sveumrules

Woodruff, Henderson, Koenig, and possibly Crow should all be returning at some point. Yoho has been one of the most dominant relief arms in the minors the last few years, he could develop into a leverage arm yet as he gets acclimated to MLB. Rom saw a huge uptick in results this year at AAA with a 65 ERA- | 50 FIP- over his 26 IP. Probably just another up down reliever, but who knows maybe he's another out of nowhere success story for the dev team. Only way to find out is to face MLB hitters and see what happens. We've already seen the uptick in Kuhnel's stuff since arriving. Again, probably just another innings eating reliever to bide time until other guys get healthy, but he was already getting save chances earlier in the year so who knows. Not on the 40 Man yet, but Hardin has looked impressive since getting promoted to AAA and could be better than any arm(s) we acquire at the deadline. No series of moves the Brewers make between now and the postseason will allow them to surpass the Dodgers, they may be able to buttress their position somewhat but they aren't getting close on paper (or a computer screen to keep it contemporaneous) no matter what happens.

Ahhh, remember the good old days of fearing every LHP on the slate? Even wondering aloud why teams don't just call up some scrub lefty starter from AAA for an easy win? Well, the Brewers hit for a 107 wRC+ (9th) last year against LHP en route to an MLB best 29 W - 18 L record versus lefty starters. So far this year? A below average 97 wRC+ (18th) against LHP, but a 15 W - 5 L record against southpaw starters that is tied for the best in MLB including a ten game winning streak since Vaughn and Chourio returned to the lineup. Might be overdue for a loss, or maybe they'll add another win to their MLB best 27 W - 13 L record against teams at .500 or better so far this year.

Since coming back from his hamate injury Vaughn has hit 258/324/339 (89 wRC+) over 68 PA vs RHP and 545/625/939 (325 wRC+) over 40 PA vs LHP. Sal has hit 259/339/348 (95 wRC+) over his 185 PA vs RHP so far this year compared to 158/210/228 (21 wRC+) over his 62 PA vs LHP. Expanding it out to the last two years vs RHP its 238 PA of 263/319/423 (106 wRC+) for Vaughn compared to 605 PA of 275/346/408 (112 wRC+) for Sal. Vaughn's edge in the seasonal numbers you quoted are coming entirely from his massive advantage vs LHP. Sal has performed better against RHP, especially when considering he has an advantage in speed/defense over Vaughn too. Frelick has also been improving overall after a rough start at 199 PA of 214/284/295 (62 wRC+) through May but 48 PA of 310/396/405 (130 wRC+) since the calendar flipped to June. Small sample, sure, but guessing the Brewers are going to want to give him some opportunities to see if maybe he's starting to figure something out.

Believe it is. BRef doesn't isolate SP from RP but they have our average pitcher age youngest in MLB at 26.8 with PIT in 2nd at 27.4 versus an MLB average of 29.3. Looking at just this year relative to the rest of MLB, and outside of Woodruff the old men of the rotation have been Gasser, Patrick and Drohan in their age 27 seasons. Here are the Brewers rotation ranks for SP age 27 and under so far this year... 321 IP (3rd) | 129 K+ (1st) | 136 K/BB+ (5th) | 89 AVG+ (4th) | 88 WHIP+ (6th) | 107 LOB+ (5th) | 82 ERA- (2nd) | 83 FIP- (6th) | +3.23 WPA (1st) | +38.84 RE24 (1st) | 8.3 rWAR (1st) | 7.4 fWAR (1st) Expanding it out to the whole staff (since guys like Drohan and Patrick have had swing roles) plus kicking it up to Age 28 to accommodate Ashby as the oldest young guy in the pen and their MLB whole staff ranks for pitchers 28 and under come in at... 521 IP (2nd) | 123 K+ (1st) | 117 K/BB+ (7th) | 91 AVG+ (3rd) | 92 WHIP+ (7th) | 106 LOB+ (t-1st) | 79 ERA- (3rd) | 83 FIP- (3rd) | +4.42 WPA (3rd) | +66.00 RE24 (1st) | 10.7 rWAR (1st) | 9.6 fWAR (1st)

122 LOB+ (1st) | 152 K+ (3rd) | 54 ERA- (4th) | 66 FIP- (6th) | 78 WHIP+ (18th) | 83 AVG+ (18th) Obviously Logan Henderson isn't healthy at the moment, but I'm hoping the Brewers are doing their best to make sure he is ready to go for the postseason because he has been one of the most dominant SP in MLB over the last two years when on the mound. I'm always down to add more pitching, and the Brewers front office has typically done so at the deadline. I know that IGTs run a little hyperbolic, but characterizing a group with a .568 W% that is literally better than 25 other teams as "pray the next series gets rained out sucks" cracked me up even more than usual.

