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CheeseheadInQC

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Everything posted by CheeseheadInQC

  1. CheeseheadInQC
    One of the things that struck me about these rosters is the one downside to depth. You can probably point to at least three pitchers, if not more, on each of Biloxi, Wisconsin and Carolina staffs who should really be the next level up whether by performance, logistics (years before minor league free agency) or both.
  2. CheeseheadInQC
    There is a chance that you can scratch Low off the list. I think he only pitched this spring. And I am OK with that. Two- way players are fun, but I doubt it is optimal for development.
  3. CheeseheadInQC
    I am really happy the players got a pay bump, but I hate that MLB asked for this in return. Players weren’t being hoarded. It was entirely optional for the clubs to go that high. All this does is protect owners who chose not to from being called cheap about something that only die hards notice anyway. This is emblematic of why I can’t stand Manfred & Co,’s leadership despite not hating a lot of the rule changes.
  4. CheeseheadInQC
    One of the Jets’ trade demands was for Gutekunst to criticize Rodgers so they get the ticked off version. This is what gets the Packers the first.
  5. CheeseheadInQC
    Would you put Figueroa in that group? I haven’t seen much of him, but the strikeouts made me question if moving to the bullpen might unlock something. I am usually a wake me up when they hit AA guy when it comes to relievers. There might be a few more interesting ones than usual just for the reasons you said about more starters than spots. Of the true relievers at the lower levels, Pena probably intrigues me the most between the way they handled him and the positive Fangraphs scouting report.
  6. CheeseheadInQC
    My thoughts: Triple A: Gasser, Junk, and then who knows. A lot rides on if they start Small and, if he doesn’t make the 26-man roster, Miller. Both could also end up being developed as a relievers. They have a lot of other guys who could be stretched out: Boushley, Rea, Myers, Stock, Pannone, etc. Double-A: Jarvis and, assuming they aren’t in triple-A, Knarr and Seminaris, all seem likely. I really think Rodriguez starts in double-A. I thought that Cruz might’ve joined him, but the lack big league camp days that I can recall and the high-A start in the minor league game make me think he’ll start in high-A. I will guess Shook for the last spot. High-A: If enough are are healthy, I wouldn’t be surprised if they go with a six-man rotation at Wisconsin. Cruz, Cornielle, Hernandez and Smith seem likely. The other spots would be filled with a combination of Wagoner, Jimenez and Henderson, with Puello as another option. Low-A: Probably a combination of last year’s picks (Misiorowski, Rudy, Woessner, Peterson, Fitzpatrick) and international signees who either already spent time in low-A (Alexander Vallecillo, Yujanyer Herrera, Brailin Rodriguez, Arielbi Gonzalez, Miguel Segura) or would have if not for injury (Patricio Aquino). Also, for the rookie league, I would toss Corniel on the list to watch, too.
  7. CheeseheadInQC
    He might have fallen victim to a numbers game. Ton of pitchers competing for spots on the two A ball rosters.
  8. CheeseheadInQC
    It will be interesting to see how the playing time is distributed in the Carolina infield. There are probably 10 or so infielders who should be in A ball. I would guess Adams gets plenty of time at first, especially if Quinton Low is pitching more.
  9. CheeseheadInQC
    The one matchup where I can’t root for Wisconsin. Kind of have to cheer for the alma mater.
  10. CheeseheadInQC
    Didn’t another player say the same thing about about Warren helping them find their swing the previous season? Was it Wiemer? And no overlap between your 20, and the 10 I was going to mention in a sleepers thread. Although I tiered it, and most of yours would be tier 1 guys. Also, I considered Middendorf and Erceg but picked a different reliever figuring someone else would mention them.
  11. CheeseheadInQC
    Depending on how the rosters work out, I could see Luke Adams getting some work at first given the number of infielders Carolina is likely to have deserving of playing time, especially if Low gets more time on the mound.
  12. CheeseheadInQC
    The interesting thing about Lara is he really had two seasons in one. He started off with a great batting line but a higher (but still not high) strikeout rate and very few walks. Then it seemed like he tried to change his approach. The walks shot up, the strikeouts dropped. The loud contact (or at least results you associate with loud contact) was missing, however. The key is going to be melding the early season batted ball results with the more patient approach he showed later on.
