I posted this in the Draft Forum, but I’d like to rehash it here:
Just last year we had only 2 high school draft picks out of 12 that had birth years in the previous year (Tobias and Broughton).
Year before was 5 out of 10 (Pratt, Letson, and 3 unsigned guys).
A lot of these high draft picks / highly mocked are well into being 19. We don’t draft that.
Payne was a full year younger than most of the first round high schoolers. Bitonti and Knoth were younger than a good majority, and they were drafted the year before.
Are we basically drafting guys knowing full well that we are actually drafting them for the following year? We seem to avoid these 19 year old high school day one picks like the plague.
Especially in regards to young pitchers, are we drafting them anticipating a lost year to TJ? We’ve even been drafting guys while they’re rehabbing in some instances.
*EDIT* Fixed formatting... It just seems that we value having that extra year or two in our system (even if it's recovering from TJ) over a highly ranked guy who has been beating up on kids way younger than them. I feel like our guys are always going to be fighting uphill to be properly ranked when they start off as young draft reaches and lower bonus IFAs.
*ANOTHER EDIT* Dug through ages of the past two drafts, and the youngest player drafted in the entire 2023 draft was Eric Bitonti (11/17/05). Knoth, Bitonti, Robinson, and Chambers were all 17 when drafted (maybe a bad sign with multiple TJ's).
The youngest player drafted in the entire 2024 draft was Tyler Renz (technically a tie with Ivan Lucano of the Diamondbacks, 11/24/06). Payne, Dorchies, and Renz were all 17 when drafted.