The Reds offense is currently averaging 4.31 R/G at home. The Brewers offense is currently averaging 5.22 R/G on the road. Since EDLC went down the Reds have an 89 wRC+ (24th) and have scored 3.67 R/G (26th) Also looks like the Reds two best starters (Abbott and Burns) are currently listed as the probables for their last two games against the Yankees before we come to town so we should be missing them unless they get pushed back in the interim.

The Brewers are 20 W - 7 L in games started by Misio or Harrison so far this year. That leaves a record of 25 W - 19 L (.568 W% or a 92 Win pace over 162 games) when anybody else starts. The St. Louis Cardinals are currently sixth in all of MLB with a .556 W% so our three through nine starters (plus two openers) have won games at a Top Five clip to this point.

Luke Adams 0327 to 0411 (51 PA) 205/347/385 (100 wRC+) 9.8 BB% | 15.7 K% | 7.8 HBP% Luke Adams 0602 to 0616 (48 PA) 270/426/622 (172 wRC+) 12.5 BB% | 22.9 K% | 8.3 HBP% Small samples all around, but nice to see Adams putting up some numbers over his couple weeks back at Nashville since returning from injury.

@Brock Beauchamp Please add Juan Martinez. Also, any way we could extend the deadline a little bit? Three days is a pretty small window.

Luis Lameda could be another option to be promoted from Wilson if they want to give guys like Handelfry and Ebel some more time yet. Would guess Frias and Juan Martinez are next up from Arizona to Wilson?

Statline in the first post is 182 PA of 222/292/305 (70 wRC+) with a 8.8 BB% and 11.0 K%. Since May 26th Frelick has 57 PA of 265/357/347 (104 wRC+) with a 12.3 BB% and 8.8 K%. That looks like across the board improvement to me.

I agree, the system must be comically deep because at the last round of voting (despite his impressive performance to date and some positive scouting reports) not a single poster of the 36 who cast a ballot asked to add him to the pool of candidates much less put him in their Top 20.

Looks like Chourio didn't need another 50 or 100 PA before figuring things out... thru first 112 PA at time of post 284/348/431 (122 wRC+) 8.9 BB% | 26.8 K% | 45.5 Swing% thru last 53 PA after post 400/415/869 (247 wRC+) 3.8 BB% | 18.9 K% | 48.0 Swing%

During the Thirty Team Era (1998 to present) there have been 4,002 individual starting pitcher seasons of at least 80 IP. Here are where some of Misio's current rate stats land on that leaderboard... 59 AVG+ (2nd) | 33 ERA- (3rd) | 56 WHIP+ (4th) | 41 FIP- (5th) | 181 K+ (13th) | 37 HR+ (27th) | 116 LOB+ (35th) The Brewers selected Misio with the 63rd pick in the 2022 Draft and signed him for a bonus of $2.35M. Here is what the pitchers who were drafted ahead of him and signed for similar or more money are up to so far this year... #3 Kumar Rocker ($5.2M) 65.2 IP of 3.56 ERA | 4.08 FIP in MLB #7 Cade Horton ($4.45M) #2 NL ROY in 2025, currently on IL #10 Gabriel Hughes ($4M) 31 IP of 6.97 ERA | 2.93 FIP in AAA #15 Dylan Lesko ($3.9M) 20 IP of 2.25 ERA | 4.58 FIP in A #20 Owen Murphy ($2.6M) 57 IP of 5.34 ERA | 5.89 FIP in AAA #22 Cooper Hjerper ($3.2M) Only 3 IP so far coming back from surgery #23 Brandon Barriera ($3.6M) 17 IP of 5.29 ERA | 5.34 FIP in A #28 Noah Schultz ($2.8M) 38 IP of 5.82 ERA | 4.76 FIP in MLB #34 Landon Sims ($2.3M) 24 IP of 4.81 ERA | 5.77 FIP in AA #35 JR Ritchie ($2.4M) 30 IP of 3.82 ERA | 5.16 FIP #39 Robby Snelling ($3M) 5 IP in MLB before landing on IL #47 Jackson Ferris ($3M) 31.2 IP of 7.11 ERA | 6.49 FIP in AAA

