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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Too Many Garcias.
  2. sveumrules
    There are 501 pitchers in the minors with at least 40 IP so far. Tyson Hardin (1.90) and Coleman Crow (2.03) have the two lowest FIPs in the entire sample.
  3. sveumrules
    There are 577 players in the minors with at least 200 PA so far and only nine of those players have at least a 170 wRC+. Three of them are Brewers…Luke Adams (179), Brock Wilken (173), and Marco Dinges (170). Nine more hitters have a wRC+ in the 160’s with Anthony Seigler (161) representing.
  4. sveumrules
    On the one hand, Priester was the higher draft pick and generally more well regarded as a prospect, so his stuff was more obviously apparent. On the other hand, “stuff” is generally correlated with getting strikeouts, and Myers has a clear advantage over Priester there. Its really just two different kinds of stuff. Priester is a little more old school working everything off the sinker down and Myers a little more from the new school of mostly working off the four seamer up.
  5. sveumrules
    Pretty cool article at FanGraphs today breaking down Misio's first start and comparing his slider/changeup to some fastballs of days gone by with similar velocity and movement profiles.
  6. sveumrules
    Here's a breakdown of their respective "peak" profiles. Priester ranks are among 80 pitchers min. 40 IP since May 3rd, Tobias ranks are among 75 pitchers min. 100 IP from June onward last year... Priester (44.1 IP | 41st) 55 ERA- (14th) | 85 FIP- (28th) 78 K+ (63rd) | 67 BB+ (26th) | 58 HR+ (16th) 137 GB+ (4th) | 68 FB+ (74th) | 81 LD+ (`14th) Myers (111.1 IP | 39th) 59 ERA- (4th) | 85 FIP- (20th) 99 K+ (38th) | 70 BB+ (18th) | 79 HR+ (19th) 90 GB+ (58th) | 106 FB+ (25th) | 109 LD+ (54th) Pretty crazy how close the ERA-/FIP- are even though they go about it in different ways. Priester with the ground ball heavy / no K profile, and Myers with the more fly ball oriented / average K profile.
  7. sveumrules
    Harper signed with Philly prior to 2019. Even if the Brewers were in a position to beat their 13/330 offer, they already had Yelich, Cain and Braun under contract for about $45M total each of the next two seasons with no DH available. I don't normally like to use words like "laughable" or "dumb" because they come across as overly dismissive, but the idea that the Brewers might have ever had a realistic chance at signing Bryce Harper seems a little far fetched to me.
  8. sveumrules
    $330M is not cheaper than $188M dollars.
  9. sveumrules
    Yelich's extension kicked in 2022, from 2022-24 he put up a 123 wRC+ and 8.9 WAR for $78M. During the 2023 season teams paid around $10M per win at the top of the market. By that math, Yelich's production exceeded his salary for the first three years of the extension. These last four years could get ugly post-back surgery, but the degree to which Yelich's contract has been some kind of disaster or boat anchor to this point has been pretty overstated.
  10. sveumrules
    MLB owners / front offices decided each player's value, not me. But yes, Soto did get $450M more and five extra years over Devers for being better, younger, and a free agent.
  11. sveumrules
    Please refrain from using the word "ass" in future posts, it is against the Community Guidelines. Yelich has three years and $78M after this year. Devers has eight years and $254M after this year. Those are two different levels of expenditure even if the AAVs are close. Juan Soto has a 157 wRC+ and 38.1 WAR since 2018, Devers has a 127 wRC+ and 26.8 WAR over the same timeframe. These are two different calibres of players, plus Soto is two years younger and signed as a free agent versus signing a pre-free agency extension like Devers.
  12. sveumrules
    Buster being aggressive. They've gotten Adames and Chapman (& Jung Hoo Lee) to take their money, but haven't been able to land that true difference making bat in FA. As long as Devers keeps hitting around a 135 OPS+ the money won't be an issue for them.
  13. sveumrules
    Yeah, Devers is a great hitter no doubt, but only so many teams can afford $270M for a DH only player.
  14. sveumrules
    With today's win it looks like the Brewers went 21 W - 16 L over the aforementioned stretch. Might not seem all that impressive at face value, but that is a 92 win pace over 162. If they can keep that pace up over the remaining 89 games it would put them right around 89 or 90 wins at the end of the season.
  15. sveumrules
    & now Mike Boeve gets in on the Biloxi bomb squad with a two run shot making it a 9-6 lead.
  16. sveumrules
    Adam Hall singled, stole second, and came around to score on a Luis Lara RBI single to give the Shuckers a 7-6 lead top seven.
  17. sveumrules
    Wisco added a tenth run top of nine with a Marco Dinges single, Luiyin Alastre walk, and Tayden Hall RBI single. & TRats just went final with the 10-4 win.
  18. sveumrules
    Biloxi puts up a half dozen runs in the fifth to tie things up at six apiece. Luke Adams hit a grand slam and Brock Wilken followed with a two run shot.
  19. sveumrules
    Carolina goes final with a 2-1 loss. Melvin Hernandez covered the last three innings going ten up, nine down (1 BB | 1 K).
  20. sveumrules
    Nashville goes final with a 5-0 win. Elvis Peguero (1 H | 1 K) and Joel Payamps (1 BB | 1 K) each posted a zero to finish it out.
  21. sveumrules
    Wisco added four more top of eight with a Luiyin Alastre double, four straight walks, and a Jadher Areinamo two RBI single.
  22. sveumrules
    Carolina trailing 2-0 after six but just got on the board top of seven with Reece Walling tripling then scoring on a wild pitch. Jesus Made with a single, double, two walks and two stolen bags (& some outs on the bases too) to this point.
  23. sveumrules
    Wisco leading 5-2 top eight. Jadher Areinamo has a double, two singles, and three RBI (& some outs on the bases). Los dos Garcias - Eduardo y Yhoswar - have a double each with Eduardo adding a single & walk as well. Patricio Aquino went two scoreless (1 H | 1 BB | 2 K).
  24. sveumrules
    Shuckers trailing 6-0 top of five though all four of Brett Wichrowski’s runs were unearned on a pair of Brock Wilken errors. Luis Lara and Garrett Spain singles the only hits so far.
  25. sveumrules
    Nashville up 5-0 with Bruce Zimmerman (4.2 IP), Craig Yoho (0.2 IP), Bryan Hudson (0.2 IP) and Tyler Jay (1 IP) working around seven singles and three walks to shut em out thru seven. Bobby Dalbec (two HR, single), Freddy Zamora (three singles, stolen base), Tyler Black (two walks, stolen base), and EMJ (double) have been the standouts with the bats thus far.
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