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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Wow. True shocker. Thought for sure Horst would take the fall with Doc moving up to POBO and Ham sliding into the head coach spot.
  2. sveumrules
    Burnes put up 4.4 rWAR in his one year with the Orioles. And that was the most optimistic take on his season with 3.5 bWAR and 3.7 fWAR. Ortiz came in at 3.1 WAR last year so he already covered most of that value in year one. Another win or two out of Ortiz or Hall over the next five years and the Brewers will be on the right side of the ledger.
  3. sveumrules
    The Brewers have seven regulars - Frelick (138), Turang (136), Hoskins (128), Durbin (112), Yelich (110), Chourio (101), and Contreras (100) - who have been average or better by wRC+ this year. Which two or three of those guys need to go down to Nashville to make it 50% of the lineup?
  4. sveumrules
    It never had to be an either/or proposition, there was room on the 40 Man for both.
  5. sveumrules
    Smith (22.1 IP | 0.7 rWAR | 0.4 fWAR) 16.7 K% | 8.9 BB% | 0.40 HR9 .167 AVG | 0.94 WHIP | 76.3 LOB% 42.9 GB% | 2.82 ERA | 3.88 FIP Patrick (21.1 IP | 1.0 rWAR | 0.4 fWAR) 23.0 K% | 10.3 BB% | 1.27 HR9 .244 AVG | 1.31 WHIP | 96.6 LOB% 29.3 GB% | 2.11 ERA | 4.24 FIP Patrick has the edge in K% and ERA, though the latter is largely due to a comically unsustainable 96.6 LOB%. Mariano Rivera had a 80.4 LOB% for reference. Smith induces way more grounders while limiting base runners and giving up homers at considerably lower rates. His LOB% is more in line with league average (72.4%) so he should be due for less ERA regression than Patrick is moving forward.
  6. sveumrules
    Their best position player is currently Matt Thaiss with a 132 wRC+ and 0.5 WAR in 48 PAs. In 771 PAs entering the season he had an 83 wRC+ and -0.4 WAR. On the pitching side Smith (22.1 IP of 2.82 ERA | 3.88 FIP) leads all White Sox hurlers in both rWAR (0.7) and fWAR (0.4). Martin Perez (20.0 IP of 3.15 ERA | 3.68 FIP) is just behind him at 0.4 rWAR and 0.3 fWAR but he is likely out for the year with a flexor strain. Isn't looking like Shane will have too much competition for the White Sox lone All Star spot if he can stay healthy.
  7. sveumrules
    Doesn't have a ton of MLB time (935 innings spread over parts of five calendar years) but Daz has posted -9 DRS and -6 FRV so far. Probably safe to say defensive chops were not genetic in this case.
  8. sveumrules
    Obviously early but Yelich has been destroying righties (156 wRC+) while getting equally destroyed by lefties (44 wRC+) to start the year. So far 33 of his 95 PAs (34.7%) have come vs LHP. For 2021-24 he saw 587 of his 2,093 PAs (28.0%) vs LHP.
  9. sveumrules
    Was hitting almost as bad as Ortiz at 204/246/278 (48 wRC+) with a 3.5 BB% and (wait for it) a 42.1 K% before getting hit in the face and going on the IL. Has seen most of his action at 3B (93 innings) this year but the Nationals have rolled him out for a few games at SS (38 innings) so far.
  10. sveumrules
    The four Carolina players on that list are 21 (Dinges), 20 (Adamczewski), and 18 (Pena/Payne) years old. The four Kannapolis players on that list are 24 (Miller-Green/Sprinkle), 22 (Montgomery), and 19 (Bonemer) years old. The other two players in that Top Ten are 25 (Ross) and 22 (Thompson) years old.
  11. sveumrules
    Steve Yeager is a career .228 hitter. He had individual seasons with batting averages of .266 and .256. Kevin Elster is a career .228 hitter. He had individual seasons with batting averages of .252 and .241. Paul DeJong is a career .228 hitter. He had individual seasons with bating averages of .285 and .241. Joey Ortiz hit .239 last year over 511 plate appearances, one more hit would have put him at .241. I don't think it's unrealistic or would be some amazing feat for him to hit .240 ever. Especially considering he is a still developing player with all of 635 career MLB plate appearances.
