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sveumrules

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Everything posted by sveumrules

  1. sveumrules
    Henderson threw 78 innings in 2023 coming off elbow surgery and then only 81 last year on account of an oblique issue. He would probably have to be workload managed even more closely than Priester who has thrown 97, 90, 158 and 121 innings in the four seasons since the pandemic. Am guessing they prefer having Logan in Nashville where they can more easily build up his innings and work on the slider/cutter in a lower stakes environment.
  2. sveumrules
    Last Day To Vote. Get Those Ballots In. Definitely curious to see how things shake out. Feel like the top seventeen guys on my ballot (except maybe Durbin) are pretty much consensus and will be on most of the submissions in some order or another, but lots of legit options for those last few spots.
  3. sveumrules
    Yeah, Jackson's first year stateside was 62 games at Carolina, 31 at Wisco, and then six at Biloxi to end the year, Spent pretty much all of year two in Biloxi (122 games) before finishing the year with six games in Nashville. Third year was last year.
  4. sveumrules
    They’ve got Ramon Urias to cover for Westburg while he’s injured. Mayo also has five errors in only 11 games at 3B this year, so it looks like he’s probably still not a MLB calibre 3B either.
  5. sveumrules
    First and foremost, I feel terrible for Dame. To go from dealing with some scary real life medical stuff, to probably rushing back too soon in an effort to help his team in what was a longshot to begin with, to now blowing out the Achilles and looking at missing all of next year before coming back in likely diminished form at age 36. As for Giannis, my gut feeling is that he cares more about being a One Team Guy like Kobe or Duncan or Dirk than he does about maximizing his Ring Odds, so he won't ask to be traded this offseason. I think he would view demanding a trade (especially now after Dame's injury) as taking the easy way out, which would seem to go against his character.
  6. sveumrules
    He got deked by Wily at second base (or just plain lost the ball) and doubled off in the San Francisco series too, Agree that Sal has been otherwise great to start the year, but part of laying down the law is demonstrating that no one is above it.
  7. sveumrules
    Haven’t really dug into the numbers to confirm, but anecdotally it seems like when guys have two start weeks like Misio did this week that they limit their IP/pitch count a bit with only four days between starts instead of the preferred five days rest.
  8. sveumrules
    More of a fun fact than a scouting report, but Melvin is currently the only pitcher in all of A ball on the FanGraphs leaderboard in his age 18 season. He’s also one of only two pitchers with at least 100 IP since 2023 while playing in their age 16-18 seasons. The other, Ubaldo Soto of LAA, has thrown all 100 of his IP over two seasons in the DSL and looks to be starting this year in the ACL versus Melvin already notching 22.2 IP with Carolina. Looking at the stats he’s posted so far what jumps out to me is the 53.4 GB% which is 2nd highest among all Brewers minor league pitchers with at least 100 IP since 2023. His 6.8 BB% is 3rd lowest on that same leaderboard so looks like a more of a ground ball, command guy but it’s also hard to strike out hitters that have been around four years older than him the last couple years.
  9. sveumrules
    WAR is a counting stat so playing time is included. BRef has credited Tork and his 1,579 PAs for +53 runs in the replacement column vs only +15 runs for Mitchell and his 443 PAs. Where Garrett has closed the gap is by being faster (+3 in base running / double play avoidance vs -5 for Tork), a better defender (+12 fielding / positional vs -30 for Tork) and a better hitter (112 OPS+ / +5 batting runs vs 99 OPS+ / -4 batting runs for Tork). Spencer’s bat is finally coming around to start the season so he’s got plenty of time to make up ground, but Mitchell has provided more value to this point despite playing far less because a 1B/DH hitting for a 99 OPS+ doesn’t really bring anything to the table.
  10. sveumrules
    Mitchell was picked 20th and his 3.7 WAR so far is tied with Reid Detmers (pick #10) for 4th among 2020 First Rounders. Garrett Crochet (6.9 WAR pick #11), Pete Crow-Armstrong (4.1 WAR pick #19), and Jordan Westburg (3.8 WAR pick #30) are the three guys who have been more productive to this point. Injuries will likely prevent him from ever living up to his true theoretical ceiling, but he's still been one of the more successful picks even with all the missed time.
  11. sveumrules
    With the caveat that I know absolutely nothing about any of these guys…I saw a clip of Stewart getting asked if he wore that green suit because he was hoping to go to Green Bay and the length of his pause before non-answering made me think he had no interest in GB.
  12. sveumrules
    Wow. True shocker. Thought for sure Horst would take the fall with Doc moving up to POBO and Ham sliding into the head coach spot.
  13. sveumrules
    Burnes put up 4.4 rWAR in his one year with the Orioles. And that was the most optimistic take on his season with 3.5 bWAR and 3.7 fWAR. Ortiz came in at 3.1 WAR last year so he already covered most of that value in year one. Another win or two out of Ortiz or Hall over the next five years and the Brewers will be on the right side of the ledger.
  14. sveumrules
    The Brewers have seven regulars - Frelick (138), Turang (136), Hoskins (128), Durbin (112), Yelich (110), Chourio (101), and Contreras (100) - who have been average or better by wRC+ this year. Which two or three of those guys need to go down to Nashville to make it 50% of the lineup?