Was just looking at Juan Martinez earlier today and was like "woah, that's some pretty impressive performance between last year's second go around in the DSL and the start of his ACL this year." Then I remembered guys like Juan Ortuno and Demetrio Nadal and some more I'm surely forgetting (was Juan Baez one of these guys once too?) and at this point it's kinda like until they at least make it to Wisco carrying over the same encouraging traits its more something to keep an eye on than anything to get too excited about. Which might sound dismissive, but it's really just a testament to how long the road is for most of the seven figure international teenagers, much less the pop up guys who have to prove it stop after stop for at least half a decade. But yeah, that's also the one of the funnest (most fun?) things about following the system. With their recent dev record you kind of have to keep an eye on everyone that shows a glimpse of promise because they certainly are looking for talent in all corners and have proven adept at finding it.

Of Misio's thirteen starts since Opening Day he has had two on four days rest, nine on five days rest, and two on six days rest. If the past is any predictor of the future the Brewers will probably try to get him that extra day of rest, especially coming off a career high nine inning outing (even if it was a relatively low stress 95 pitches).

Because I'm The Miz...and I'm Awesome

Start with 50 Points. Add one point for each out recorded (+27) Add two points for each inning completed after the 4th (+10) Add one point for each strikeout (+15) Subtract two points for each hit allowed (-2) Subtract 4 for each ER, 2 for each UER, and 1 for each BB (0) Believe that gives Misio a Game Score of a nice even 100 for the evening. Here are some other Brewers pitchers' career high game scores I could find clicking through game logs... Burnes 091121 (95 GS) 8.0 IP | 0 ER | 0 H | 1 BB | 14 K Higuera 082687 (94 GS) 10.0 IP | 0 ER | 3 H | 2 BB | 10 K Sheets 051604 (94 GS) 9.0 IP | 1 ER | 3 H | 1 BB | 18 K Sabathia 083108 (93 GS) 9.0 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 3 BB | 11 K Wegman 070786 (91 GS) 11.0 IP | 0 ER | 4 H | 2 BB | 4 K Caldwell 091978 (89 GS) 9.0 IP | 0 ER | 4 H | 0 BB | 10 K Slaton 082384 (89 GS) 10.2 IP | 0 ER | 4 H | 3 BB | 6 K Nieves 041587 (89 GS) 9.0 IP | 0 ER | 0 H | 5 BB | 7 K Eldred 042393 (89 GS) 8.0 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 1 BB | 10 K Gallardo 062410 (89 GS) 9.0 IP | 0 ER | 5 H | 0 BB | 12 K Greinke 050912 (89 GS) 8.0 IP | 0 ER | 2 H | 0 BB | 11 K Peralta 041319 (89 GS) 8.0 IP | 0 ER | 2 H | 0 BB | 11 K Bosio 082887 (88 GS) 9.0 IP | 0 ER | 2 H | 3 BB | 8 K Haas 080380 (88 GS) 9.0 IP | 0 ER | 3 H | 2 BB | 9 K Houser 090421 (88 GS) 9.0 IP | 0 ER | 3 H | 0 BB | 7 K Odell 052888 (87 GS) 8.1 IP | 0 ER | 1 H | 1 BB | 7 K Woodruff 092620 (87 GS) 8.0 IP | 0 ER | 2 H | 1 BB | 10 K

No doubt, I put what Sabathia did in 2008 right up there with like Bo Jackson and Andre the Giant as the most Mythical things I’ve ever witnessed in athletics. If Misio does it for a whole season (plus whatever might happen in the fall) it’s getting into real life Sidd Finch territory.

Justin Crawford is the son of a pretty good MLB player. He should have some finely tuned baseball instincts. He just threw that warning track fly ball in like there were one or no outs instead of two. Perfect encapsulation of the kind of pressure the Brewers apply to opposing pitchers / defenses.

Sabathia had a 39 ERA- | 56 FIP- during his Milwaukee stint in 2008. Misio had a 36 ERA- | 46 FIP- before tonight's dominance.