  12. sveumrules
    This FanGraphs article is ostensibly about Elly De La Cruz’s insane flying catch the other day but also contains some peak Brent Suter content…
  13. sveumrules
    "They could designate Payamps for assignment, or they could option Hudson and transfer Aaron Ashby to the 60-day injured list. Which route is best is debatable, but the Brewers cannot continue carrying both struggling relievers. The time to promote Yoho has arrived." I'd probably option Hudson/transfer Ashby to get Yoho on the roster for the upcoming road trip. He last pitched on the 18th so should be fresh and ready for some innings. That gives you a few games to hopefully get Payamps a chance to pitch again before Myers needs to be activated for his start on Thursday, at which point Joel is either designated or one of Patrick/Henderson is optioned back to AAA. Personally think I'd try running a six man rotation of Peralta, Quintana, Myers, Priester, Patrick and Henderson as long as they all keep pitching well which would leave a bullpen of Megill, Koenig, Uribe, Mears, Anderson, Yoho and Alexander.
  14. sveumrules
    Some Carolina Fun Fact from the early going... Mudcats hitters are the youngest in the league at a 19.5 average age, but are tops in both runs per game (7.60) and OPS (.825). With league averages of 5.12 R/G and .682 OPS their margins are +2.48 R/G and +.143 OPS above average. The second best team offense has been Kannapolis with an average age almost two years older (21.2 average age), a runs per game almost a full run lower (6.73), and a .753 OPS that trails Carolina by .072 points. On the pitching side Carolina is also the youngest at a 20.9 average age with their 3.20 ERA the second lowest in the league behind Fayetteville at a 3.12 ERA with pitchers almost a full year older (21.8 average age).
  15. sveumrules
    Today was their third day of a stretch with 19 games in 20 days, could see them going to a six man for a few trips through if everyone keeps pitching well. Believe that would get them in the neighborhood of Woodruff’s 30 days being up so could reassess then.
  16. sveumrules
    Two sliders and two cutters according to GameDay. Wilson’s single was on a slider.
  17. sveumrules
    Top 10 in the Brewers system. FanGraphs added him at #88 overall after spring training but I’m not sure if anyone else had him Top 100.
  18. sveumrules
    He’s been one of the most statistically dominant pitchers in the minors last two years. Ranks are among 441 pitchers with at least 150 IP from 2023-24… 34.0 K% (1st) | 27.3 K-BB% (1st) | 0.94 WHIP (2nd) | 3.08 xFIP (5th) | 5.12 K/BB (8th) | .191 AVG (9th) | 3.04 ERA (23rd)
  19. sveumrules
    So you’re saying Doc promoted to POBO after the season wouldn’t surprise you then?
  20. sveumrules
    Disagree that their window would still be open today with an increasingly injured Middleton and Holiday who is nowhere close to being a legit #2 option on offense. Bringing in Dame (or anyone who could help Giannis carry the load on offense) was a necessity with Middleton's body breaking down. The actual big mistake that offseason was letting Giannis hire Griffin instead of going with the front office's rumored preference for Kenny Atkinson.
  21. sveumrules
    Presumably any trade involving Lillard or Giannis would bring back a bunch of first round picks / young players.
  22. sveumrules
    Yeah, I normally take a trip to see the TRats every spring to check out the new kids, but that’s essentially just Burke and Baez on the position player side with Yoph gone. Will prolly still head up in May for a weekend but am going to have to hope the pitching lines up or Adamczewski is promoted by then to turn the excitement level up a notch. Late summer trip should be a little more interesting assuming more Carolina guys make their way up.
  23. sveumrules
    The Brewers won that game in Colorado by 15, they lost the Skubal game by eight. Take out the biggest outlier on either side and their run differential is still +25 for the other 14 games (10 W - 4 L) this month. But ultimately the run prevention floats the boat. In the eleven games the Brewers won this month they gave up zero runs (x4), one run (x2), two runs (x4) and three runs. In the five games they lost they gave up five runs (x2), seven runs, nine runs, and eleven runs.
  24. sveumrules
    Since starting 0-4 they had scored the 4th most runs per game and posted the 2nd lowest ERA in MLB before tonight. With tonight’s results rolled in they have a +32 run differential over the last 16 games.
  25. sveumrules
    Top five in the Shuckers lineup have all had nice nights… Spain (single, walk) Lara (two singles, walk) Pratt (two singles) Wilken (single, two walks) Adams (single, two walks) Also gotta give a shout to Mayor of Biloxi Zavier Warren (quickly approaching 1,000 PAs with the Shuckers) for his two knock night.
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