jay87shot

As much as I would love Seager (he was a 6 WAR player in 100 games) he has like 6/195 left, The Rangers would need to eat like 100 million and there would be 4-5 teams that would take him and not have to eat much if any of that contract. The only way that a deal could be conceivable would be to send Yeli and some prospects for Seager and a smaller amount of cash and that still is still rough.

I really expect Adams and Dinges to be 2 of the best players in the AFL and hopefully get some more top 100 prospect cred moving forward. Thanks for the update

https://www.mlb.com/amp/news/minor-league-baseball-announces-2025-award-winners.html Pretty cool, I didn't know he was that young.

My hope would be AAA= 3B Wilken, Adams, Boeve (Turn Boeve into a utility guy of sorts 3B, 2B, 1B, and start some OF work) AA=1B Burke, 3B Fischer (maybe spends the 1st couple weeks in Appleton but not much more. This might change some depending if we can keep EMJ and what they do at the mlb level with Bauers, Black, and possible EMJ. I could possibly see us trying to keep all 3 and then Adams would likely stay at AA for a bit with Fischer in A+ a bit longer. I wouldn't be to surprised to see one of Wilken or Adams traded this offseason as a 2nd/3rd piece in a bigger deal. If Made plays well and Pratt continues to develop I think we could see one of them playing more 3rd which would cut into that groups playing time.

Who are some of the more intriguing prospects you are excited for in 2026. I am already missing the minor league updates and could use some prospect chatter. 1) Dylan O'Rae After a sensational 2023 and solid start to 2024 in A+ at 20 the organization promoted him to AA in part because of overcrowding. Since mid-year 2024 it has been a disaster with a poor showing in AA and injuried for all of 2025. That being said O'Rae will turn 22 in Februaury and the injury could be a blessing in disguise if O'Rae added the necessary strength he lacked while re-habbing. Hopefully he can come back healthy and show the high end skills that flashed early in his career and add in some power. 2) Manny Rodriguez/Melvin Hernandez Basically I want to see if they can build some strength and add some mph. I think both guys are likely solid chances to be 4-5 starters throwing low 90's but could be special in the mid 90's, you could make a really big list here and add basically all of the 2023/24/25 HS pitcher draft picks as well. 3)Jason Woodward With all the injuries, I think it would be best to move him to relief were he could likely be hitting 100 regularly. I think he is someone who could/should move fast if all is good. On the higher end prospects, I am excited for Burke, Bitonti, and Payne most. Burke to see if he can build on the last 2 months and be the 1B of the future. Bitonti and Payne to see if they can find more consistency and make use of their extremely strong tool kits.

mlbtraderumors released arby estimates https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/10/projected-arbitration-salaries-for-2026.html Brewers (7) Jake Bauers (5.084): $2MM Andrew Vaughn (4.142): $7.8MM William Contreras (4.112): $11.1MM (Brewers hold a $12MM club option with a $100K buyout) Nick Mears (4.022): $1.6MM Trevor Megill (4.002): $4.2MM Garrett Mitchell (3.040): $1MM Brice Turang (2.165): $4.4MM We will pay Yeli 24, Freddy 8, Chourio 7.25, and Ashby 5.7 with likely option buyouts of 10 Woody, Rhys 4, Quintana 2, and .5 for Jansen. By my quick math, 30-32 for arby, 45 for player under contract, 16.5 for buyouts and probably like 15 for pre-arby players. That puts us under 110 (around 106-108). Based on this year Sortrak has our 2025 number at 121, I my guess is that we are around that number next year. Maybe like 115 to start the year with some room to add players throughout the year, That really doesn't leave much room to add anything substantial. Maybe with a deep run here Mark would open up the check book for an extra 1 year deal, but that doesn't seem to likely.

2-0 baby. 7 1/3 innings of 1 hit ball by our relief. Oh yeah

I don't think they should either but it has been our MO for the most part. It is kind of like the 3 years of Cabrera vs. 5 of Patrick argument from before. We could get like 6 years of control over say Jonah Tong and a good 2nd prospect as well.

I like the Misi, Patrick, Priester, Gasser, Henderson starting 5 and I do think there is a decent chance Ashby starts again. However the top of the rotation arms do have some question marks and Gasser and Patrick are likely weak 3's or strong 4's at their best. If we keep Peralta then we don't need anything but if they do trade Peralta it would be nice to get a controllable top of the rotation arm if the price isn't to high.

I think mlb.com updated there top 100 but I don't believe they updated the top 30. If they did, almost nothing changed.

Cabrera lowered his ERA by almost 1.5 runs. He lowered his bb from 4.7 to 3.1 bb/9. He averages 97 on his fastball and by runs value his fastball is his worst pitch at -12 runs. They way we help pitchers he will likely soar. He has 3 cheap years, I do agree that Quero and Patrick is hefty but the price of affordable, controllable, young pitching is sky high. I just think if we lose Woody, Q, and at least after next year Peralta we need some top of the rotation help. Especially with Misi and Henderson not having great 2nd halves.

