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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. Think Anderson will move between 3B/RF and Urias will move between 2B/3B depending on match ups, etc.
  2. Cubs lost 12 more games than the Brewers in 2022, the Reds lost 24 more games than the Brewers. I can squint and see how the Cubs could maybe challenge for 2nd, but I don’t see how the Reds added twenty plus wins this winter. I’d agree the Cards are the favorites after last year, but it’s by a pretty thin margin. FanGraphs has the Cards at 51% to win the division vs 39% for the Crew, but BPro has it flipped at 54% for MKE vs 38% for STL.
  3. Turns out getting added to the 40 man in November didn’t guarantee Perkins a spot on the 26 man come March.
  4. Neither of Brosseau or a currently injured Taylor would return much in trade and they are defensively versatile players who are two of our better returning bats vs LHP. They seem like pretty good fits for those 10th-12th spots on the roster.
  5. I’ll be pulling hard for a Knicks upset over the Cavs in round one. Bucks are 3-0 against NY this year and they don’t have the size inside that CLE does with Mobley/Allen
  6. Easy win over Utah tonight with Giannis (24) Jrue (24) and Brook (26) playing low minutes heading to Denver on the B2B. Now 24-3 in their last 27 games. Other games against contenders down the stretch include BOS, PHI and MEM. All three are at Fiserv, though the Celtics game is 2nd end of B2B and will be their 5th game in a 7 day stretch. Pretty brutal scheduling. Grizz is the 2nd to last game of the season, hopefully things will be wrapped by then. Looking at potential playoff match ups as the one seed they are 13-8 against teams currently in the six through eleven play-in range, they are 2-2 vs CLE at #4, and they are 2-3 vs BOS/PHI for a 17-13 (.567 W%) cumulative record against East contenders. They are 36-7 (.837 W%) against the other 20 teams including a pretty ridiculous 23-5 (.821 W%) against the West.
  7. If he gets claimed, they only lit 1.5 million on fire, which is like 1.3% of their OD payroll. Even penny pinchers have to roll the dice sometimes. If he doesn't get claimed, he goes down to AAA maybe figures something out and is of some use later in the year. Or maybe he is never a useful MLB player again, in which case we'll always have 2019.
  8. Pretty sure they broadcast a couple games exclusively on AppleTV last year too.
  9. SPohei 21-22 (296 IP) 65 ERA- | 68 FIP- | 10.1 rWAR | 8.6 fWAR Woodruff 21-22 (332 IP) 68 ERA- | 73 FIP- | 10.2 rWAR | 8.3 fWAR DHtani 21-22 1305 PA | 146 wRC+ | 8.9 WAR Vlad Jr 21-22 1404 PA | 149 wRC+ | 9.1 WAR Essentially Woodruff and a lefty hitting Vlad Jr with wheels all wrapped up in one human. Not too shabby.
  10. Are we really gonna get Ohtani vs Trout, bottom of nine, one run game for the WBC Championship?
  11. and now Murakami, again.
  12. If Lutz has another solid but unspectacular season this year at AAA my guess would be he tries to find an org with less OF depth for 2024. As it stands now for 2024 Brewers would have Yelich (maybe transitioning to DH), Mitchell, Frelick, Wiemer, Taylor, Chourio all for sure ahead of him on the depth chart before getting into guys like Perkins (currently on 40 man) or Black (looking like he’ll be playing plenty of CF in Biloxi this year) or even Noah Campbell who has performed in the same general ballpark as Tristen over the last couple years but brings more positional versatility.
  13. I’ll guess it ends up something like… Rodgers, #15 for #13, 2023 3rd (#74), 2024 2nd & 3rd Maybe a player gets thrown in or some conditions get added to the 2024 picks based on Jets postseason results or if Rodgers comes back for 2024.
  14. Braves have optioned Vaughn Grissom and Braden Shewmake to AAA clearing the way for Orlando Arcia to open the season as Dansby Swanson’s replacement.
  15. Interesting, figured since he connected on a 100 MPH fastball it was equal velo back in the opposite direction
  16. I’d go with… Contreras, Caratini Rowdy, Turang, Adames, Urias, Brosseau, Voit Yelich, Mitchell, Frelick, Anderson, Winker Burnes, Woodruff, Peralta, Lauer, Miley Williams, Bush, Milner, Strez, Houser, Guerra, Wilson, Varland Pretty much the same thing they have projected at Roster Resource but with Frelick, Voit, Varland instead of Miller, Hiura, Payamps.
  17. First time up Urias rips a 100 MPH liner off of Sasaki’s guts. Second time up Urias rips a three run bomb off Sasaki.
  18. Obviously early and nothing definitive yet but Chourio/Quero with Biloxi for game one is a encouraging sign the Brewers could be aggressive with their placements to start the year.
  19. From 2002-21, the Yankees and Dodgers paid a combined $500M in luxury taxes (for one WS each & a pandemic weirdened one at that for LAD). The Red Sox paid $50M. Another seven teams combined for about $40M in payments. Before Cohen and to a lesser extent Seidler & Middleton started spending like crazy, the luxury tax was essentially a soft cap for the 27 non-NYY/LAD/BOS teams. Calling it a soft cap is even a misnomer as the majority of teams have never exceeded it and many teams in the league have never even seriously approached it. The NBA has a salary cap. That hasn’t stopped the Warriors from racking up a $170M luxury tax bill this year that is higher than the payroll of 24 teams in the association. The NFL has a salary cap too. That didn’t stop the Rams ($272M) from almost doubling the Bears ($138M) in actual spending last year. No matter what kind of system and cap is in place, teams will figure out ways to get around it. What MLB really needs is a mechanism to better address the revenue disparity between teams & institute an accompanying floor that teams receiving funds must meet. Curious to see what the committee comes up with.
  20. Hopefully he's not stuck in one of those chaos cycles where he's doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results.
  21. Team is currently lined up to win 60 games with Grayson/Jevon getting the 4th and 5th most minutes while Khris isn't likely to climb any higher than 9th in minutes by the end of the season. Meanwhile, Denver has lost four straight against mostly non-competitive teams with their full squad. Have to think Giannis could get some real traction for a 3rd MVP if the Bucks end up like five six wins ahead of everybody else at the end of the season. Really only care about that 2nd FMVP though.
  22. He's already getting paid for healthy, star level production through Arby and signed away his first three free agent seasons for $84M, it's a pretty slim range of outcomes that would cost him a boatload of money at this point. And if somehow that slim range of outcomes does come to fruition six, seven, eight years from now he'll have $111M to fall back on. This is a guy whose 2019 season ended with a shoulder injury and then in 2021 sustained a posterior capsular avulsion fracture and a labrum tear during a swing on which he homered. He just transferred the majority of the risk over the next half decade plus from himself to the team.
  23. Why would the union complain? Corbin just received a record contract for a player with his limited amount of service time. He also got almost $40M more than Michael Harris II signed for last summer, that's raising the bar pretty significantly.
  24. Carroll has also been significantly older. His minor league stats encompass ages 18-21, Chourio’s cover ages 17-18. If Jackson has another big summer, culminating in a taste of MLB in September, I would guess a 2024 extension would come in closer to Wander Franco terms than what Corbin just signed for.
  25. I’m incredibly basic, but I highly recommend Waffle House if they don’t have them where you live.
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