They've been flashing that most runs scored in MLB with two outs leaderboard up during the broadcast, so it got me curious about what other splits the Brewers might be doing well in this year... Hitters (with two outs) 837 PA (12th) | .750 OPS (3rd) | 136 R (2nd) Pitchers (with two outs) 780 PA (29th) | .626 OPS (1st) | 78 R (1st) [as good as the hitters have been at scoring runs right before making the third out, the pitchers have been even better at nailing down that last out of the inning. I'm not too sure what the baseline is, but I have to imagine a +58 run differential with two outs after only playing 66 total games is pretty good. Only four teams have cleared a +58 run differential on the season so far and the Mariners in 5th at +26 aren't particularly close] Hitters (first pitch) 270 PA (27th) | 1.064 OPS (1st) | 15 HR (15th) [the Brewers haven't looked to ambush often but when they do watch out. Those 15 HR represent 26.3% of the team total to this point while the 270 PA represent only 10.4% of the team total] Hitters (vs lefty starters) 696 PA (16th) | .759 OPS (6th) | 98 R (6th) [even missing two of their best righty bats for a chunk of the season the Brewers have performed well against lefty starters with a 13 W - 5 L (.722 W%) record so far] Hitters (with two strikes) 1,349 PA (18th) | .508 OPS (17th) | 127 R (t-3rd) Pitchers (with two strikes) 1,371 PA (13th) | .458 OPS (6th) | 83 R (4th) [despite not having that many PA or that impressive of an OPS with two strikes, the Brewers have gone ahead and scored the third most runs anyway. No surprise the staff with the highest K% in MLB fares well once they get to two strikes. Again, that +44 run differential with two strikes would be 5th in MLB on its own] Hitters (runner on 3rd, less than 2 outs) 179 PA (2nd) | .938 OPS (8th) | 135 R (1st) [think back to all those times the Brewers didn't score the runner from third with less than two outs, even with all those failures they still have scored more runs than any other MLB team in that situation] Hitters (late and close) 402 PA (13th) | .691 OPS (21st) | 64 R (4th) [another split like with two strikes where the Brewers haven't been particularly prolific or proficient, but have ended up efficient anyway] Hitters (with 2 outs & RISP) 351 PA (1st) | .793 OPS (1st) | 114 R (1st) Pitchers (with 2 outs & RISP) 262 PA (29th) | .541 OPS (1st) | 59 R (2nd) [we already know the Brewers have been one of thee best teams with RISP on both sides of the ball going all the way back to 2023, so of course it makes sense when you combine that with their two out dominance that they come out looking really good here too]

No doubt he’s been bad or absent during the last two postseasons but I kind of look at that as extra credit. Could see dinging him from like a B in regular season value down to like to a B-/C+. Being DH only limits the roster flexibility some for sure, but as long as he’s putting up 500 PA with a 120 wRC+ as one of the few DH that isn’t a big negative on the bases he’s at least earning his money.

Yelich's extension started in 2022. From 2022 to 2025 he was paid $88M after deferrals for 2,262 PA of 123 wRC+ and 11.4 WAR, that is easily in the black considering how much teams have been paying for wins in free agency recently. The Brewers also won the 5th most games in MLB from 2022 to 2025 including three Division Titles and a trip to the NLCS. How hasn't it worked out well?

Since coming back for real on May 17th Yelich almost has that Garrett Mitchell career production shape... 30.1 K% | .397 BABIP | .163 ISO 34.5 K% | .385 BABIP | .172 ISO One small note though, Christian's ground ball rate has been trending down hard from 73.7% over his first 60 PA of the season to 47.5% over his 103 PA since returning to stay on May 17th (considerably lower than his career 56.0 GB%). We'll see where it settles in as the season goes along, but he has been getting the ball off the ground quite a bit more lately. The Brewers definitely don't seem to be as ground ball averse as the rest of baseball or the analytic community either. Going back to their turnaround beginning on May 18th of last year they've averaged an MLB best 5.30 R/G (Yankees are 2nd at 5.07 R/G) while running a 45.6 GB% with only PIT (45.2%) and TBR (45.1%) nearby over their last 182 games. Over these last 40 games since April 26th where their 28 W - 12 L is the best in MLB they've leaned into the ground balls even more heavily with a 47.6 GB% (Padres are second down at 45.2 GB%) which hasn't stopped them from putting up an MLB best 115 wRC+ or topping the league in runs per game by over three tenths of a run during that stretch.