C= Brewers edge Carson Kelly has been really good this year but William Contreras has been a top 3 mlb catcher for a while now. 1B=Very slight edge Cubs Andrew Vaughn has been a godsend but Michael Busch had an amazing year and as much as I want to call this a wash I can't 2B=Wash Turang and Hoerner are very similar players, Turang's 2nd half power burst gives him a bit more upside in a playoff series, but too close to call. SS= Cubs edge Swanson had a 20/20 season despite the a .244 aveage and .300 obp. Both play good defense but Swanson is getting the big bucks for a reason (4.5 WAR) 3B=Wash Durbin and Shaw both had 3 WAR rookie years, Durbin's triple slash is a bit better but Shaw has a little higher potential OF=Cubs Edge PCA, Tucker, and Happ is about as good of an OF as there is I would say Frelick and Chourio can be at PCA and Happ's level but the gap from Collins to Tucker is pretty big DH=Brewers Edge Susuki started off really strong and has faded some, Yeli had the opposite season rough 1st 50-60 games and strong after that. SP=Edge Brewers There are some big variables here with the health of Woody, Quintana, and Cade Horton (I think out the series), however Freddy and Priester should have a healthy advantage over Boyd and Imagana and it is a wash after that for me RP=Edge Brewers Again the health/rustiness of Megill will play a big factor in this series. The Cubs bullpen of Palencia, Keller, Theilbar, and Pomeranz has been really good for them but I am not really worried about that group taking over the series where as Megill, Uribe, Koenig, and Ashby can with Misi as an extra wild card.

I worry about the Padres bullpen a lot, the Cubs bullpen is ok but they don't have anyone scary. My answer is I would rather face the Cubs basically because with all the days of in the playoffs that Padres pen will be consistently rested and Miller, Morejon, and Suarez can average like 4 innings a game most of the time. There would be 3 off days before game 3 of the series. I am thinking we do Freddy game 1, Priester game 2, bullpen game 3 (Misi starts but for like 2-3 innings) and than Freddy, Preister 4/5 since game 4 is 5 days after game 1.

The Rays are looking for catching help, I would be ok with trading Quero if the price would be right. Yandy Diaz would be interesting but with Vaughn and Yeli locked in that doesn't make a ton of sense. I wouldn't mind just doing a prospect for a prospect deal. They also have Pete Fairbanks and Brandon Lowe who could make some sense. 1)OF Theo Gillen (#63 mlb pipeline) for Quero (#61 mlb pipeline) We get a bit more potential and clear the path for Dinges. Gillen definitely fit our mold of OF and could make an interesting OF prospect group with Lara, Payne, and possibly Josh A. (I believe he is going to play OF in the AFL) 2)Fairbanks and 1 of OF Braden Summerhill/P TJ Nichols/Ty Johnson for Quero Fairbanks is pretty similar to Megill, we don't usually acquire guys on expiring deals but the 7 million salary isn't huge and if we could get a solid prospect back having another high end reliever would be exciting. 3)3 team deal Marlins get Yandy Diaz, Chad Patrick, Garrett Mitchell, and Ray pitching prospect around 15-20 in org, Rays get Quero, we get Edward Cabrera The Marlins have said they are looking to add offense and 1B would be the obvious spot. In this deal, the Marlins get a big bat, young 4/5th starter, and 2 upside pieces. We get 3 years of a high end top of the rotation arm for Quero and Patrick, Mitchell has very little value at this point but makes the deal look better for the M's

The Miz for sure, I doubt we would have put in Made but Pratt or Quero (unlikely because of inury). I think that with Miz and Pratt being ranked lower than Teel and Montgomery the 3rd/4th pieces would have had to be more. I think that there would have been a good chance they would have insisted on Pena as the 3rd piece which might have been a no go for me.

The way I read it was that he is saying Kim is the only obvious target unless someone like Bellinger (or a different good bat he said like Naylor or Suarez) goes unsigned and we can get them for cheap.

None of those 6 guys have big value, Neto probably has a value similar to Garrett Crochet. Myers and Patrick are like 4-7 starters for us, Childers would be the 3rd-ish reliever in AAA. Ortiz is solid but his bat drives down the value, Mitchell is like our 5th/6th OF next year if he makes the team, and Wilken is a borderline top 250 prospect. Neto has 2, 5 WAR season and cheap control, I like our prospects but Made could move to 3B and we could trade Pratt for help somewhere else. I would guess in teams of value from the baseball trade values website my offer probably is a relative low ball offer for Neto. From my perspective, we get a hidden star without giving up a big player (only depth) and the Angels get 2 starters and a reliever, 2 young starting caliber position players and a power prospect a year away.

I don't disagree with this, I think that top of the market has a lot of question marks and teams are going to be worried about huge deals. I think it would be crazy to pay Kyle Tucker 10/400 like some people have suggested, Bregman, Schwarber, Alonso, Bellinger, and Bichette all should have teams apprehensive about the lengths of those deals. The pitching market with Suarez, Valdez, King, and Cease has solid pitcher but not really an ace, with the landscape I wouldn't go over 5 years for any of them.