  15. sveumrules
    It never had to be an either/or proposition, there was room on the 40 Man for both.
  16. sveumrules
    Smith (22.1 IP | 0.7 rWAR | 0.4 fWAR) 16.7 K% | 8.9 BB% | 0.40 HR9 .167 AVG | 0.94 WHIP | 76.3 LOB% 42.9 GB% | 2.82 ERA | 3.88 FIP Patrick (21.1 IP | 1.0 rWAR | 0.4 fWAR) 23.0 K% | 10.3 BB% | 1.27 HR9 .244 AVG | 1.31 WHIP | 96.6 LOB% 29.3 GB% | 2.11 ERA | 4.24 FIP Patrick has the edge in K% and ERA, though the latter is largely due to a comically unsustainable 96.6 LOB%. Mariano Rivera had a 80.4 LOB% for reference. Smith induces way more grounders while limiting base runners and giving up homers at considerably lower rates. His LOB% is more in line with league average (72.4%) so he should be due for less ERA regression than Patrick is moving forward.
  17. sveumrules
    Their best position player is currently Matt Thaiss with a 132 wRC+ and 0.5 WAR in 48 PAs. In 771 PAs entering the season he had an 83 wRC+ and -0.4 WAR. On the pitching side Smith (22.1 IP of 2.82 ERA | 3.88 FIP) leads all White Sox hurlers in both rWAR (0.7) and fWAR (0.4). Martin Perez (20.0 IP of 3.15 ERA | 3.68 FIP) is just behind him at 0.4 rWAR and 0.3 fWAR but he is likely out for the year with a flexor strain. Isn't looking like Shane will have too much competition for the White Sox lone All Star spot if he can stay healthy.
  18. sveumrules
    Doesn't have a ton of MLB time (935 innings spread over parts of five calendar years) but Daz has posted -9 DRS and -6 FRV so far. Probably safe to say defensive chops were not genetic in this case.
  19. sveumrules
    Obviously early but Yelich has been destroying righties (156 wRC+) while getting equally destroyed by lefties (44 wRC+) to start the year. So far 33 of his 95 PAs (34.7%) have come vs LHP. For 2021-24 he saw 587 of his 2,093 PAs (28.0%) vs LHP.
  20. sveumrules
    Was hitting almost as bad as Ortiz at 204/246/278 (48 wRC+) with a 3.5 BB% and (wait for it) a 42.1 K% before getting hit in the face and going on the IL. Has seen most of his action at 3B (93 innings) this year but the Nationals have rolled him out for a few games at SS (38 innings) so far.
  21. sveumrules
    The four Carolina players on that list are 21 (Dinges), 20 (Adamczewski), and 18 (Pena/Payne) years old. The four Kannapolis players on that list are 24 (Miller-Green/Sprinkle), 22 (Montgomery), and 19 (Bonemer) years old. The other two players in that Top Ten are 25 (Ross) and 22 (Thompson) years old.
  22. sveumrules
    Steve Yeager is a career .228 hitter. He had individual seasons with batting averages of .266 and .256. Kevin Elster is a career .228 hitter. He had individual seasons with batting averages of .252 and .241. Paul DeJong is a career .228 hitter. He had individual seasons with bating averages of .285 and .241. Joey Ortiz hit .239 last year over 511 plate appearances, one more hit would have put him at .241. I don't think it's unrealistic or would be some amazing feat for him to hit .240 ever. Especially considering he is a still developing player with all of 635 career MLB plate appearances.
  23. sveumrules
    This FanGraphs article is ostensibly about Elly De La Cruz’s insane flying catch the other day but also contains some peak Brent Suter content…
  24. sveumrules
    "They could designate Payamps for assignment, or they could option Hudson and transfer Aaron Ashby to the 60-day injured list. Which route is best is debatable, but the Brewers cannot continue carrying both struggling relievers. The time to promote Yoho has arrived." I'd probably option Hudson/transfer Ashby to get Yoho on the roster for the upcoming road trip. He last pitched on the 18th so should be fresh and ready for some innings. That gives you a few games to hopefully get Payamps a chance to pitch again before Myers needs to be activated for his start on Thursday, at which point Joel is either designated or one of Patrick/Henderson is optioned back to AAA. Personally think I'd try running a six man rotation of Peralta, Quintana, Myers, Priester, Patrick and Henderson as long as they all keep pitching well which would leave a bullpen of Megill, Koenig, Uribe, Mears, Anderson, Yoho and Alexander.
  25. sveumrules
    Some Carolina Fun Fact from the early going... Mudcats hitters are the youngest in the league at a 19.5 average age, but are tops in both runs per game (7.60) and OPS (.825). With league averages of 5.12 R/G and .682 OPS their margins are +2.48 R/G and +.143 OPS above average. The second best team offense has been Kannapolis with an average age almost two years older (21.2 average age), a runs per game almost a full run lower (6.73), and a .753 OPS that trails Carolina by .072 points. On the pitching side Carolina is also the youngest at a 20.9 average age with their 3.20 ERA the second lowest in the league behind Fayetteville at a 3.12 ERA with pitchers almost a full year older (21.8 average age).
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