  13. CheeseheadInQC
    My thoughts: 1. I was thinking of starting a forum topic on sleepers after the Minor League spring training roster is released, and you still haven’t hit any of the 10 I was going to mention. The system has a lot of guys holding at least some intrigue. 2. If it wasn’t for the sheer number of upper level relievers, I would advocate for starting Garabitos at AA. He is part of a group of arms likely to start in Wisconsin who need to move up fast because of how long they have been in the system. He held that Carolina staff together after the wave of promotions. He was insanely valuable there. 3. I am taking a wait and see approach with the DSL pair. I temper my excitement a bit with guys putting up great stats when repeating a level. That said, it sure beats the alternative.
  14. CheeseheadInQC
    Devanney, thanks to the COVID season, kind of breaks a couple of my usual rules for looking at prospect stats. I am usually a big “don’t read too much into stats of an over-age prospect repeating a level” guy. However with the COVID season, he was in the unenviable position of skipping two levels because that is where there was roster space. So do you really count it as repeating a level if he shouldn’t have been there to begin with? Hopefully he does well enough this year to make those prospect analysis questions moot.
  15. CheeseheadInQC
    It feels like, unless they are moving Tayden Hall to 1st base, they have 15 catchers who belong on full season rosters with likely 12 spots. Am I the only one who thinks it is 50/50 on Wood? I know catcher is a bit different, but early college picks tend to start in high-A.
  16. CheeseheadInQC
    Not surprised at all, especially with him going to the Rays.
  17. CheeseheadInQC
    This is going to sound like a cop out, but not really. I would rather hear why you find guys interesting than just read about guys I do. Also, when it comes to picking prospects to write about I am not the one to emulate. I have used up a substantial amount of digital ink on statistical anomalies involving a pair of guys likely competing for the third catcher spot in Carolina.
  18. CheeseheadInQC
    I wasn’t criticizing, just making an observation on their respective strengths and weaknesses. Keep doing whoever you want. Part of the fun for me of the minor league forum is discussing a range of guys beyond the top 10.
  19. CheeseheadInQC
    You couldn’t have picked two more different hitters for your first two could you? I have written before how high I am on Areinamo. I love guys who take walks but don’t strike out. He might never hit 20 homers, but he showed in the ACL that if you are spraying line drives all over the field, enough will find the gaps to build an acceptable ISO. He just needs to be the pure line drive hitter he was in the ACL instead of the ground ball hitter he became after his promotion to Carolina where the extra base hits dried up.
  20. CheeseheadInQC
    In that system I have them both as sort of a 1.5, too valuable for category 2 but not proven enough to be category 1. I can understand the argument for having Strzelecki ahead of Cousins, but even a slight improvement in control on Cousins’ part probably flips them.
  21. CheeseheadInQC
    The Brewers’ conundrum is, do you sacrifice having your best possible bullpen in April/May to increase the chances of having a better one in August/September?
  22. CheeseheadInQC
    He doesn’t even have to become a big launch angle guy, but if he goes 20+ percent line drive, 30+ percent fly ball and less than 25 percent strikeout rate, he is probably a really valuable center fielder. The question is if he can get there.
  23. CheeseheadInQC
    Since 2010, 5 players have had at least 10 plate appearances in AA during their age 18 season. One was an injury replacement catcher who wasn’t hitting in A ball when he jumped two levels. The others were Harper, Tatis and Eguy Rosario.
  24. CheeseheadInQC
    Chances are he isn’t Trout, because Trout has been the best player of the last two decades. His value is based on more than just hype, though. Over the past 15+ years, the only prospects to be clearly better in high-A during their 18-year-old season were Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Wander Franco. Trout and Keibert Ruiz were about even. He is the only one to post a .200 ISO at that level at his age during that same time frame. His stats are legit.
  25. CheeseheadInQC
    This is a solid 16-20, but I feel like the real strength outside the top 10 is that there isn’t really much drop off to the next 5-10 after this.
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