He has probably had 2 of the best seasons of Brewers 2B ever but he is going to need to do I for longer to be the best ever. Gantner and Rickie were good for a while and played on good teams. I would say Brice needs like 2-3 more years at the 4-5 WAR area to go against guys with 11 and 17 years. I do think that list is pretty flawed but will leave that for now.

I would much rather face the cubs from a roster standpoint, but agree that the Pads likely have the better chance of of winning the WC. The Pads pitching staff is just way more scary and I don't really worry about the Cubs offense like earlier in the year. I would worry a bit about losing some of the home field advantage if we play the Cubs but do think that would be an epic matchup.

I think if we are looking to improve SS next year JP Crawford would be the only non blockbuster vet trade that seems logical to me. He has one year left and the M's have Colt Young and Colt Emerson is close. That being said I don't really see the M's taking that risk and trading Crawford. As mentioned above, Kim likely picks up his option. I doubt he would make much more than 10-12 million on a 1 year deal on the market. I don't see it happening but I do think the Angels would be smart to trade us Neto for a depth trade. Neto for Patrick, Myers, Childers, Ortiz, Mitchell, and Wilken, this gives us a stud SS and the Angels get a crazy amount of depth that there organization badly needs.

I personally like upside is my rankings until a player turns around 22, then it kind of becomes a feel game. So someone like Luke Adams is still going to get judged as a what is the ceiling where as Brock Wilken is going to be judged a lot harder because he is over 2 years older. I will say over the past couple years I have changed looking for more athletic well rounded players over big skills (especially power based prospects) because those players are working for the big league club. On the pitching side I really try and look at stuff over command again until a prospect is around 22/23 or so. So for now I am likely a bit higher on guys like Manny Rodriguez or Melvin Hernandez because I think that both have some chance to get to the mid 90's. I do drop players when injured but try and reinstate previous rankings when they get healthy.

I thought this could be an interesting discussion. Where each of you prospect fans are on your own philosophies on how you evaluate prospects? Things like potential vs. result/mlb readiness, long term results vs short term results, gauging injury factors, 1 big loud tool vs. solid tools across the board. Here are some cases studies that maybe can guide some discussion Potential vs. MLB readiness Robert Gasser (BF #7 prospect) vs. Braylon Payne (BF #8 prospect) When next season begins Gasser will be nearly 27, where as Payne will be 19. Gasser is a good bet to be a quality 4/5 starter but likely not much more than a solid 3. Where as Payne has at least 3 more years to the bigs and could easily flame out or turn into at 30/30 perennial all-star. There are some injury notes in this one as well with Gasser's history. Long-Term Results vs Short Term Carlos Rodriguez (unranked) vs. Tyson Hardin (BF #17) These 2 are like a week apart in age but have pretty drastictly different paths. CarRod had a 3.86 era mostly in AAA with 84 innings 86k/38 BB Career 3.56 era 449.2 innings 502k/192bb (20 mlb innings, 7.65 era) Hardin had a 2.72 era in A+/AA in 96 innings 96 k/17 bb only 3 innings last year. Hardin may throw a bit harder and his slider is probably better than any of CarRod secondary pitches. However CarRod had a very similar season to Hardin 2 years ago in AA, that being said Hardin is almost unanimously a higher ranked prospects. Thoughts? 1 Big Tool vs round skillset Eric Bitonti (BF #16) vs Josh A (BF# 13) Bitonti is a half year younger but has true 65 or better graded power. Josh A maybe isn't the greatest example of solid across the board but I think of him as have solid tools across the board with a 60 or so grade on hit tool. Maybe for this picture a Josh A who hit like .290 this year instead of .320. Injury Factors Josh Knoth for example moved done most lists from like 15 to 30ish, however alot of people didn't move Robert Gasser down there prospect ranks earlier in the year. The are a lot of factors that can go into this so kind of chosing 2 similar case studies is hard. I would imagine a case like Knoth vs. Gasser would also include a bunch of the other prospect philosophies mentioned above. This probably would have some sub categories like seriousness of injury, injury history, and a bunch more. The Eye Test I don't get to watch alot of minor league games but see a lot of highlights and post from you fine fanatics. What are some things that you look for when you see a player in person and are impressed.

After Peralta and Priester who starts game 3? Maybe game 3 is a bullpen game and then Misi or Patrick start game 4 depending if we are up or down in the series. I am starting to worry about the rotation especially since Freddy isn't really a guy who has started before on short rest. Do we have any updates on DL Hall, Q, or Woody? I know it's is a bit early on a woody update.

I think there is some nice potential to be a very similar pitcher to Quinn Priester if he develops well. Not many 20 year olds have 5 solid pitches with good command. The fact that he got a late season AA look tells me that the front office values him very highly. I wish he would have gotten and AFL look, I get that is an offense heavy league but even 10 innings would have been huge for him.