (158 wRC+), Jonathan Rangel (148 wRC+), Moises Polanco (130 wRC+), and Angel Gonzalez (128 wRC+) are in pretty good shape for the ACL with Yoneiker Lugo (110 wRC+) and Carlos Done (105 wRC+) probably doing enough to join them. On the pitching side seventeen year olds Diustin Mayorquin (47 IP of 46 ERA- | 50 FIP-) and Joan Pena (44 IP of 65 ERA- | 77 FIP-) appear to be the likely headliners, and did we just get a Brewers PD highlight reel for Gustavo Garcia (44 IP of 72 ERA- | 85 FIP-) recently too? A few older arms with decent results in smaller samples might be setting themselves up for stateside relief roles next year? Gabriel Colmenarez (21 IP of 43 ERA- | 56 FIP-) has already made his way over, perhaps Derlin Garcia (19 IP of 37 ERA- | 59 FIP-), Carlos Canales (23 IP of 47 ERA- | 74 FIP-), or Jhosep Ospino (27 IP of 55 ERA- | 78 FIP-) are next.

With their 15th August win today the Brewers have already topped seven of the predictions in the thread and tied two more (if I counted right).

Easy answer (besides the team has access to more information than we do) is that Sal has already graded out as a Top Three RF with his +27 DRS | +17 FRV since 2023 trailing only Wilyer Abreu (+30 DRS | +18 FRV) and Tatis Jr. (+47 DRS | +27 FRV), so just keep him there. Neither Sal (427 innings of +2 DRS | +2 FRV) nor Jackson (654 innings of -1 DRS | +3 FRV) has much of a sample in CF, but our best OF alignment long term likely features Jackson in CF so might as well give him some experience to see what he's got out there.

Since losing the now infamous Cribbage Board Game on May 17th and falling to a season low 21 W - 25 L, the Brewers have gone 57 W - 19 L. That is a .750 W% over almost half a season, something like a 121 to 122 win pace. Pretty nuts stuff. Freddy Peralta leads MLB with 14 back of the baseball card pitcher wins, but we all know its a team game and the Brewers have gone 16 W - 9 L (.640 W%) in his starts. Brewers have now won in each of Priester's last 14 appearances, and are 16 W - 7 L (.696 W%) overall when Quinn pitches. But Jose Quintana? How about 13 W - 5 L for a .722 W%. Hmmm, what's that you say? Even with a taxed bullpen & likely Sunday lineup the Brewers could still pick up their 14th win of the season with the crafty veteran southpaw on the mound today? That's just like, your opinion, man. As increasingly impressive as all those winning percentages are, there's one more. The three headed monster of Woodruff (7 W - 0 L), Henderson (5 W - 0 L), and Misio (6 W - 2 L) have combined to put up a .900 W% over their 20 trips through the rotation.

Brewers can call up an extra pitcher for the doubleheader so I would guess Chad Patrick (last pitched 08/12) will get the nod for one of the games.

Thanks, ed. I’m just following the numbers…

Brewers had won 13 in a row, they’d also won Priester’s last 13 appearances. Monasterio wears number 14, the IGT was on page 14 when he hit his bomb, the Reds were even foreshadowing things wearing 14 patches (for Pete Rose…who was born on 4/14/41…Milwaukee Day). Obvious W from the jump.

Interesting comparison. Williams 2020-24 179 K%+ | 139 BB%+ | 115 LOB%+ 59 AVG+ | 41 ERA- | 53 FIP- Nolan Ryan 1981 179 K%+ | 134 BB%+ | 113 LOB%+ 74 AVG+ | 52 ERA- | 71 FIP- Would I have preferred if Williams walked fewer batters? Of course, but from 2020-24 he was elite at striking guys out, limiting hits, limiting HR, stranding runners, and most importantly limiting runs. Can’t have it all. & now he has begat Durbin (& kinda Lockridge too) all while almost single handedly torpedo-ing (pun, intentional) the Yankees season…chef’s kiss. Almost sounds like the kind of yarn that Uecker might spin.

From what I can tell looking at the FanGraphs 2024-25 minor league leaderboard sorted by age, Pena’s 97 RBI are 4th among 17-18 year olds these last two years. Just ahead of Leo De Vries (95), and just behind Emil Morales (100) & Wilder Dalis (102). But the undisputed King of Teenage Steaks appears to be Eduardo Tait with 134 RBI, mostly on account of having an extra 200ish PA on Morales, Dalis and Peña.